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Active Causal Experimentalist (ACE): Learning Intervention Strategies via Direct Preference Optimization

Machine Learning 2026-02-03 v1 Artificial Intelligence

Abstract

Discovering causal relationships requires controlled experiments, but experimentalists face a sequential decision problem: each intervention reveals information that should inform what to try next. Traditional approaches such as random sampling, greedy information maximization, and round-robin coverage treat each decision in isolation, unable to learn adaptive strategies from experience. We propose Active Causal Experimentalist (ACE), which learns experimental design as a sequential policy. Our key insight is that while absolute information gains diminish as knowledge accumulates (making value-based RL unstable), relative comparisons between candidate interventions remain meaningful throughout. ACE exploits this via Direct Preference Optimization, learning from pairwise intervention comparisons rather than non-stationary reward magnitudes. Across synthetic benchmarks, physics simulations, and economic data, ACE achieves 70-71% improvement over baselines at equal intervention budgets (p < 0.001, Cohen's d ~ 2). Notably, the learned policy autonomously discovers that collider mechanisms require concentrated interventions on parent variables, a theoretically-grounded strategy that emerges purely from experience. This suggests preference-based learning can recover principled experimental strategies, complementing theory with learned domain adaptation.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2602.02451,
  title  = {Active Causal Experimentalist (ACE): Learning Intervention Strategies via Direct Preference Optimization},
  author = {Patrick Cooper and Alvaro Velasquez},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2602.02451},
  year   = {2026}
}

Comments

9 pages, 5 figures

R2 v1 2026-07-01T09:32:29.644Z