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We introduce Prob-GParareal, a probabilistic extension of the GParareal algorithm designed to provide uncertainty quantification for the Parallel-in-Time (PinT) solution of (ordinary and partial) differential equations (ODEs, PDEs). The…

Computation · Statistics 2025-09-05 Guglielmo Gattiglio , Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Massimiliano Tamborrino

The interpretation of numerical methods, such as finite difference methods for differential equations, as point estimators allows for formal statistical quantification of the error due to discretisation in the numerical context. Competing…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 Junyang Wang , Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates

The problem of Bayesian filtering and smoothing in nonlinear models with additive noise is an active area of research. Classical Taylor series as well as more recent sigma-point based methods are two well-known strategies to deal with these…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Fatemeh Yaghoobi , Adrien Corenflos , Sakira Hassan , Simo Särkkä

We present a hybrid a-priori/a-posteriori goal oriented error estimator for a combination of dynamic iteration-based solution of ordinary differential equations discretized by finite elements. Our novel error estimator combines estimates…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Erik Weyl , Andreas Bartel , Manuel Schaller

We formulate probabilistic numerical approximations to solutions of ordinary differential equations (ODEs) as problems in Gaussian process (GP) regression with non-linear measurement functions. This is achieved by defining the measurement…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-25 Filip Tronarp , Hans Kersting , Simo Särkkä , Philipp Hennig

We present an efficient quantum algorithm to simulate nonlinear differential equations with polynomial vector fields of arbitrary degree on quantum platforms. Models of physical systems that are governed by ordinary differential equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-02-08 Amit Surana , Abeynaya Gnanasekaran , Tuhin Sahai

High-dimensional partial-differential equations (PDEs) arise in a number of fields of science and engineering, where they are used to describe the evolution of joint probability functions. Their examples include the Boltzmann and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-17 A. M. P. Boelens , D. Venturi , D. M. Tartakovsky

Learning neural ODEs often requires solving very stiff ODE systems, primarily using explicit adaptive step size ODE solvers. These solvers are computationally expensive, requiring the use of tiny step sizes for numerical stability and…

We present a new time-stepping algorithm for nonlinear PDEs that exhibit scale separation in time. Our scheme combines asymptotic techniques (which are inexpensive but can have insufficient accuracy) with parallel-in-time methods (which,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-02-24 Terry Haut , Beth Wingate

In this paper, we develop a class of robust numerical methods for solving dynamical systems with multiple time scales. We first represent the solution of a multiscale dynamical system as a transformation of a slowly varying solution. Then,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Thomas Y. Hou , Zhongjian Wang , Zhiwen Zhang

Ordinary Differential Equations are a simple but powerful framework for modeling complex systems. Parameter estimation from times series can be done by Nonlinear Least Squares (or other classical approaches), but this can give…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-29 Quentin Clairon , Nicolas Brunel

Sequential numerical methods for integrating initial value problems (IVPs) can be prohibitively expensive when high numerical accuracy is required over the entire interval of integration. One remedy is to integrate in a parallel fashion,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-26 Kamran Pentland , Massimiliano Tamborrino , T. J. Sullivan , James Buchanan , L. C. Appel

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (Neural ODEs) represent continuous-time dynamics with neural networks, offering advancements for modeling and control tasks. However, training Neural ODEs requires solving differential equations at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-24 Mariia Shapovalova , Calvin Tsay

We examine numerical rounding errors of some deterministic solvers for systems of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). We show that the accumulation of rounding errors results in a solution that is inherently random and we obtain the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-03-13 Sebastian Mosbach , Amanda G. Turner

Most ordinary differential equation (ODE) models used to describe biological or physical systems must be solved approximately using numerical methods. Perniciously, even those solvers which seem sufficiently accurate for the forward…

Appropriate time discretization is crucial for real-time applications of numerical optimal control, such as nonlinear model predictive control. However, if the discretization error strongly depends on the applied control input, meeting…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Amon Lahr , Filip Tronarp , Nathanael Bosch , Jonathan Schmidt , Philipp Hennig , Melanie N. Zeilinger

In this paper, we develop an ensemble-based time-stepping algorithm to efficiently find numerical solutions to a group of linear, second-order parabolic partial differential equations (PDEs). Particularly, the PDE models in the group could…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-10-18 Yan Luo , Zhu Wang

Traditional solvers for delay differential equations (DDEs) are designed around only a single method and do not effectively use the infrastructure of their more-developed ordinary differential equation (ODE) counterparts. In this work we…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-30 David Widmann , Chris Rackauckas

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are a mathematical model used in many application areas such as climatology, bioinformatics, and chemical engineering with its intuitive appeal to modeling. Despite ODE's wide usage in modeling, the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-10 Hyunjoo Yang , Jaeyong Lee

The connection of Taylor maps and polynomial neural networks (PNN) to solve ordinary differential equations (ODEs) numerically is considered. Having the system of ODEs, it is possible to calculate weights of PNN that simulates the dynamics…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Andrei Ivanov , Anna Golovkina , Uwe Iben