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The multidimensional distributions with heavy tails attracted recently the attention of several papers on Applied Probability. However, the most of the works of the last decades are focused on multivariate regular variation, while the rest…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

This paper studies large deviation principles and weak convergence, both at the level of finite-dimensional distributions and in functional form, for a class of continuous, isotropic, centered Gaussian random fields defined on the unit…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 Simmaco Di Lillo , Claudio Macci , Barbara Pacchiarotti

We provide Large Deviation estimates for the bridge of a $d$-dimensional general diffusion process as the conditioning time tends to $0$ and apply these results to the evaluation of the asymptotics of its exit time probabilities. We are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Paolo Baldi , Lucia Caramellino , Maurizia Rossi

A general approach to a broad class of asymptotic problems related to long-time influence of small perturbations, of both deterministic and stochastic type, is presented in the paper. The main characteristic of this influence is a limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-06 Mark Freidlin

For diffusion processes in dimension $d>1$, the statistics of trajectory observables over the time-window $[0,T]$ can be studied via the Feynman-Kac deformations of the Fokker-Planck generator, that can be interpreted as euclidean…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-01-22 Cecile Monthus

We derive some large deviation bounds for events related to the "true self-repelling motion", a one-dimensional self-interacting process introduced by Toth and Werner, that has very different path properties than usual diffusion processes.…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-16 Laure Dumaz

Asymptotic methods for hypothesis testing in high-dimensional data usually require the dimension of the observations to increase to infinity, often with an additional condition on its rate of increase compared to the sample size. On the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-26 Joydeep Chowdhury , Subhajit Dutta , Marc G. Genton

An overview of rare events algorithms based on large deviation theory (LDT) is presented. It covers a range of numerical schemes to compute the large deviation minimizer in various setups, and discusses best practices, common pitfalls, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-07-24 Tobias Grafke , Eric Vanden-Eijnden

In this paper we prove a large deviation principle (LDP) for the empirical measure of a general system of mean-field interacting diffusions with singular drift (as the number of particles tends to infinity) and show convergence to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-02 Jasper Hoeksema , Thomas Holding , Mario Maurelli , Oliver Tse

We revisit the one-dimensional model of the symmetric simple exclusion process slowly coupled with two unequal reservoirs at the boundaries. In its non-equilibrium stationary state, the large deviations functions of density and current have…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-07 Soumyabrata Saha , Tridib Sadhu

Identifying the number of factors in a high-dimensional factor model has attracted much attention in recent years and a general solution to the problem is still lacking. A promising ratio estimator based on the singular values of the lagged…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-23 Zeng Li , Qinwen Wang , Jianfeng Yao

In this paper we obtain an approximation for the multivariate Laplace's integral with a large parameter and estimate error term for two cases, when the maximum of the exponent is in the interior of the domain and on the boundary. We are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-09 Tomasz M. Łapiński

This study deals with continuous limits of interacting one-dimensional diffusive systems, arising from stochastic distortions of discrete curves with various kinds of coding representations. These systems are essentially of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-09 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

This paper explores large sample properties of the two-parameter $(\alpha,\theta)$ Poisson--Dirichlet Process in two contexts. In a Bayesian context of estimating an unknown probability measure, viewing this process as a natural extension…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-05-21 Lancelot F. James

Complicated physical problems usually are solved by resorting to perturbation theory leading to solutions in the form of asymptotic series in powers of small parameters. However, finite, and even large values of the parameters often are of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-06-23 V. I. Yukalov , E. P. Yukalova

We study the asymptotic behaviour of solutions of Forward Backward Stochastic Differential Equations in the coupled case, when the diffusion coefficient of the forward equation is multiplicatively perturbed by a small parameter that…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-02-27 Ana Bela Cruzeiro , André de Oliveira Gomes

This paper investigates asymptotic properties of multifractal products of random fields. The obtained limit theorems provide sufficient conditions for the convergence of cumulative fields in the spaces $L_q.$ New results on the rate of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-08 Illia Donhauzer , Andriy Olenko