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Hoeffding's inequality is a fundamental tool widely applied in probability theory, statistics, and machine learning. In this paper, we establish Hoeffding's inequalities specifically tailored for an irreducible and positive recurrent…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-24 Jinpeng Liu , Yuanyuan Liu , Lin Zhou

We consider Markov chain with spectral gap in $L^2$ space. Assume that $f$ is a bounded function. Then the probabilities of large deviations of average along trajectory satisfy Hoeffding's-type inequalities. These bounds depend only on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-14 Błażej Miasojedow

We observe that the technique of Markov contraction can be used to establish measure concentration for a broad class of non-contracting chains. In particular, geometric ergodicity provides a simple and versatile framework. This leads to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-06 Aryeh Kontorovich , Roi Weiss

We extend Hoeffding's lemma to general-state-space and not necessarily reversible Markov chains. Let $\{X_i\}_{i \ge 1}$ be a stationary Markov chain with invariant measure $\pi$ and absolute spectral gap $1-\lambda$, where $\lambda$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-19 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

Let $(\xi_n)_{n=0}^\infty$ be a nonhomogeneous Markov chain taking values from finite state-space of $\mathbf{X}=\{1,2,\ldots,b\}$. In this paper, we will study the generalized entropy ergodic theorem with almost-everywhere and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-19 Zhongzhi Wang , Weiguo Yang

In our earlier paper, a generalized Dobrushin ergodicity coefficient of Markov operators (acting on abstract state spaces) with respect to a projection $P$, has been introduced and studied. It turned out that the introduced coefficient was…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-22 Farrukh Mukhamedov , Ahmed Al-Rawashdeh

Concentration inequalities are widely used for analyzing machine learning algorithms. However, current concentration inequalities cannot be applied to some of the most popular deep neural networks, notably in natural language processing.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-22 Rémy Garnier , Raphaël Langhendries

We give Hoeffding and Bernstein-type concentration inequalities for the largest eigenvalue of sums of random matrices arising from a Markov chain. We consider time-dependent matrix-valued functions on a general state space, generalizing…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Joe Neeman , Bobby Shi , Rachel Ward

A Markov network characterizes the conditional independence structure, or Markov property, among a set of random variables. Existing work focuses on specific families of distributions (e.g., exponential families) and/or certain structures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-22 Yujia Zheng , Ignavier Ng , Yewen Fan , Kun Zhang

The first paper in this series introduced a \emph{short-to-long mixing} condition that captures mean-field GOE/GUE edge universality in the supercritical sparsity regime, for symmetric/Hermitian random matrices with independent entries and…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Dang-Zheng Liu , Guangyi Zou

Concentration inequalities are indispensable tools for studying the generalization capacity of learning models. Hoeffding's and McDiarmid's inequalities are commonly used, giving bounds independent of the data distribution. Although this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-21 Xinxing Wu , Junping Zhang

This paper develops a Hoeffding inequality for the partial sums $\sum_{k=1}^n f (X_k)$, where $\{X_k\}_{k \in \mathbb{Z}_{> 0}}$ is an irreducible Markov chain on a finite state space $S$, and $f : S \to [a, b]$ is a real-valued function.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-13 Vrettos Moulos

We establish quantitative bounds for rates of convergence and asymptotic variances for iterated conditional sequential Monte Carlo (i-cSMC) Markov chains and associated particle Gibbs samplers. Our main findings are that the essential…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Christophe Andrieu , Anthony Lee , Matti Vihola

In this paper, we study moment and concentration inequalities for the spectral norm of sums of dependent random matrices. We establish novel Rosenthal-Burkholder inequalities for discrete-time matrix local martingales,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-13 Yang Peng , Yuchen Xin , Zhihua Zhang

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

Mostof the existing literature on supervised machine learning problems focuses on the case when the training data set is drawn from an i.i.d. sample. However, many practical problems are characterized by temporal dependence and strong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-23 Nikola Sandrić , Stjepan Šebek

This paper surveys various results about Markov chains on general (non-countable) state spaces. It begins with an introduction to Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms, which provide the motivation and context for the theory which…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Gareth O. Roberts , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

We prove deviation bounds for the random variable $\sum_{i=1}^{n} f_i(Y_i)$ in which $\{Y_i\}_{i=1}^{\infty}$ is a Markov chain with stationary distribution and state space $[N]$, and $f_i: [N] \rightarrow [-a_i, a_i]$. Our bound improves…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Shravas Rao

Using the renewal approach we prove exponential inequalities for additive functionals and empirical processes of ergodic Markov chains, thus obtaining counterparts of inequalities for sums of independent random variables. The inequalities…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-18 Radosław Adamczak , Witold Bednorz

Conformal prediction is a widely used method to quantify the uncertainty of a classifier under the assumption of exchangeability (e.g., IID data). We generalize conformal prediction to the Hidden Markov Model (HMM) framework where the…

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