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In this paper, we compute finite sample bounds for data-driven approximations of the solution to stochastic reachability problems. Our approach uses a nonparametric technique known as kernel distribution embeddings, and provides…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-09 Adam J. Thorpe , Kendric R. Ortiz , Meeko M. K. Oishi

Conformal prediction has received tremendous attention in recent years and has offered new solutions to problems in missing data and causal inference; yet these advances have not leveraged modern semiparametric efficiency theory for more…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-14 Yachong Yang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Uncertainty is ubiquitous in real-world data, and the assumptions underlying classical linear regression models are often violated in practice. Inspired by the theory of sublinear expectation, we consider a linear regression model where the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Xifeng Li , Shuzhen Yang

There has been recent growth in small area estimation due to the need for more precise estimation of small geographic areas, which has led to groups such as the U.S. Census Bureau, Google, and the RAND corporation utilizing small area…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-17 Malay Ghosh , Rebecca C. Steorts

The No Unmeasured Confounding Assumption is widely used to identify causal effects in observational studies. Recent work on proximal inference has provided alternative identification results that succeed even in the presence of unobserved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-17 Benjamin Kompa , David R. Bellamy , Thomas Kolokotrones , James M. Robins , Andrew L. Beam

Discovery problems often require deciding whether additional sampling is needed to detect all categories whose prevalence exceeds a prespecified threshold. We study this question under a Bernoulli product (incidence) model, where categories…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Alessandro Colombi , Mario Beraha , Amichai Painsky , Stefano Favaro

Change-point detection has been a classical problem in statistics and econometrics. This work focuses on the problem of detecting abrupt distributional changes in the data-generating distribution of a sequence of high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-20 Shubhadeep Chakraborty , Xianyang Zhang

We propose a method to outer bound forward reachable sets on finite horizons for uncertain nonlinear systems with polynomial dynamics. This method makes use of time-dependent polynomial storage functions that satisfy appropriate dissipation…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-18 He Yin , Andrew Packard , Murat Arcak , Peter Seiler

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties,…

This study proposes a mathematical programming-based algorithm for the integrated selection of variable subsets and bandwidth estimation in geographically weighted regression, a local regression method that allows the kernel bandwidth and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-24 Hyunwoo Lee , Young Woong Park

We propose a novel approach to Bayesian analysis that is provably robust to outliers in the data and often has computational advantages over standard methods. Our technique is based on splitting the data into non-overlapping subgroups,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Stanislav Minsker , Sanvesh Srivastava , Lizhen Lin , David B. Dunson

When a model's performance differs across socially or culturally relevant groups--like race, gender, or the intersections of many such groups--it is often called "biased." While much of the work in algorithmic fairness over the last several…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-01 Kristian Lum , Yunfeng Zhang , Amanda Bower

In this paper, we study a generalization of the two-groups model in the presence of covariates --- a problem that has recently received much attention in the statistical literature due to its applicability in multiple hypotheses testing…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Nabarun Deb , Sujayam Saha , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Bodhisattva Sen

Multi-category data arise in diverse fields including marketing, chemistry, public policy, genomics, political science, and ecology. We consider the problem of estimating ratios of category-specific means in a fully nonparametric setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Grant Hopkins , Sarah Teichman , Ellen Graham , Amy D Willis

In this paper we examine how Lagrangian techniques can be used to compute underapproximations and overapproximation of the finite-time horizon, stochastic reach-avoid level sets for discrete-time, nonlinear systems. This approach is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-10-17 Joseph D. Gleason , Abraham P. Vinod , Meeko M. K. Oishi

We consider the estimation of average treatment effects in observational studies and propose a new framework of robust causal inference with unobserved confounders. Our approach is based on distributionally robust optimization and proceeds…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-06 Dimitris Bertsimas , Kosuke Imai , Michael Lingzhi Li

We introduce a novel methodology for addressing systematic uncertainties in unbinned inclusive cross-section measurements and related collider-based inference problems. Our approach incorporates known analytic dependencies on parameters of…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-01-21 Lisa Benato , Cristina Giordano , Claudius Krause , Ang Li , Robert Schöfbeck , Dennis Schwarz , Maryam Shooshtari , Daohan Wang

Density level sets can be estimated using plug-in methods, excess mass algorithms or a hybrid of the two previous methodologies. The plug-in algorithms are based on replacing the unknown density by some nonparametric estimator, usually the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-26 A. Rodríguez-Casal , P. Saavedra-Nieves

Remote sensing imagery offers rich spectral data across extensive areas for Earth observation. Many attempts have been made to leverage these data with transfer learning to develop scalable alternatives for estimating socio-economic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-22 Fan Yang , Sahoko Ishida , Mengyan Zhang , Daniel Jenson , Swapnil Mishra , Jhonathan Navott , Seth Flaxman

Cut-set bounds on achievable rates for network communication protocols are not in general tight. In this paper we introduce a new technique for proving converses for the problem of transmission of correlated sources in networks, that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-05-31 Amin Aminzadeh Gohari , Shenghao Yang , Sidharth Jaggi