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Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

We investigate the parameter estimation of regression models with fixed group effects, when the group variable is missing while group related variables are available. This problem involves clustering to infer the missing group variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-29 Matthieu Marbac , Mohammed Sedki , Christophe Biernacki , Vincent Vandewalle

Validating and controlling safety-critical systems in uncertain environments necessitates probabilistic reachable sets of future state evolutions. The existing methods of computing probabilistic reachable sets normally assume that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-03 Xun Shen , Ye Wang , Kazumune Hashimoto , Yuhu Wu , Sebastien Gros

In this paper, we derive a novel procedure for set-membership estimation of dynamical systems affected by stochastic noise with unbounded support. Employing a bound on the sample covariance matrix, we are able to provide a finite- sample…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-20 Felix Brändle , Nicolas Chatzikiriakos , Andrea Iannelli , Frank Allgöwer

Locating a target is key in many applications, namely in high-stakes real-world scenarios, like detecting humans or obstacles in vehicular networks. In scenarios where precise statistics of the measurement noise are unavailable,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-17 João Domingos , Cláudia Soares , João Xavier

We develop a practical and novel method for inference on intersection bounds, namely bounds defined by either the infimum or supremum of a parametric or nonparametric function, or equivalently, the value of a linear programming problem with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-06 Victor Chernozhukov , Sokbae Lee , Adam M. Rosen

Measurement error in observational datasets can lead to systematic bias in inferences based on these datasets. As studies based on observational data are increasingly used to inform decisions with real-world impact, it is critical that we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-29 Roy Adams , Yuelong Ji , Xiaobin Wang , Suchi Saria

We propose a new \textit{quadratic programming-based} method of approximating a nonstandard density using a multivariate Gaussian density. Such nonstandard densities usually arise while developing posterior samplers for unobserved…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-14 Abhishek K. Umrawal , Joshua C. C. Chan

Model-based reinforcement learning seeks to simultaneously learn the dynamics of an unknown stochastic environment and synthesise an optimal policy for acting in it. Ensuring the safety and robustness of sequential decisions made through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Matthew Wicker , Luca Laurenti , Andrea Patane , Nicola Paoletti , Alessandro Abate , Marta Kwiatkowska

We examine Lagrangian techniques for computing underapproximations of finite-time horizon, stochastic reach-avoid level-sets for discrete-time, nonlinear systems. We use the concept of reachability of a target tube in the control literature…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-13 Joseph D. Gleason , Abraham P. Vinod , Meeko. M. K. Oishi

This paper develops a threshold regression model where an unknown relationship between two variables nonparametrically determines the threshold. We allow the observations to be cross-sectionally dependent so that the model can be applied to…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-01-29 Yoonseok Lee , Yulong Wang

Partially-observed data collected by sampling methods is often being studied to obtain the characteristics of information diffusion networks. However, these methods usually do not consider the behavior of diffusion process. In this paper,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2014-05-30 Motahareh Eslami Mehdiabadi , Hamid R. Rabiee , Mostafa Salehi

This paper proposes a multi-step probabilistic forecasting framework using a single neural-network based model to generate simultaneous point and interval forecasts. Our approach ensures non-crossing prediction intervals (PIs) through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Worachit Amnuaypongsa , Yotsapat Suparanonrat , Pana Wanitchollakit , Jitkomut Songsiri

This paper reconsiders the problem of testing the equality of two unspecified continuous distributions. The framework, which we propose, allows for readable and insightful data visualisation and helps to understand and quantify how two…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Bogdan Ćmiel , Teresa Ledwina

We developed a statistical inference method applicable to a broad range of generalized linear models (GLMs) in high-dimensional settings, where the number of unknown coefficients scales proportionally with the sample size. Although a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-24 Kazuma Sawaya , Yoshimasa Uematsu , Masaaki Imaizumi

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to detect heteroskedasticity in regression models with regressors contaminated by measurement error. Specifically, inspired by the integrated conditional moment (ICM) approach, we construct test…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-20 Xiaojun Song , Jichao Yuan

A method is discussed that allows combining sets of differential or inclusive measurements. It is assumed that at least one measurement was obtained with simultaneously fitting a set of nuisance parameters, representing sources of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-01-09 Jan Kieseler

We introduce a new approach to prediction in graphical models with latent-shift adaptation, i.e., where source and target environments differ in the distribution of an unobserved confounding latent variable. Previous work has shown that as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-26 William I. Walker , Arthur Gretton , Maneesh Sahani

Robust tracking of a target in a clutter environment is an important and challenging task. In recent years, the nearest neighbor methods and probabilistic data association filters were proposed. However, the performance of these methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Bahman Moraffah , Christ Richmond , Raha Moraffah , Antonia Papandreou-Suppappola

Nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation is intended to infer the unknown density distribution while making as few assumptions as possible. To alleviate the over parameterization in nonparametric data fitting, smoothing assumptions are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-21 YunPeng Li , ZhaoHui Ye