English

In Response to COVID-19: Configuration Model of the Epidemic Spreading

Physics and Society 2020-07-15 v1 Populations and Evolution Quantitative Methods

Abstract

A configuration model for epidemic spread, based on a scale-free network, is introduced. We obtain the analytical solutions describing both unstable and stable dynamics of the epidemic spreading, and demonstrate how these regimes can interchange during the epidemic. We apply the model to the COVID-19 case and demonstrate the predictive features of our model.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2007.05496,
  title  = {In Response to COVID-19: Configuration Model of the Epidemic Spreading},
  author = {Alexander I Nesterov and Pablo Héctor Mata Villafuerte and Gennady P Berman},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2007.05496},
  year   = {2020}
}

Comments

17 pages