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Many problems in climate science require the identification of signals obscured by both the "noise" of internal climate variability and differences across models. Following previous work, we train an artificial neural network (ANN) to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-24 Elizabeth A. Barnes , Benjamin Toms , James W. Hurrell , Imme Ebert-Uphoff , Chuck Anderson , David Anderson

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are recurrent neural networks usually employed for modeling nonlinear dynamic systems with relatively ease of training. By incorporating physical laws into the training of ESNs, Physics-Informed ESNs (PI-ESNs)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Eric Mochiutti , Eric Aislan Antonelo , Eduardo Camponogara

Detecting extreme events in large datasets is a major challenge in climate science research. Current algorithms for extreme event detection are build upon human expertise in defining events based on subjective thresholds of relevant…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2016-05-05 Yunjie Liu , Evan Racah , Prabhat , Joaquin Correa , Amir Khosrowshahi , David Lavers , Kenneth Kunkel , Michael Wehner , William Collins

Detecting changepoints in functional data has become an important problem as interest in monitoring of climate phenomenon has increased, where the data is functional in nature. The observed data often contains both amplitude ($y$-axis) and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 J. Derek Tucker , Drew Yarger

Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) have demonstrated their outstanding ability in sequence tasks and have achieved state-of-the-art in wide range of applications, such as industrial, medical, economic and linguistic. Echo State Network (ESN)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Chenxi Sun , Moxian Song , Shenda Hong , Hongyan Li

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Recently, we have developed two approaches…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-31 Josef Ludescher , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

In epidemiological research, modeling the cumulative effects of time-dependent exposures on survival outcomes presents a challenge due to their intricate temporal dynamics. Conventional spline-based statistical methods, though effective,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-01 Kang-Chung Yang , Shinsheng Yuan

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest driver of interannual global climate variability and can lead to extreme weather events like droughts and flooding. Additionally, ENSO influences the mean global temperature with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-04 J. Ludescher , J. Meng , J. Fan , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

Cellular traffic forecasting is a critical task that enables network operators to efficiently allocate resources and address anomalies in rapidly evolving environments. The exponential growth of data collected from base stations poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Theodoros Tsiolakis , Nikolaos Pavlidis , Vasileios Perifanis , Pavlos Efraimidis

The El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) and pressure across the equatorial Pacific Ocean with a period of 2-7 years. As the largest mode of interannual variability on Earth, ENSO shapes…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 PJ Tuckman , Da Yang

Atmospheric Extreme Events (EEs) cause severe damages to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of EEs and other associated events are increasing in the current climate change and global warming risk. The accurate…

Accurate long-range forecasting of the El \Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is vital for global climate prediction and disaster risk management. Yet, limited understanding of ENSO's physical mechanisms constrains both numerical and deep…

Echo State Networks (ESNs) are a particular type of untrained Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) within the Reservoir Computing (RC) framework, popular for their fast and efficient learning. However, traditional ESNs often struggle with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Matteo Pinna , Andrea Ceni , Claudio Gallicchio

Dryland vegetation ecosystems are known to be susceptible to critical transitions between alternative stable states when subjected to external forcing. Such transitions are often discussed through the framework of bifurcation theory, but…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-05-16 Daniel Dylewsky , Sonia Kéfi , Madhur Anand , Chris T. Bauch

We report an improvement to the conventional Echo State Network (ESN) across three benchmark chaotic time-series prediction tasks using fruit fly connectome data alone. We also investigate the impact of key connectome-derived structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-13 Jacob Morra , Mark Daley

The goal of this paper is to investigate the theoretical properties, the training algorithm, and the predictive control applications of Echo State Networks (ESNs), a particular kind of Recurrent Neural Networks. First, a condition…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-02-06 Luca Bugliari Armenio , Enrico Terzi , Marcello Farina , Riccardo Scattolini

Jet tagging techniques that make use of deep learning show great potential for improving physics analyses at colliders. One such method is the Energy Flow Network (EFN) - a recently introduced neural network architecture that represents…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2021-04-29 Matthew J. Dolan , Ayodele Ore

We explore the crucial interplay between climate change and power system planning, highlighting the urgent need to systematically integrate climate information into energy system studies. Climate change impacts the energy sector on multiple…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-05 Laurent Dubus , Alberto Troccoli , Aron zuiker , Laurens Stoop

Convolutional neural networks (CNNs) can potentially provide powerful tools for classifying and identifying patterns in climate and environmental data. However, because of the inherent complexities of such data, which are often…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-03-03 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Pedram Hassanzadeh , Saba Pasha

The low frequency variability of the extratropical atmosphere involves hemispheric-scale recurring, often persistent, states known as teleconnection patterns or regimes, which can have profound impact on predictability on intra-seasonal and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-31 Dmitry Mukhin , Abdel Hannachi , Tobias Braun , Norbert Marwan