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Understanding the prevalence of key demographic and health indicators in small geographic areas and domains is of global interest, especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), where vital registration data is sparse and household…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-24 Qianyu Dong , Yunhan Wu , Zehang Richard Li , Jon Wakefield

Education is a key driver of social and economic mobility, yet disparities in attainment persist, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Existing indicators, such as mean years of schooling for adults aged 25 and older…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-13 Yunhan Wu , Ameer Dharamshi , Jon Wakefield

This work introduces a Bayesian smoothing approach for the joint graduation of mortality rates across multiple populations. In particular, dynamical linear models are used to induce smoothness across ages through structured dependence,…

With known cause of death (CoD), competing risk survival methods are applicable in estimating disease-specific survival. Relative survival analysis may be used to estimate disease-specific survival when cause of death is either unknown or…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Reuben Adatorwovor , Aurelien Latouche , Jason P. Fine

Hundreds of millions of people live in countries that do not have complete death registration systems, meaning that most deaths are not recorded and critical quantities like life expectancy cannot be directly measured. The sibling survival…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-01 Dennis M. Feehan , Gabriel M. Borges

Non-parametric maximum likelihood estimation encompasses a group of classic methods to estimate distribution-associated functions from potentially censored and truncated data, with extensive applications in survival analysis. These methods,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-05 Justin D. Tubbs , Lane Guolan Chen , Thuan Quoc Thach , Pak C. Sham

Latent class analysis (LCA) is a useful tool to investigate the heterogeneity of a disease population with time-to-event data. We propose a new method based on non-parametric maximum likelihood estimator (NPMLE), which facilitates…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-03 Teng Fei , John Hanfelt , Limin Peng

This research explores how total mortality figures relate to age-standardized death rates within the United States, using the complete historical record of national mortality statistics. Through a detailed investigation of both all-cause…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Brandon Dunbar , Paramahansa Pramanik , Haley Kate Robinson

The majority of biomedical studies use limited datasets that may not generalize over large heterogeneous datasets that have been collected over several decades. The current paper develops and validates several multimodal models that can…

In this paper, we discuss the impact of some mortality data anomalies on an internal model capturing longevity risk in the Solvency 2 framework. In particular, we are concerned with abnormal cohort effects such as those for generations 1919…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-02 Fabrice Balland , Alexandre Boumezoued , Laurent Devineau , Marine Habart , Tom Popa

In this paper, we compare semiparametric and parametric model adjustments for cancer mortality in breast and cervical cancer and prostate and lung cancer in men, according to age and period of death. Semiparametric models were adjusted for…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-29 Lina Buitrago , Juan Sosa , Cristian Gonzáles

Objectives: This study provides an effective model selection method based on the empirical likelihood approach for constructing summary receiver operating characteristic (sROC) curves from meta-analyses of diagnostic studies. Methods: We…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-13 ShengLi Tzeng , Chun-Shu Chen , Yu-Fen Li , Jin-Hua Chen

Mortality rates are often disaggregated by different attributes, such as sex, state, education, religion or ethnicity. Forecasting mortality rates at the national and sub-national levels plays an important role in making social policies…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-01 Han Lin Shang

The world is suffering from a pandemic called COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. National governments have problems evaluating the reach of the epidemic, due to having limited resources and tests at their disposal. This problem is…

The maternal mortality ratio (MMR) is defined as the number of maternal deaths in a population per 100,000 live births. Country-specific MMR estimates are published on a regular basis by the United Nations Maternal Mortality Estimation…

We propose new methods for the prediction of 5-year mortality in elderly individuals using chest computed tomography (CT). The methods consist of a classifier that performs this prediction using a set of features extracted from the CT image…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-10-04 Gustavo Carneiro , Luke Oakden-Rayner , Andrew P. Bradley , Jacinto Nascimento , Lyle Palmer

Hazard ratios are ubiquitously used in time to event analysis to quantify treatment effects. Although hazard ratios are invaluable for hypothesis testing, other measures of association, both relative and absolute, may be used to fully…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-02 Federico Ambrogi , Simona Iacobelli , Per Kragh Andersen

In this paper, we analyzed how business age and mortality are related during the first years of life, and tested the different hypotheses proposed in the literature. For that, we used data on U.S. business establishments, with 1-year…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-25 Faustino Prieto , José María Sarabia , Enrique Calderín-Ojeda

Many critical policy decisions, from strategic investments to the allocation of humanitarian aid, rely on data about the geographic distribution of wealth and poverty. Yet many poverty maps are out of date or exist only at very coarse…

General Economics · Economics 2022-06-08 Guanghua Chi , Han Fang , Sourav Chatterjee , Joshua E. Blumenstock

Widespread population aging has made it critical to understand death rates at old ages. However, studying mortality at old ages is challenging because the data are sparse: numbers of survivors and deaths get smaller and smaller with age. We…

Applications · Statistics 2018-03-29 Dennis M. Feehan