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Planned experiments are the gold standard in reliably comparing the causal effect of switching from a baseline policy to a new policy. One critical shortcoming of classical experimental methods, however, is that they typically do not take…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-07 Panagiotis , Toulis , David C. Parkes

This paper presents a Multi-Agent System (MAS) approach for designing an air pollution simulator. The aim is to simulate the concentration of air pollutants emitted from sources (e.g. factories) and to investigate the emergence of…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-04-12 Sabri Ghazi , Julie Dugdale , Tarek Khadir

Causal inference has numerous real-world applications in many domains, such as health care, marketing, political science, and online advertising. Treatment effect estimation, a fundamental problem in causal inference, has been extensively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-03 Zhixuan Chu , Jianmin Huang , Ruopeng Li , Wei Chu , Sheng Li

We introduce a statistical agent based model to describe the phenomenon of drug abuse and its dynamical evolution at the individual and global level. The agents are heterogeneous with respect to their intrinsic inclination to drugs, to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-08-03 Riccardo Di Clemente , Luciano Pietronero

Comparing future antibiotic resistance levels resulting from different antibiotic treatments is challenging because some patients may survive only under one of the antibiotic treatments. We embed this problem within a semi-competing risks…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-12 Tamir Zehavi , Uri Obolski , Michal Chowers , Daniel Nevo

Estimating causal effects among different events is of great importance to critical fields such as drug development. Nevertheless, the data features associated with events may be distributed across various silos and remain private within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Yuxuan Liu , Haozhao Wang , Shuang Wang , Zhiming He , Wenchao Xu , Jialiang Zhu , Fan Yang

Causal effect identification considers whether an interventional probability distribution can be uniquely determined without parametric assumptions from measured source distributions and structural knowledge on the generating system. While…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-30 Santtu Tikka , Antti Hyttinen , Juha Karvanen

In modeling multivariate time series for either forecast or policy analysis, it would be beneficial to have figured out the cause-effect relations within the data. Regression analysis, however, is generally for correlation relation, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-23 Xingwei Hu

In this paper, we introduce a unified estimator to analyze various treatment effects in causal inference, including but not limited to the average treatment effect (ATE) and the quantile treatment effect (QTE). The proposed estimator is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-31 Kuan-Hsun Wu , Li-Pang Chen

This paper deals with the problem of evaluating the causal effect using observational data in the presence of an unobserved exposure/ outcome variable, when cause-effect relationships between variables can be described as a directed acyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-06-18 Manabu Kuroki , Zhihong Cai

In this paper, we introduce a new causal methodology that accounts for the rarity and frequency of events in observational studies based on their relevance to the underlying problem. Specifically, we propose a direct causal effect metric…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Usef Faghihi , Amir Saki

To reliably deploy Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning (MARL) systems, it is crucial to understand individual agent behaviors. While prior work typically evaluates overall team performance based on explicit reward signals, it is unclear how…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Ardian Selmonaj , Miroslav Strupl , Oleg Szehr , Alessandro Antonucci

Agent-based computational economics (ACE) - while adopted comparably widely in other domains of managerial science - is a rather novel paradigm for management accounting research (MAR). This paper provides an overview of opportunities and…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-09 Friederike Wall , Stephan Leitner

Multi-agent learning is a challenging problem in machine learning that has applications in different domains such as distributed control, robotics, and economics. We develop a prescriptive model of multi-agent behavior using Markov games.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Jalal Etesami , Christoph-Nikolas Straehle

This paper concerns the probabilistic evaluation of the effects of actions in the presence of unmeasured variables. We show that the identification of causal effect between a singleton variable X and a set of variables Y can be accomplished…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-21 David Galles , Judea Pearl

We review existing approaches to mathematical modeling and analysis of multi-agent systems in which complex collective behavior arises out of local interactions between many simple agents. Though the behavior of an individual agent can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kristina Lerman , Aram Galstyan , Tad Hogg

Multi-agent dynamical systems refer to scenarios where multiple units interact with each other and evolve collectively over time. To make informed decisions in multi-agent dynamical systems, such as determining the optimal vaccine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Song Jiang , Zijie Huang , Xiao Luo , Yizhou Sun

In this work, we propose a novel generative method to identify the causal impact and apply it to prediction tasks. We conduct causal impact analysis using interventional and counterfactual perspectives. First, applying interventions, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Soma Bandyopadhyay , Sudeshna Sarkar

AI agents are commonly trained with large datasets of demonstrations of human behavior. However, not all behaviors are equally safe or desirable. Desired characteristics for an AI agent can be expressed by assigning desirability scores,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Tim Franzmeyer , Edith Elkind , Philip Torr , Jakob Foerster , Joao Henriques

Discovering causal relationships requires controlled experiments, but experimentalists face a sequential decision problem: each intervention reveals information that should inform what to try next. Traditional approaches such as random…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Patrick Cooper , Alvaro Velasquez
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