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Given the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, it is of interest to understand how the infections spread as the combined result of measures taken by central planners (governments) and individual behavior. In this work, the spread of Covid-19 is…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-01 Sushant Vijayan

The theory of evolutionary computation for discrete search spaces has made significant progress in the last ten years. This survey summarizes some of the most important recent results in this research area. It discusses fine-grained models…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2021-11-01 Benjamin Doerr , Frank Neumann

The COVID-19 pandemic response relied heavily on statistical and machine learning models to predict key outcomes such as case prevalence and fatality rates. These predictions were instrumental in enabling timely public health interventions…

Are there hidden dynamical common patterns in the evolution of social and cultural history? While the growing availability of digitized social data invites us to answer this question, prevailing quantitative methods often rely on…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-01-27 Youngkyoung Bae , Hajime Shimao , Seungwoong Ha , Luna Yang , David Wolpert

Almost every country in the world is battling to limit the spread of COVID-19. As the world strives to get an effective medication to control the disease, appropriate intervention measures, for now, remains one of the effective methods to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-13 Samuel Okyere , Joseph Ackora-Prah , Ebenezer Bonyah , Kwaku Forkuoh Darkwah

Since the outbreak of COVID-19, an astronomical number of publications on the pandemic dynamics appeared in the literature, of which many use the susceptible infected removed (SIR) and susceptible exposed infected removed (SEIR) models, or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-03 Hua-Liang Wei , S. A. Billings

An accurate and efficient forecasting system is imperative to the prevention of emerging infectious diseases such as COVID-19 in public health. This system requires accurate transient modeling, lower computation cost, and fewer observation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Dongdong Wang , Shunpu Zhang , Liqiang Wang

Globally, the outbreaks of infectious diseases have exerted an extremely profound and severe influence on health security and the economy. During the critical phases of epidemics, devising effective intervention measures poses a significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Baida Zhang , Yakai Chen , Huichun Li , Zhenghu Zu

The objective of this work is to predict the spread of COVID-19 starting from observed data, using a forecast method inspired by probabilistic weather prediction systems operational today. Results show that this method works well for China:…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-31 Roberto Buizza

Epidemiological models are an important tool in coping with epidemics, as they offer a forecast, even if often simplistic, of the behavior of the disease in the population. This allows responsible health agencies to organize themselves and…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-03 Eliza Maria Ferreira , Ricardo Edem Ferreira , Chiara Mocenni

This contribution analyzes the COVID-19 outbreak by comparably simple mathematical and numerical methods. The final goal is to predict the peak of the epidemic outbreak per country with a reliable technique. This is done by an algorithm…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-15 Robert Schaback

Cooking is a unique endeavor that forms the core of our cultural identity. Culinary systems across the world have evolved over a period of time in the backdrop of complex interplay of diverse sociocultural factors including geographic,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-04-24 Rudraksh Tuwani , Nutan Sahoo , Navjot Singh , Ganesh Bagler

The continuously growing number of COVID-19 cases pressures healthcare services worldwide. Accurate short-term forecasting is thus vital to support country-level policy making. The strategies adopted by countries to combat the pandemic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-07 Thiago de Paula Oliveira , Rafael de Andrade Moral

COVID-19's rapid global spread has driven innovative tools for Big Data Analytics. These have guided organizations in all fields of the health industry to track and minimized the effects of virus. Researchers are required to detect…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Eman A. Khashan , Ali I. Eldesouky , M. Fadel , Sally M. Elghamrawy

The main focus of this chapter is on public health control strategies which are currently the main way to mitigate COVID-19 pandemic. We introduce and compare compartmental models of increasing complexity for COVID-19 transmission to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-14 Redouane Qesmi , Aayah Hammoumi

The paper presents classification and analysis of the mathematical models of COVID-19 spread in different groups of populations such as the family, school, office (3-100 people), neighborhood (100-5000 people), city, region (0.5-15 million…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-01 O. I. Krivorotko , S. I. Kabanikhin

A configuration model for epidemic spread, based on a scale-free network, is introduced. We obtain the analytical solutions describing both unstable and stable dynamics of the epidemic spreading, and demonstrate how these regimes can…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-15 Alexander I Nesterov , Pablo Héctor Mata Villafuerte , Gennady P Berman

We present a data-driven numerical approach for modeling unknown dynamical systems with missing/hidden parameters. The method is based on training a deep neural network (DNN) model for the unknown system using its trajectory data. A key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-07 Xiaohan Fu , Weize Mao , Lo-Bin Chang , Dongbin Xiu

In this paper, we propose a novel distributed data-driven optimization scheme. In detail, we focus on the so-called aggregative framework, a scenario in which a set of agents aim to cooperatively minimize the sum of local costs, each…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Riccardo Brumali , Guido Carnevale , Giuseppe Notarstefano

Although extensive behavioral changes often exist between closely related animal species, our understanding of the genetic basis underlying the evolution of behavior has remained limited. Here, we propose a new framework to study behavioral…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-21 Damián G. Hernández , Catalina Rivera , Jessica Cande , Baohua Zhou , David L. Stern , Gordon J. Berman