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Within the statistical literature, a significant gap exists in methods capable of modeling asymmetric multivariate spatial effects that elucidate the relationships underlying complex spatial phenomena. For such a phenomenon, observations at…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Sjoerd Hermes , Joost van Heerwaarden , Pariya Behrouzi

We analyze a varying-coefficient dynamic spatial autoregressive model with spatial fixed effects. One salient feature of the model is the incorporation of multiple spatial weight matrices through their linear combinations with varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-12 Zetai Cen , Yudong Chen , Clifford Lam

The partially separable functions (PSF) model is commonly adopted in dynamic MRI reconstruction, as is the underlying signal model in many reconstruction methods including the ones relying on low-rank assumptions. Even though the PSF model…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Rodrigo A. Lobos , Xiaokai Wang , Rex T. L. Fung , Yongli He , David Frey , Dinank Gupta , Zhongming Liu , Jeffrey A. Fessler , Douglas C. Noll

We introduce Galerkin-ARIMA and Galerkin-SARIMA, a projection-based extension of classical ARIMA/SARIMA that replaces rigid linear lag operators with low-dimensional Galerkin basis expansions while preserving the familiar AR-MA…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Haojie Liu , Zihan Lin

The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is one of the most important models in time series analysis.We consider the Bayesian estimation of an unknown spectral density in the ARMA model.In the i.i.d. cases, Komaki showed that Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fuyuhiko Tanaka , Fumiyasu Komaki

This paper proposes a simple yet effective convolutional module for long-term time series forecasting. The proposed block, inspired by the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, consists of two convolutional components:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Myung Jin Kim , YeongHyeon Park , Il Dong Yun

Providing forecasts for ultra-long time series plays a vital role in various activities, such as investment decisions, industrial production arrangements, and farm management. This paper develops a novel distributed forecasting framework to…

Applications · Statistics 2024-04-23 Xiaoqian Wang , Yanfei Kang , Rob J Hyndman , Feng Li

In the analysis of multivariate spatial and univariate spatio-temporal data, it is commonly recognized that asymmetric dependence may exist, which can be addressed using an asymmetric (matrix or space-time, respectively) covariance function…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-29 Drew Yarger

We derive a closed-form expression for the finite predictor coefficients of multivariate ARMA (autoregressive moving-average) processes. The expression is given in terms of several explicit matrices that are of fixed sizes independent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Akihiko Inoue

In this paper, we introduce a new spatial model that incorporates heteroscedastic variance depending on neighboring locations. The proposed process is regarded as the spatial equivalent to the temporal autoregressive conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-20 Philipp Otto , Wolfgang Schmid , Robert Garthoff

We propose an extensive framework for additive regression models for correlated functional responses, allowing for multiple partially nested or crossed functional random effects with flexible correlation structures for, e.g., spatial,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-26 Fabian Scheipl , Ana-Maria Staicu , Sonja Greven

Random Feature Models (RFMs) have become a powerful tool for approximating multivariate functions and solving partial differential equations efficiently. Sparse Random Feature Expansions (SRFE) improve traditional RFMs by incorporating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Ben Adcock , Khiem Can , Xuemeng Wang

In this paper we derive the asymptotic properties of the least squares estimator (LSE) of fractionally integrated autoregressive moving-average (FARIMA) models under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-19 Yacouba Boubacar Maïnassara , Youssef Esstafa , Bruno Saussereau

We propose a Weighted Autoregressive Varying gatE (WAVE) attention mechanism equipped with both Autoregressive (AR) and Moving-average (MA) components. It can adapt to various attention mechanisms, enhancing and decoupling their ability to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jiecheng Lu , Xu Han , Yan Sun , Shihao Yang

Appropriate models for spatially autocorrelated data account for the fact that observations are not independent. A popular model in this context is the simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) model that allows to model the spatial dependency…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-12 A. Kreuzer , T. Erhardt , T. Nagler , C. Czado

Spherically embedded spatial data are spatially indexed observations whose values naturally reside on or can be equivalently mapped to the unit sphere. Such data are increasingly ubiquitous in fields ranging from geochemistry to demography.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Jiazhen Xu , Han Lin Shang

Dynamic inference problems in autoregressive (AR/ARMA/ARIMA), exponential smoothing, and navigation are often formulated and solved using state-space models (SSM), which allow a range of statistical distributions to inform innovations and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Jonathan Jonker , Peng Zheng , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin

Atmospheric trace-gas inversion refers to any technique used to predict spatial and temporal fluxes using mole-fraction measurements and atmospheric simulations obtained from computer models. Studies to date are most often of a…

Hyper-spectral data can be analyzed to recover physical properties at large planetary scales. This involves resolving inverse problems which can be addressed within machine learning, with the advantage that, once a relationship between…

Applications · Statistics 2015-12-31 Antoine Deleforge , Florence Forbes , Sileye Ba , Radu Horaud

In this paper, we propose a novel and efficient two-stage variable selection approach for sparse GLARMA models, which are pervasive for modeling discrete-valued time series. Our approach consists in iteratively combining the estimation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-31 Marina Gomtsyan , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet , Thomas Blein