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The role of uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning has become crucial with growing use of predictive models in high-risk applications. Though a large class of methods exists for measuring deep uncertainties, in practice, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-01 Bindya Venkatesh , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is an essential step in computational model validation because assessment of the model accuracy requires a concrete, quantifiable measure of uncertainty in the model predictions. The concept of UQ in the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-24 Xu Wu , Ziyu Xie , Farah Alsafadi , Tomasz Kozlowski

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) has gained traction in an attempt to improve the interpretability and robustness of machine learning predictions. Specifically (medical) biosignals such as electroencephalography (EEG), electrocardiography…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Ivo Pascal de Jong , Andreea Ioana Sburlea , Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) stand out as one of the most prominent approaches within the Machine Learning (ML) domain. The efficacy of DNNs has surged alongside recent increases in computational capacity, allowing these approaches to scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-27 Jamie Duell , Monika Seisenberger , Hsuan Fu , Xiuyi Fan

Partial differential equations (PDEs) are fundamental for theoretically describing numerous physical processes that are based on some input fields in spatial configurations. Understanding the physical process, in general, requires…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Mahadevan Ganesh , Stuart C Hawkins , Alexandre Tartakovsky , Ramakrishna Tipireddy

Inverse medium scattering solvers generally reconstruct a single solution without an associated measure of uncertainty. This is true both for the classical iterative solvers and for the emerging deep learning methods. But ill-posedness and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-12 AmirEhsan Khorashadizadeh , Ali Aghababaei , Tin Vlašić , Hieu Nguyen , Ivan Dokmanić

Quantification of uncertainty in production/injection forecasting is an important aspect of reservoir simulation studies. Conventional approaches include intrusive Galerkin-based methods (e.g., generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Larry Jin , Hannah Lu , Gege Wen

In recent years, deep learning (DL) techniques have provided state-of-the-art performance on different medical imaging tasks. However, the availability of good quality annotated medical data is very challenging due to involved time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Muhammad Ahtazaz Ahsan , Adnan Qayyum , Junaid Qadir , Adeel Razi

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) are making significant progress in many research areas where decision-making needs to be accompanied by uncertainty estimation. Being able to quantify uncertainty while making decisions is essential for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-07 Martin Ferianc , Partha Maji , Matthew Mattina , Miguel Rodrigues

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is crucial in computational fluid dynamics to assess the reliability and robustness of simulations, given the uncertainties in input parameters. OpenLB is an open-source lattice Boltzmann method library…

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) has become critical for evaluating the reliability of artificial intelligence systems, especially in medical image segmentation. This study addresses the interpretability of instance-wise uncertainty values…

We provide an approach enabling one to employ physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) for uncertainty quantification. Our approach is applicable to systems where observations are scarce (or even lacking), these being typical situations…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-08-12 Milad Panahi , Giovanni Michele Porta , Monica Riva , Alberto Guadagnini

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) have been widely used to obtain solutions to various physical phenomena modeled as Differential Equations. As PINNs are not naturally equipped with mechanisms for Uncertainty Quantification, some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Pablo Flores , Olga Graf , Pavlos Protopapas , Karim Pichara

This paper investigates two prominent probabilistic neural modeling paradigms: Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) and Mixture Density Networks (MDNs) for uncertainty-aware nonlinear regression. While BNNs incorporate epistemic uncertainty by…

Computation · Statistics 2025-10-30 Riddhi Pratim Ghosh , Ian Barnett

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have emerged as a promising framework for solving inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs), including the reconstruction of turbulent flow fields from sparse data. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Khemraj Shukla , Zongren Zou , Theo Kaeufer , Michael Triantafyllou , George Em Karniadakis

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performances in many important domains, including medical diagnosis, security, and autonomous driving. In these domains where safety is highly critical, an erroneous decision can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-12 Aryan Mobiny , Hien V. Nguyen , Supratik Moulik , Naveen Garg , Carol C. Wu

Motivation: Recent work has demonstrated the feasibility of using non-numerical, qualitative data to parameterize mathematical models. However, uncertainty quantification (UQ) of such parameterized models has remained challenging because of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-04 Eshan D. Mitra , William S. Hlavacek

Deep neural networks(NNs) have achieved impressive performance, often exceed human performance on many computer vision tasks. However, one of the most challenging issues that still remains is that NNs are overconfident in their predictions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-30 Chanwoo Park , Jae Myung Kim , Seok Hyeon Ha , Jungwoo Lee

Uncertainty quantification is essential when dealing with ill-conditioned inverse problems due to the inherent nonuniqueness of the solution. Bayesian approaches allow us to determine how likely an estimation of the unknown parameters is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-01-16 Ali Siahkoohi , Gabrio Rizzuti , Felix J. Herrmann

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei