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Covariate imbalance between treatment groups makes it difficult to compare cumulative incidence curves in competing risk analyses. In this paper we discuss different methods to estimate adjusted cumulative incidence curves including inverse…

Causal discovery from observational data holds great promise, but existing methods rely on strong assumptions about the underlying causal structure, often requiring full observability of all relevant variables. We tackle these challenges by…

We propose a methodology to explore and measure the pairwise correlations that exist between variables in a dataset. The methodology leverages copulas for encoding dependence between two variables, state-of-the-art optimal transport for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Gautier Marti , Sebastien Andler , Frank Nielsen , Philippe Donnat

This paper lays out a principled approach to compare copula forecasts via strictly consistent scores. We first establish the negative result that, in general, copulas fail to be elicitable, implying that copula predictions cannot sensibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 Tobias Fissler , Yannick Hoga

Conditional copula models allow dependence structures to vary with observed covariates while preserving a separation between marginal behavior and association. We study the uniform asymptotic behavior of kernel-weighted local likelihood…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Mathias Nthiani Muia

We present a multidimensional data analysis framework for the analysis of ordinal response variables. Underlying the ordinal variables, we assume a continuous latent variable, leading to cumulative logit models. The framework includes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-01 Mark de Rooij , Ligaya Breemer , Dion Woestenburg , Frank Busing

Multivariate normal mixtures provide a flexible model for high-dimensional data. They are widely used in statistical genetics, statistical finance, and other disciplines. Due to the unboundedness of the likelihood function, classical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-05-27 Jiahua Chen , Xianming Tan

Building higher-dimensional copulas is generally recognized as a difficult problem. Regular-vines using bivariate copulas provide a flexible class of high-dimensional dependency models. In large dimensions, the drawback of the model is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-07 Edith Kovacs , Tamas Szantai

The need for a method to construct multidimensional distribution function is increasing recently, in the era of huge multiwavelength surveys. We have proposed a systematic method to build a bivariate luminosity or mass function of galaxies…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2020-09-02 Tsutomu T. Takeuchi , Kai T. Kono

In clinical studies with paired organs, binary outcomes often exhibit intra-subject correlation and may include a mixture of unilateral and bilateral observations. Under Donner's constant correlation model, we develop three likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Jia Zhou , Chang-Xing Ma

Several formulations have long existed in the literature in the form of continuous mixtures of normal variables where a mixing variable operates on the mean or on the variance or on both the mean and the variance of a multivariate normal…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-03-31 Reinaldo B. Arellano-Valle , Adelchi Azzalini

Biomechanical and orthopaedic studies frequently encounter complex datasets that encompass both circular and linear variables. In most cases the circular and linear variables are (i) considered in isolation with dependency between variables…

Risk evaluation is a forecast, and its validity must be backtested. Probability distribution forecasts are used in this work and allow for more powerful validations compared to point forecasts. Our aim is to use bivariate copulas in order…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-21 Boris David , Gilles Zumbach

In regression models, predictor variables with inherent ordering, such as tumor staging ranging and ECOG performance status, are commonly seen in medical settings. Statistically, it may be difficult to determine the functional form of an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-04 Emily Roberts , Lili Zhao

This paper shows that large nonparametric classes of conditional multivariate densities can be approximated in the Kullback--Leibler distance by different specifications of finite mixtures of normal regressions in which normal means and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-05 Andriy Norets

The majority of finite mixture models suffer from not allowing asymmetric tail dependencies within components and not capturing non-elliptical clusters in clustering applications. Since vine copulas are very flexible in capturing these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-09 Özge Sahin , Claudia Czado

This paper presents a method for fitting a copula-driven generalized linear mixed models. For added flexibility, the skew-normal copula is adopted for fitting. The correlation matrix of the skew-normal copula is used to capture the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-01 Kalyan Das , Mohamad Elmasri , Arusharka Sen

Diagnostic test accuracy studies observe the result of a gold standard procedure that defines the presence or absence of a disease and the result of a diagnostic test. They typically report the number of true positives, false positives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-19 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Copulas provide an attractive approach for constructing multivariate distributions with flexible marginal distributions and different forms of dependences. Of particular importance in many areas is the possibility of explicitly forecasting…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-22 Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

Copula is a powerful tool to model multivariate data. We propose the modelling of intraday financial returns of multiple assets through copula. The problem originates due to the asynchronous nature of intraday financial data. We propose a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen
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