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In a variety of disciplines such as social sciences, psychology, medicine and economics, the recorded data are considered to be noisy measurements of latent variables connected by some causal structure. This corresponds to a family of…
For an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter 0<H<1/2, one shows the Berry-Ess\'een bound of the least squares estimator of the drift parameter. Thus, a problem left in the previous paper…
The object of study in this paper is the expected $2$-Wasserstein distance between the empirical measures of several point processes and their respective limit. For this, the main tool developed is a smoothing procedure in Euclidean spaces…
A Bayesian non-parametric framework for studying time-to-event data is proposed, where the prior distribution is allowed to depend on an additional random source, and may update with the sample size. Such scenarios are natural, for…
We consider nonparametric testing in a non-asymptotic framework. Our statistical guarantees are exact in the sense that Type I and II errors are controlled for any finite sample size. Meanwhile, one proposed test is shown to achieve minimax…
Let $\{Z_n\}$ be a real nonstationary stochastic process such that $E(Z_n|{\mathcaligr F}_{n-1})\stackrel{\mathrm{a.s.}}{<}\infty$ and $E(Z^2_n|{\mathcaligr F}_{n-1})\stackrel{\mathrm{a.s.}}{<}\infty$, where $\{{\mathcaligr F}_n\}$ is an…
This paper considers the problem of estimating a periodic function in a continuous time regression model with an additive stationary gaussian noise having unknown correlation function. A general model selection procedure on the basis of…
Stochastic processes are a flexible and widely used family of models for statistical modeling. While stochastic processes offer attractive properties such as inclusion of uncertainty properties, their inference is typically intractable,…
Gaussian processes that can be decomposed into a smooth mean function and a stationary autocorrelated noise process are considered and a fully automatic nonparametric method to simultaneous estimation of mean and auto-covariance functions…
The present paper investigates theoretical performance of various Bayesian wavelet shrinkage rules in a nonparametric regression model with i.i.d. errors which are not necessarily normally distributed. The main purpose is comparison of…
This paper studies quasi Bayesian estimation and uncertainty quantification for an unknown function that is identified by a nonparametric conditional moment restriction. We derive contraction rates for a class of Gaussian process priors.…
This article establishes explicit non-asymptotic ergodic bounds in the renormalized Wasserstein-Kantorovich-Rubinstein (WKR) distance for a viscous energy shell lattice model of turbulence with random energy injection. The system under…
In this paper we obtain non-uniform Berry-Esseen bounds for normal approximations by the Malliavin-Stein method. The techniques rely on a detailed analysis of the solutions of Stein's equations and will be applied to functionals of a…
We establish a moderate deviation principle for the maximum likelihood estimator of the four parameters of a geometrically ergodic Heston process. We also obtain moderate deviations for the maximum likelihood estimator of the couple of…
We consider a multivariate functional measurement error model $AX\approx B$. The errors in $[A,B]$ are uncorrelated, row-wise independent, and have equal (unknown) variances. We study the total least squares estimator of $X$, which, in the…
This paper provides a precise error analysis for the maximum likelihood estimate $\hat{a}_{\text{ML}}(u_1^n)$ of the parameter $a$ given samples $u_1^n = (u_1, \ldots, u_n)'$ drawn from a nonstationary Gauss-Markov process $U_i = a U_{i-1}…
Let $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be a stationary mean-zero Gaussian process with covariances $\rho(k)=\PE(X_{1}X_{k+1})$ satisfying: $\rho(0)=1$ and $\rho(k)=k^{-D} L(k)$ where $D$ is in $(0,1)$ and $L$ is slowly varying at infinity. Consider the…
We consider a sequence of fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes, that are defined as solutions of a family of stochastic Volterra equations with kernel given by the Riesz derivative kernel, and leading coefficients given by a sequence of…
We propose a non-Gaussian operator-valued extension of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility dynamics, defined as the square-root of an operator-valued Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Levy noise and bounded drift. We…
This article studies the asymptotic properties of Bayesian or frequentist estimators of a vector of parameters related to structural properties of sequences of graphs. The estimators studied originate from a particular class of graphex…