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Forecasting compound floods presents a significant challenge due to the intricate interplay of meteorological, hydrological, and oceanographic factors. Analyzing compound floods has become more critical as the global climate increases flood…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-06 Xu Zheng , Chaohao Lin , Sipeng Chen , Zhuomin Chen , Jimeng Shi , Wei Cheng , Jayantha Obeysekera , Jason Liu , Dongsheng Luo

Credit risk assessment increasingly relies on diverse sources of information beyond traditional structured financial data, particularly for micro and small enterprises (mSEs) with limited financial histories. This study proposes a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-05 Zongxiao Wu , Ran Liu , Jiang Dai , Dan Luo

Environmental disasters such as flash floods are becoming more and more prevalent and carry an increasing burden on human civilization. They are usually unpredictable, fast in development, and extend across large geographical areas. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-30 Kun Qian , Christian G. Claudel

This study proposes a unified forecasting framework for high-dimensional multi-task time series to meet the prediction demands of cloud native backend systems operating under highly dynamic loads, coupled metrics, and parallel tasks. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Zixiao Huang , Jixiao Yang , Sijia Li , Chi Zhang , Jinyu Chen , Chengda Xu

Multimodal fusion is crucial in joint decision-making systems for rendering holistic judgments. Since multimodal data changes in open environments, dynamic fusion has emerged and achieved remarkable progress in numerous applications.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-06 Bing Cao , Yinan Xia , Yi Ding , Changqing Zhang , Qinghua Hu

In an era of escalating climate change, urban flooding has emerged as a critical challenge for sustainable cities, threatening lives, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Traditional flood detection methods are constrained by their reliance on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Shahid Shafi Dar , Bharat Kaurav , Arnav Jain , Chandravardhan Singh Raghaw , Mohammad Zia Ur Rehman , Nagendra Kumar

Demands on the disaster response capacity of the European Union are likely to increase, as the impacts of disasters continue to grow both in size and frequency. This has resulted in intensive research on issues concerning spatially-explicit…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-30 Dario Rodriguez-Aseretto , Christian Schaerer , Daniele de Rigo

Accurate beam prediction is essential for mitigating signalling overhead and latency in integrated sensing and communication-enabled massive multi-input multi-output systems. With the aid of multimodal learning, the prediction accuracy can…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-15 Zijian Zheng , Wenqiang Yi , Hyundong Shin , Arumugam Nallanathan

We study adaptive pooling under predictive heterogeneity in high-dimensional multivariate time series forecasting, where global models improve statistical efficiency but may fail to capture heterogeneous predictive structure, while naive…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-16 Ziling Ma , Ángel López Oriona , Hernando Ombao , Ying Sun

In many data-driven applications, collecting data from different sources is increasingly desirable for enhancing performance. In this paper, we are interested in the problem of probabilistic forecasting with multi-source time series. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Tian Guo

We have witnessed and experienced increasing compound extreme events resulting from simultaneous or sequential occurrence of multiple events in a changing climate. In addition to a growing demand for a clearer explanation of compound risks…

As Earth's climate changes, it is impacting disasters and extreme weather events across the planet. Record-breaking heat waves, drenching rainfalls, extreme wildfires, and widespread flooding during hurricanes are all becoming more frequent…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-07 Hao Li , Fabian Deuser , Wenping Yin , Steffen Knoblauch , Wufan Zhao , Filip Biljecki , Yong Xue , Wei Huang

We propose TerraFlow, a novel approach to multimodal, multitemporal learning for Earth observation. TerraFlow builds on temporal training objectives that enable sequence-aware learning across space, time, and modality, while remaining…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Nazar Puriy , Johannes Jakubik , Benedikt Blumenstiel , Konrad Schindler

In this work, we reveal the structure of global news coverage of disasters and its determinants by using a large-scale news coverage dataset collected by the GDELT (Global Data on Events, Location, and Tone) project that monitors news media…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2014-10-15 Haewoon Kwak , Jisun An

Traditional disaster analysis and modelling tools for assessing the severity of a disaster are predictive in nature. Based on the past observational data, these tools prescribe how the current input state (e.g., environmental conditions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Saketh Vishnubhatla , Alimohammad Beigi , Rui Heng Foo , Umang Goel , Ujun Jeong , Bohan Jiang , Adrienne Raglin , Huan Liu

Extreme environmental events such as severe storms, drought, heat waves, flash floods, and abrupt species collapse have become more prevalent in the earth-atmosphere dynamic system in recent years. In order to fully understand the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-05 Myungsoo Yoo , Likun Zhang , Christopher K. Wikle , Thomas Opitz

Unstructured data from diverse sources, such as social media and aerial imagery, can provide valuable up-to-date information for intelligent situation assessment. Mining these different information sources could bring major benefits to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-08 Edwin Simpson , Steven Reece , Stephen J. Roberts

To facilitate effective decision-making, precipitation datasets should include uncertainty estimates. Quantile regression with machine learning has been proposed for issuing such estimates. Distributional regression offers distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Georgia Papacharalampous , Hristos Tyralis , Nikolaos Doulamis , Anastasios Doulamis

This paper introduces a Bayesian hierarchical modeling framework within a fully probabilistic setting for crop yield estimation, model selection, and uncertainty forecasting under multiple future greenhouse gas emission scenarios. By…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-30 Dan Li , Vassili Kitsios , David Newth , Terence John O'Kane

We address the essential role of information retrieval in enhancing climate downscaling, focusing on the need for high-resolution datasets and the application of deep learning models. We explore the requirements for acquiring detailed…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-03 Declan Curran , Hira Saleem , Flora Salim