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Gaussian process regression is used throughout statistics and machine learning for prediction and uncertainty quantification. A Gaussian process is specified by its mean and covariance functions. Many covariance functions, including…
For an affine two factor model, we study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood and least squares estimators of some appearing parameters in the so-called subcritical (ergodic) case based on continuous time observations. We…
We introduce a methodology for nonlinear inverse problems using a variational Bayesian approach where the unknown quantity is a spatial field. A structured Bayesian Gaussian process latent variable model is used both to construct a…
We develop a semiparametric Bayesian approach for estimating the mean response in a missing data model with binary outcomes and a nonparametrically modelled propensity score. Equivalently we estimate the causal effect of a treatment,…
We will study the least square estimator $\hat{\theta}_{T,S}$ for the drift parameter $\theta$ of the fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck sheet which is defined as the solution of the Langevin equation X_{t,s}= -\theta \int^{t}_{0} \int^{s}_{0}…
We discuss a general Bayesian framework on modeling multidimensional function-valued processes by using a Gaussian process or a heavy-tailed process as a prior, enabling us to handle nonseparable and/or nonstationary covariance structure.…
We find the logarithmic $L_2$-small ball asymptotics for a class of zero mean Gaussian fields with covariances having the structure of "tensor product". The main condition imposed on marginal covariances is slow growth at the origin of…
Given a discrete time sample $X_1,... X_n$ from a L\'evy process $X=(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ of a finite jump activity, we study the problem of nonparametric estimation of the characteristic triplet $(\gamma,\sigma^2,\rho)$ corresponding to the…
Statistical inference can be performed by minimizing, over the parameter space, the Wasserstein distance between model distributions and the empirical distribution of the data. We study asymptotic properties of such minimum Wasserstein…
In Bayesian nonparametric models, Gaussian processes provide a popular prior choice for regression function estimation. Existing literature on the theoretical investigation of the resulting posterior distribution almost exclusively assume a…
We present the Gaussian process density sampler (GPDS), an exchangeable generative model for use in nonparametric Bayesian density estimation. Samples drawn from the GPDS are consistent with exact, independent samples from a distribution…
A functional method for calculating averages of the time-ordered exponential of a continuous isotropic random $N\times N$ matrix process is presented. The process is not assumed to be Gaussian. In particular, the Lyapunov exponents and…
This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…
This paper aims at developing a quasi-Bayesian analysis of the nonparametric instrumental variables model, with a focus on the asymptotic properties of quasi-posterior distributions. In this paper, instead of assuming a distributional…
Let $Z:=\{Z_t,t\geq0\}$ be a stationary Gaussian process. We study two estimators of $\mathbb{E}[Z_0^2]$, namely $\widehat{f}_T(Z):= \frac{1}{T} \int_{0}^{T} Z_{t}^{2}dt$, and $\widetilde{f}_n(Z) :=\frac{1}{n} \sum_{i =1}^{n}…
This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…
We obtain strong consistency and asymptotic normality of a least squares estimator of the drift coefficient for complex-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes disturbed by fractional noise, extending the result of Y. Hu and D. Nualart,…
We investigate simple models for strictly non-ergodic stochastic processes $x_t$ ($t$ being the discrete time step) focusing on the expectation value $v$ and the standard deviation $\delta v$ of the empirical variance $v[x]$ of finite time…
In this article, we study the problem of parameter estimation for a discrete Ornstein - Uhlenbeck model driven by Poisson fractional noise. Based on random walk approximation for the noise, we study least squares and maximum likelihood…
The article is devoted to the nonparametric estimation of the quadratic covariation of non-synchronously observed It\^o processes in an additive microstructure noise model. In a high-frequency setting, we aim at establishing an asymptotic…