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Related papers: Parallel-in-Time Probabilistic Numerical ODE Solve…

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In this article, we introduce a novel parallel-in-time solver for nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We state the numerical solution of an ODE as a root-finding problem that we solve using Newton's method. The affine…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Casian Iacob , Hassan Razavi , Simo Särkkä

Mechanistic models with differential equations are a key component of scientific applications of machine learning. Inference in such models is usually computationally demanding, because it involves repeatedly solving the differential…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-06 Jonathan Schmidt , Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

Probabilistic solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have emerged as an efficient framework for uncertainty quantification and inference on dynamical systems. In this work, we explain the mathematical assumptions and detailed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-25 Nicholas Krämer , Nathanael Bosch , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

Probabilistic solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) provide efficient quantification of numerical uncertainty associated with simulation of dynamical systems. Their convergence rates have been established by a growing body of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-21 Nicholas Krämer , Philipp Hennig

This work develops a class of probabilistic algorithms for the numerical solution of nonlinear, time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs). Current state-of-the-art PDE solvers treat the space- and time-dimensions separately,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-10 Nicholas Krämer , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig

Probabilistic numerical solvers for ordinary differential equations compute posterior distributions over the solution of an initial value problem via Bayesian inference. In this paper, we leverage their probabilistic formulation to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Nathanael Bosch , Filip Tronarp , Philipp Hennig

Computer simulations of differential equations require a time discretization, which inhibits to identify the exact solution with certainty. Probabilistic simulations take this into account via uncertainty quantification. The construction of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Philipp Frank , Torsten A. Enßlin

Probabilistic ordinary differential equation (ODE) solvers have been introduced over the past decade as uncertainty-aware numerical integrators. They typically proceed by assuming a functional prior to the ODE solution, which is then…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-25 Yvann Le Fay , Simo Särkkä , Adrien Corenflos

Filtering-based probabilistic numerical solvers for ordinary differential equations (ODEs), also known as ODE filters, have been established as efficient methods for quantifying numerical uncertainty in the solution of ODEs. In practical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-02 Dingling Yao , Filip Tronarp , Nathanael Bosch

Different possible sources are discussed for enhancement of the calculation time when solving ordinary differential equations systems to forecast space objects' motion. This paper presents an approach for building an integrator of ordinary…

Space Physics · Physics 2010-03-02 Atanas Marinov Atanassov

This paper presents algorithms for temporal parallelization of Bayesian smoothers. We define the elements and the operators to pose these problems as the solutions to all-prefix-sums operations for which efficient parallel scan-algorithms…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-21 Simo Särkkä , Ángel F. García-Fernández

A novel probabilistic numerical method for quantifying the uncertainty induced by the time integration of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is introduced. Departing from the classical strategy to randomize ODE solvers by adding a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Assyr Abdulle , Giacomo Garegnani

The aim of this article is to present a novel parallelization method for temporal Gaussian process (GP) regression problems. The method allows for solving GP regression problems in logarithmic O(log N) time, where N is the number of time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-18 Adrien Corenflos , Zheng Zhao , Simo Särkkä

In engineering, accurately modeling nonlinear dynamic systems from data contaminated by noise is both essential and complex. Established Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, used for the Bayesian identification of these systems, facilitate…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-25 Joe D. Longbottom , Max D. Champneys , Timothy J. Rogers

Numerically solving ordinary differential equations (ODEs) is a naturally serial process and as a result the vast majority of ODE solver software are serial. In this manuscript we developed a set of parallelized ODE solvers using…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-13 Utkarsh , Chris Elrod , Yingbo Ma , Christopher Rackauckas

This paper develops a probabilistic numerical method for solution of partial differential equations (PDEs) and studies application of that method to PDE-constrained inverse problems. This approach enables the solution of challenging inverse…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami

Numerical simulation of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) can be challenging when the system exhibits high accelerations and rapidly changing dynamics. Under these conditions the ODE solver often needs to take very small time steps in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-11 Andrew Tagg , Andrew Frandsen , Andrew Ning

In this work, we propose a parallel-in-time solver for linear and nonlinear ordinary differential equations. The approach is based on an efficient multilevel solver of the Schur complement related to a multilevel time partition. For linear…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-20 Santiago Badia , Marc Olm

In this work, we present a novel class of parallelizable high-order time integration schemes for the approximate solution of additive ODEs. The methods achieve high order through a combination of a suitable quadrature formula involving…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Jochen Schütz , David C. Seal , Jonas Zeifang

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators suggests that formal uncertainty quantification can also be performed in this context. Competing statistical…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2019-09-24 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris J. Oates
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