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In this paper, we consider a continuous-time autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average (CARFIMA) model, which is defined as the stationary solution of a stochastic differential equation driven by a standard fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-10 Henghsiu Tsai

In practice, several time series exhibit long-range dependence or persistence in their observations, leading to the development of a number of estimation and prediction methodologies to account for the slowly decaying autocorrelations. The…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-09 Javier E. Contreras-Reyes , Wilfredo Palma

In this paper we introduce the class of beta seasonal autoregressive moving average ($\beta$SARMA) models for modeling and forecasting time series data that assume values in the standard unit interval. It generalizes the class of beta…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-22 Fábio M. Bayer , Renato J. Cintra , Francisco Cribari-Neto

Celestial objects exhibit a wide range of variability in brightness at different wavebands. Surprisingly, the most common methods for characterizing time series in statistics -- parametric autoregressive modeling -- is rarely used to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2019-01-24 Eric D. Feigelson , G. Jogesh Babu , Gabriel A. Caceres

Modelling physical data with linear discrete time series, namely Fractionally Integrated Autoregressive Moving Average (ARFIMA), is a technique which achieved attention in recent years. However, these models are used mainly as a statistical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-03-20 Jakub Ślęzak , Aleksander Weron

In this work we introduce the class of beta autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average models for continuous random variables taking values in the continuous unit interval $(0,1)$. The proposed model accommodates a set of…

We propose a new approach to the autoregressive spatial functional model, based on the notion of signature, which represents a function as an infinite series of its iterated integrals. It presents the advantage of being applicable to a wide…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Camille Frévent

Spatial autoregressive model, introduced by Clif and Ord in 1970s has been widely applied in many areas of science and econometrics such as regional economics, public finance, political sciences, agricultural economics, environmental…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-14 Wenqian Wang , Beth Andrews

The spatio-temporal autoregressive moving average (STARMA) model is frequently used in several studies of multivariate time series data, where the assumption of stationarity is important, but it is not always guaranteed in practice. One way…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Yangyang Chen , Pedro Alberto Morettin , Chang Chiann

The Mat\'ern covariance model is ubiquitous in spatial modelling, but there is no default choice for spatio-temporal modelling. In this paper, we consider the recently proposed ``diffusion-based'' extension of the spatial Mat\'ern…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 S. Knutsen Furset , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Espen R. Jakobsen

Autoregressive tempered fractionally integrated moving average with stable innovations modifies the power-law kernel of the fractionally integrated time series model by adding an exponential tempering factor. The tempered time series is a…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-16 Jinu Kabala , Farzad Sabzikar

The object of this paper is to study the asymptotic dependence structure of the linear time series models with infinitely divisible innovations by the use of their characteristic functions. Autoregressive moving-average (ARMA) models and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-23 Muneya Matsui

This study introduces a novel spatial autoregressive model in which the dependent variable is a function that may exhibit functional autocorrelation with the outcome functions of nearby units. This model can be characterized as a…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-10-02 Tadao Hoshino

In this paper, we focus on isotropic and stationary sphere-cross-time random fields. We first introduce the class of spherical functional autoregressive-moving average processes (SPHARMA), which extend in a natural way the spherical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Alessia Caponera

We introduce a new class of conditional autoregressive models for spatially dependent functional data, formulated through conditional means given neighboring functional observations and characterized by a covariance operator and a spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Sooran Kim

In this paper we discuss dynamic ARMA-type regression models for time series taking values in $(0,\infty)$. In the proposed model, the conditional mean is modeled by a dynamic structure containing autoregressive and moving average terms,…

The classical functional linear regression model (FLM) and its extensions, which are based on the assumption that all individuals are mutually independent, have been well studied and are used by many researchers. This independence…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-02 Tingting Huang , Gilbert Saporta , Huiwen Wang , Shanshan Wang

Mixed spatial autoregressive (SAR) models with numerical covariates have been well studied. However, as non-numerical data, such as functional data and compositional data, receive substantial amounts of attention and are applied to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-11-08 Huiwen Wang , Tingting Huang , Shanshan Wang

Time series forecasting (TSF) is essential in various domains, and recent advancements in diffusion-based TSF models have shown considerable promise. However, these models typically adopt traditional diffusion patterns, treating TSF as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-13 Jiaxin Gao , Qinglong Cao , Yuntian Chen

We propose a parametrization of autoregressive unit roots ARMA models (ARUMA) with partial autocorrelation coefficients to specify the autoregressive and integrated part of the model. We obtain the algebraic properties of the partial…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-11 Jamie Halliday , Georgi N. Boshnakov
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