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The extended Kalman filter (EKF) has been the industry standard for state estimation problems over the past sixty years. The Invariant Extended Kalman Filter (IEKF) is a recent development of the EKF for the class of group-affine systems on…

Navigation plays a vital role in the ability of autonomous surface and underwater platforms to complete their tasks. Most navigation systems apply a fusion between inertial sensors and other external sensors, such as global navigation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Yaakov Libero , Itzik Klein

Approximate Bayesian inference methods that scale to very large datasets are crucial in leveraging probabilistic models for real-world time series. Sparse Markovian Gaussian processes combine the use of inducing variables with efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-10 William J. Wilkinson , Arno Solin , Vincent Adam

Practical Bayes filters often assume the state distribution of each time step to be Gaussian for computational tractability, resulting in the so-called Gaussian filters. When facing nonlinear systems, Gaussian filters such as extended…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-17 Wenhan Cao , Tianyi Zhang , Zeju Sun , Chang Liu , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

We explore the potential of Data-Assimilation (DA) within the multi-scale framework of a shell model of turbulence, with a focus on the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The central objective is to understand how measuring mesoscales (i.e.,…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2026-01-15 Francesco Fossella , Luca Biferale , Alberto Carrassi , Massimo Cencini , Vikrant Gupta

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is widely used for nonlinear and high-dimensional state estimation because it replaces complex covariance propagation with simple ensemble statistics. However, conventional EnKF implementations can become…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Shida Jiang , Shengyu Tao , Zihe Liu , Scott Moura

We consider the problem of inference for the states and parameters of a continuous-time multitype branching process from partially observed time series data. Exact inference for this class of models, typically using sequential Monte Carlo,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Angus Lewis , Antonio Parrella , John Maclean , Andrew J. Black

We propose an affine-mapping based variational Ensemble Kalman filter for sequential Bayesian filtering problems with generic observation models. Specifically, the proposed method is formulated as to construct an affine mapping from the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-06 Linjie Wen , Jinglai Li

A Bayesian knowledge transfer mechanism that leverages external information to improve the performance of the Kalman fixed-lag interval smoother (FLIS) is proposed. Exact knowledge of the external observation model is assumed to be missing,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Ondřej Skalský , Jakub Dokoupil

The use of model order reduction techniques in combination with ensemble-based methods for estimating the state of systems described by nonlinear partial differential equations has been of great interest in recent years in the data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Karen Veroy

Kalman filtering and smoothing are the foundational mechanisms for efficient inference in Gauss-Markov models. However, their time and memory complexities scale prohibitively with the size of the state space. This is particularly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-13 Marvin Pförtner , Jonathan Wenger , Jon Cockayne , Philipp Hennig

We present a framework for Nesterov's accelerated gradient flows in probability space to design efficient mean-field Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms for Bayesian inverse problems. Here four examples of information metrics are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-27 Yifei Wang , Wuchen Li

The framework of normalizing flows provides a general strategy for flexible variational inference of posteriors over latent variables. We propose a new type of normalizing flow, inverse autoregressive flow (IAF), that, in contrast to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-01 Diederik P. Kingma , Tim Salimans , Rafal Jozefowicz , Xi Chen , Ilya Sutskever , Max Welling

Variational inference is a fast and scalable alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo and has been widely applied to posterior inference tasks in statistics and machine learning. A traditional approach for implementing mean-field variational…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Qiang Du , Kaizheng Wang , Edith Zhang , Chenyang Zhong

Attitude estimation is crucial in aerospace engineering, robotics, and virtual reality applications, but faces difficulties due to nonlinear system dynamics and sensor limitations. This paper addresses the challenge of attitude estimation…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-22 Yash Pandey , Rahul Bhattacharyya , Yatindra Nath Singh

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a data assimilation technique that uses an ensemble of models, updated with data, to track the time evolution of a usually non-linear system. It does so by using an empirical approximation to the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-12 Elizabeth Hou , Earl Lawrence , Alfred O. Hero

The phase-field approach to brittle fracture provides a continuum framework for modeling crack initiation and propagation without explicit representation of discrete crack surfaces, provided the spatial discretization is fine enough to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Lucas Hermann , Ralf Jänicke , Knut Andreas Meyer , Ulrich Römer

We analyze the Ensemble and Polynomial Chaos Kalman filters applied to nonlinear stationary Bayesian inverse problems. In a sequential data assimilation setting such stationary problems arise in each step of either filter. We give a new…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-15 Oliver G. Ernst , Björn Sprungk , Hans-Jörg Starkloff

In this manuscript we introduce numerical Gaussian process Kalman filtering (GPKF). Numerical Gaussian processes have recently been developed to simulate spatiotemporal models. The contribution of this paper is to embed numerical Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-12 Armin Küper , Steffen Waldherr

Continuously tracking the movement of a fluid or a plume in the subsurface is a challenge that is often encountered in applications, such as tracking a plume of injected CO$_2$ or of a hazardous substance. Advances in monitoring techniques…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Judith Y. Li , Sivaram Ambikasaran , Eric F. Darve , Peter K. Kitanidis