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We obtain a Bernstein type Gaussian concentration inequality for martingales. Our inequality improves the Azuma-Hoeffding inequality for moderate deviations $x$. Following the work of McDiarmid (1989), Talagrand (1996) and Boucheron, Lugosi…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-10-17 Xiequan Fan

Consider the task of generating samples from a tilted distribution of a random vector whose underlying distribution is unknown, but samples from it are available. This finds applications in fields such as finance and climate science, and in…

In this paper we explore the fundamentals of the Martingale Representation Theorem (MRT) and a closely related result, the Clark-Ocone formula. We also investigate how far these theorems can be taken, notably beyond the regular Sobolev…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-25 Deborah Schneider-Luftman

We study integral representations of random variables with respect to general H\"older continuous processes and with respect to two particular cases; fractional Brownian motion and mixed fractional Brownian motion. We prove that arbitrary…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-01 Georgiy Shevchenko , Lauri Viitasaari

We present a construction of the basic operators of stochastic analysis (gradient and divergence) for a class of discrete-time normal martingales called obtuse random walks. The approach is based on the chaos representation property and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Uwe Franz , Tarek Hamdi

Multifractal systems usually have singularity spectra defined on bounded sets of H\"older exponents. As a consequence, their associated multifractal scaling exponents are expected to depend linearly upon statistical moment orders at high…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-30 L. Moriconi

The classic model of computable randomness considers martingales that take real or rational values. Recent work by Bienvenu et al. (2012) and Teutsch (2014) shows that fundamental features of the classic model change when the martingales…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-04-16 Ron Peretz

In this thesis, we study asymptotic properties of the standard branching Brownian motion, with a specific emphasis on the additive martingales at high temperature. We start by presenting classic and fundamental tools for our investigation.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-30 Louis Chataignier

In classical optimal transport, the contributions of Benamou-Brenier and McCann regarding the time-dependent version of the problem are cornerstones of the field and form the basis for a variety of applications in other mathematical areas.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-16 Julio Backhoff-Veraguas , Mathias Beiglböck , Martin Huesmann , Sigrid Källblad

The Fock transform recently introduced by the authors in a previous paper is applied to investigate convergence of generalized functional sequences of a discrete-time normal martingale $M$. A necessary and sufficient condition in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-16 Caishi Wang , Jinshu Chen

We consider the problem of rare event importance sampling, where the random variable of interest is a path functional of an It\^o diffusion computed up to the first exit from a $d$-dimensional bounded domain. Dupuis and Wang (\textit{Ann.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-21 Han Cheng Lie

One of the main goal of extreme value analysis is to estimate the probability of rare events given a sample from an unknown distribution. The upper tail behavior of this distribution is described by the extreme value index. We present a new…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Laurent Gardes , Stephane Girard

It is well known that upward conditioned Brownian motion is a three-dimensional Bessel process, and that a downward conditioned Bessel process is a Brownian motion. We give a simple proof for this result, which generalizes to any continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-10 Nicolas Perkowski , Johannes Ruf

It has long been agreed by academics that the inversion method is the method of choice for generating random variates, given the availability of the quantile function. However for several probability distributions arising in practice a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-03 Asad Munir , William Shaw

A dynamic mean field theory is developed for finite state and action Bayesian reinforcement learning in the large state space limit. In an analogy with statistical physics, the Bellman equation is studied as a disordered dynamical system;…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-13 George Stamatescu

A new class of distributional transformations is introduced, characterized by equations relating function weighted expectations of test functions on a given distribution to expectations of the transformed distribution on the test function's…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Larry Goldstein , Gesine Reinert

We consider continuous-time Markov chains on integers which allow transitions to adjacent states only, with alternating rates. We give explicit formulas for probability generating functions, and also for means, variances and state…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-30 Luisa Beghin , Claudio Macci , Barbara Martinucci

This study addresses the often-overlooked issue of measurability at intermediate points when applying Taylor's theorems to random functions and random vectors (e.g., likelihood functions with respect to estimators) in statistics. Classical…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-05-01 Yifan Yang , Xiaoyu Zhou , Ming Wang

For fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H the Berman constant is defined. In this paper we consider a general random field (rf) Z that is a spectral rf of some stationary max-stable rf X and derive the properties of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-10 Krzysztof Dębicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Zbigniew Michna

Application of the exact statistical inference frequently leads to a non-standard probability distributions of the considered estimators or test statistics. The exact distributions of many estimators and test statistics can be specified by…

Computation · Statistics 2018-01-09 Viktor Witkovský