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We review how machine learning has transformed our ability to model the Earth system, and how we expect recent breakthroughs to benefit end-users in Switzerland in the near future. Drawing from our review, we identify three recommendations.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-01-29 Tom Beucler , Erwan Koch , Sven Kotlarski , David Leutwyler , Adrien Michel , Jonathan Koh

A critical review of artificial intelligence and deep machine learning (AI/ML) applied to downscaling of global climate model simulations provides some words of caution, based on past experiences and well-established principles. Recent…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-01-06 Rasmus E. Benestad

Atmospheric sciences are crucial for understanding environmental phenomena ranging from air quality to extreme weather events, and climate change. Recent breakthroughs in sensing, communication, computing, and Artificial Intelligence (AI)…

Multiple studies have now demonstrated that machine learning (ML) can give improved skill for predicting or simulating fairly typical weather events, for tasks such as short-term and seasonal weather forecasting, downscaling simulations to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-30 Peter AG Watson

Long-term stability and physical consistency are critical properties for AI-based weather models if they are going to be used for subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasts or beyond, e.g., climate change projection. However, current AI-based…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-12-10 Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Y. Qiang Sun , Pedram Hassanzadeh

AI is undergoing a paradigm shift with the rise of models (e.g., BERT, DALL-E, GPT-3) that are trained on broad data at scale and are adaptable to a wide range of downstream tasks. We call these models foundation models to underscore their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-14 Rishi Bommasani , Drew A. Hudson , Ehsan Adeli , Russ Altman , Simran Arora , Sydney von Arx , Michael S. Bernstein , Jeannette Bohg , Antoine Bosselut , Emma Brunskill , Erik Brynjolfsson , Shyamal Buch , Dallas Card , Rodrigo Castellon , Niladri Chatterji , Annie Chen , Kathleen Creel , Jared Quincy Davis , Dora Demszky , Chris Donahue , Moussa Doumbouya , Esin Durmus , Stefano Ermon , John Etchemendy , Kawin Ethayarajh , Li Fei-Fei , Chelsea Finn , Trevor Gale , Lauren Gillespie , Karan Goel , Noah Goodman , Shelby Grossman , Neel Guha , Tatsunori Hashimoto , Peter Henderson , John Hewitt , Daniel E. Ho , Jenny Hong , Kyle Hsu , Jing Huang , Thomas Icard , Saahil Jain , Dan Jurafsky , Pratyusha Kalluri , Siddharth Karamcheti , Geoff Keeling , Fereshte Khani , Omar Khattab , Pang Wei Koh , Mark Krass , Ranjay Krishna , Rohith Kuditipudi , Ananya Kumar , Faisal Ladhak , Mina Lee , Tony Lee , Jure Leskovec , Isabelle Levent , Xiang Lisa Li , Xuechen Li , Tengyu Ma , Ali Malik , Christopher D. Manning , Suvir Mirchandani , Eric Mitchell , Zanele Munyikwa , Suraj Nair , Avanika Narayan , Deepak Narayanan , Ben Newman , Allen Nie , Juan Carlos Niebles , Hamed Nilforoshan , Julian Nyarko , Giray Ogut , Laurel Orr , Isabel Papadimitriou , Joon Sung Park , Chris Piech , Eva Portelance , Christopher Potts , Aditi Raghunathan , Rob Reich , Hongyu Ren , Frieda Rong , Yusuf Roohani , Camilo Ruiz , Jack Ryan , Christopher Ré , Dorsa Sadigh , Shiori Sagawa , Keshav Santhanam , Andy Shih , Krishnan Srinivasan , Alex Tamkin , Rohan Taori , Armin W. Thomas , Florian Tramèr , Rose E. Wang , William Wang , Bohan Wu , Jiajun Wu , Yuhuai Wu , Sang Michael Xie , Michihiro Yasunaga , Jiaxuan You , Matei Zaharia , Michael Zhang , Tianyi Zhang , Xikun Zhang , Yuhui Zhang , Lucia Zheng , Kaitlyn Zhou , Percy Liang

Machine learning has been increasingly applied in climate modeling on system emulation acceleration, data-driven parameter inference, forecasting, and knowledge discovery, addressing challenges such as physical consistency, multi-scale…

Deep learning-based time series forecasting has dominated the short-term precipitation forecasting field with the help of its ability to estimate motion flow in high-resolution datasets. The growing interest in precipitation nowcasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Sojung An , Tae-Jin Oh , Eunha Sohn , Donghyun Kim

To improve the trustworthiness of an AI model, finding consistent, understandable representations of its inference process is essential. This understanding is particularly important in high-stakes operations such as weather forecasting,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Soyeon Kim , Junho Choi , Subeen Lee , Jaesik Choi

Deep learning has revolutionized weather forecasting, but many challenges remain, including climate modeling. Moreover, the current landscape remains fragmented: highly specialized models are typically trained individually for distinct…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Michael Aich , Andreas Fürst , Florian Sestak , Carlos Ruiz-Gonzalez , Niklas Boers , Johannes Brandstetter

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

Artificial Intelligence (AI) weather prediction (AIWP) models are powerful tools for medium-range forecasts but often lack physical consistency, leading to outputs that violate conservation laws. This study introduces a set of novel…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-30 Yingkai Sha , John S. Schreck , William Chapman , David John Gagne

Foundation models can be disruptive for future AI development by scaling up deep learning in terms of model size and training data's breadth and size. These models achieve state-of-the-art performance (often through further adaptation) on a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Johannes Schneider

Triggered by the realization that AI emulators can rival the performance of traditional numerical weather prediction models running on HPC systems, there is now an increasing number of large AI models that address use cases such as…

Foundation models have enormous potential in advancing Earth and climate sciences, however, current approaches may not be optimal as they focus on a few basic features of a desirable Earth and climate foundation model. Crafting the ideal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Xiao Xiang Zhu , Zhitong Xiong , Yi Wang , Adam J. Stewart , Konrad Heidler , Yuanyuan Wang , Zhenghang Yuan , Thomas Dujardin , Qingsong Xu , Yilei Shi

Could it be that AI weather models are solving physical equations, although they may not be the equations used by conventional NWP models? We compute correlations of forecast skill and Centered Kernel Alignment, providing evidence that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 George Craig , Tobias Selz , Matthias Beylich , Kirsten I. Tempest

Recently, artificial intelligence-based (AI-based) models for forecasting of global weather have been rapidly developed. Most of the global models are trained on reanalysis datasets with a spatial resolution of 0.25{\deg}*0.25{\deg}.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-28 Pengbo Xu , Xiaogu Zheng , Tianyan Gao , Yu Wang , Junping Yin , Juan Zhang , Xuanze Zhang , San Luo , Zhonglei Wang , Zhimin Zhang , Xiaoguang Hu , Xiaoxu Chen

AI-based methods have revolutionized atmospheric forecasting, with recent successes in medium-range forecasting spurring the development of climate foundation models. Accurate modeling of complex atmospheric dynamics at high spatial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-09 Deifilia Kieckhefen , Markus Götz , Lars H. Heyen , Achim Streit , Charlotte Debus

When we are primarily interested in solving several problems jointly with a given prescribed high performance accuracy for each target application, then Foundation Models should for most cases be used rather than problem-specific models. We…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Nikolaos Dionelis , Casper Fibaek , Luke Camilleri , Andreas Luyts , Jente Bosmans , Bertrand Le Saux

Deep learning-based methods have been widely researched in the areas of language and vision, demonstrating their capacity to understand long sequences of data and their usefulness in numerous helio-physics applications. Foundation models…