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This paper proposes the beta binomial autoregressive moving average model (BBARMA) for modeling quantized amplitude data and bounded count data. The BBARMA model estimates the conditional mean of a beta binomial distributed variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-02 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

In this article, we introduce a Gegenbauer autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving average (GARTFIMA) process. We work on the spectral density and autocovariance function for the introduced process. The parameter estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Niharika Bhootna , Arun Kumar

In this paper we propose a semiparametric spatial autoregressive model that combines a linear covariate component with a nonparametrically estimated spatial term, allowing flexible dependence modeling without restrictive covariance…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 Rodrigo García Arancibia , Pamela Llop , Mariel Lovatto

We propose a new class of models specifically tailored for spatio-temporal data analysis. To this end, we generalize the spatial autoregressive model with autoregressive and heteroskedastic disturbances, i.e. SARAR(1,1), by exploiting the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Leopoldo Catania , Anna Gloria Billé

Most long memory forecasting studies assume that the memory is generated by the fractional difference operator. We argue that the most cited theoretical arguments for the presence of long memory do not imply the fractional difference…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-15 J. Eduardo Vera-Valdés

The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model takes the significant position in time series analysis for a wide-sense stationary time series. The difference operator and seasonal difference operator, which are bases of ARIMA and SARIMA…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-03 Shixiong Wang , Chongshou Li , Andrew Lim

The space time autoregressive model has been widely applied in science, in areas such as economics, public finance, political science, agricultural economics, environmental studies and transportation analyses. The classical space time…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-14 Wenqian Wang , Beth Andrews

Conditional autoregressive (CAR) models are commonly used to capture spatial correlation in areal unit data, and are typically specified as a prior distribution for a set of random effects, as part of a hierarchical Bayesian model. The…

Applications · Statistics 2012-05-17 Duncan Lee , Richard Mitchell

Existing models for high-dimensional time series are overwhelmingly developed within the finite-order vector autoregressive (VAR) framework. However, the more flexible vector autoregressive moving averages (VARMA) have been much less…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-01 Feiqing Huang , Kexin Lu , Yao Zheng

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

Slow feature analysis (SFA), as a method for learning slowly varying features in classification and signal analysis, has attracted increasing attention in recent years. Recent probabilistic extensions to SFA learn effective representations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Vishal Rishi

Fractionally integrated autoregressive moving average (FIARMA) processes have been widely and successfully used to model and predict univariate time series exhibiting long range dependence. Vector and functional extensions of these…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-07 Amaury Durand , François Roueff

We propose a spatial autoregressive model for a multivariate response variable and functional covariates. The approach is based on the notion of signature, which represents a function as an infinite series of its iterated integrals and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-16 Camille Frévent , Issa-Mbenard Dabo

We introduce a spatial function-on-function regression model to capture spatial dependencies in functional data by integrating spatial autoregressive techniques with functional principal component analysis. The proposed model addresses a…

Fitting autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series models requires model identification before parameter estimation. Model identification involves determining the order of the autoregressive and moving average components which is…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-09 Yin Liu , Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh

In this paper we introduce the Kumaraswamy autoregressive moving average models (KARMA), which is a dynamic class of models for time series taking values in the double bounded interval $(a,b)$ following the Kumaraswamy distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-16 Fábio Mariano Bayer , Débora Missio Bayer , Guilherme Pumi

Spatial autoregressive combined (SAC) model has been widely studied in the literature for the analysis of spatial data in various areas such as geography, economics, demography, regional sciences. This is a linear model with scalar…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-17 Alassane Aw , Emmanuel Nicolas Cabral

Two-dimensional (2-D) autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are commonly applied to describe real-world image data, usually assuming Gaussian or symmetric noise. However, real-world data often present non-Gaussian signals, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

We propose a parsimonious spatiotemporal model for time series data on a spatial grid. Our model is capable of dealing with high-dimensional time series data that may be collected at hundreds of locations and capturing the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Yuan Yan , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Marc G. Genton

In forecasting problems it is important to know whether or not recent events represent a regime change (low long-term predictive potential), or rather a local manifestation of longer term effects (potentially higher predictive potential).…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Timothy Graves , Robert B. Gramacy , Christian Franzke , Nicholas Watkins