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We analyze the problem of the analytical characterization of the probability distribution of financial returns in the exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model with stochastic volatility. In this model the prices are driven by a Geometric…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Guido Montagna , Oreste Nicrosini

We analyze the accuracy and sample complexity of variational Monte Carlo approaches to simulate the dynamics of many-body quantum systems classically. By systematically studying the relevant stochastic estimators, we are able to: (i) prove…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-10-11 Alessandro Sinibaldi , Clemens Giuliani , Giuseppe Carleo , Filippo Vicentini

We propose a parsimonious stochastic model for characterising the distributional and temporal properties of rainfall. The model is based on an integrated Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process driven by the Hougaard L\'evy process. We derive properties…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-01-27 Ragnhild C. Noven , Almut E. D. Veraart , Axel Gandy

In this paper, our focus lies on the Merton's jump diffusion model, employing jump processes characterized by the compound Poisson process. Our primary objective is to forecast the drift and volatility of the model using a variety of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Ayush Singh , Anshu K. Jha , Amit N. Kumar

We apply the Monte Carlo method to solving the Dirichlet problem of linear parabolic equations with fractional Laplacian. This method exploit- s the idea of weak approximation of related stochastic differential equations driven by the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-10-28 Caiyu Jiao , Changpin Li

An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 P. V. Shevchenko

Traders are often faced with large block orders in markets with limited liquidity and varying volatility. Executing the entire order at once usually incurs a large trading cost because of this limited liquidity. In order to minimize this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-23 Nico Achtsis , Dirk Nuyens

I discuss optimized data analysis and Monte Carlo methods. Reweighting methods are discussed through examples, like Lee-Yang zeroes in the Ising model and the absence of deconfinement in QCD. I discuss reweighted data analysis and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-02-03 Enzo Marinari

We report on Monte Carlo studies of the kinetic exchange model for (III,Mn)V ferromagnetic semiconductors in which S=5/2 local moments, representing Mn^{2+} ions, are exchange coupled to band electrons. We treat the Mn^{2+}$ spin…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 John Schliemann , Jürgen König , A. H. MacDonald

We study statistical model checking of continuous-time stochastic hybrid systems. The challenge in applying statistical model checking to these systems is that one cannot simulate such systems exactly. We employ the multilevel Monte Carlo…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Sadegh Esmaeil Zadeh Soudjani , Rupak Majumdar , Tigran Nagapetyan

We combine the one-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation and the semi-analytical one-dimensional heat potential method to design an efficient technique for pricing barrier options on assets with correlated stochastic volatility. Our approach…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-17 Alexander Lipton , Artur Sepp

We characterize the small-time asymptotic behavior of the exit probability of a L\'evy process out of a two-sided interval and of the law of its overshoot, conditionally on the terminal value of the process. The asymptotic expansions are…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-23 José E. Figueroa-López , Peter Tankov

Indirect imaging problems in biomedical optics generally require repeated evaluation of forward models of radiative transport, for which Monte Carlo is accurate yet computationally costly. We develop a novel approach to reduce this…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-07-10 Callum M. Macdonald , Simon Arridge , Samuel Powell

In this paper, we consider the problem of statistical inference for generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes of the type \[ X_{t} = e^{-\xi_{t}} \left( X_{0} + \int_{0}^{t} e^{\xi_{u-}} d u \right), \] where \(\xi_s\) is a L{\'e}vy process.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-12 Denis Belomestny , Vladimir Panov

We study the profitability of optimal mean reversion trading strategies in the US equity market. Different from regular pair trading practice, we apply maximum likelihood method to construct the optimal static pairs trading portfolio that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-19 Peng Huang , Tianxiang Wang

We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-26 Bhojnarine R. Rambharat , Anthony E. Brockwell

This paper discusses the exact simulation of the stock price process underlying the 3/2 model. Using a result derived by Craddock and Lennox using Lie Symmetry Analysis, we adapt the Broadie-Kaya algorithm for the simulation of affine…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-05-19 Jan Baldeaux

We present a Monte Carlo method for computing the renormalized coupling constants and the critical exponents within renormalization theory. The scheme, which derives from a variational principle, overcomes critical slowing down, by means of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-12-06 Yantao Wu , Roberto Car

In this article, we present a review of the recent developments on the topic of Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) algorithm, in the paradigm of applications in financial engineering. We specifically focus on the recent studies conducted in two…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-30 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

In Kuznetsov et al. (2011) a new Monte Carlo simulation technique was introduced for a large family of Levy processes that is based on the Wiener-Hopf decomposition. We pursue this idea further by combining their technique with the recently…