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We study the optimal timing strategies for trading a mean-reverting price process with afinite deadline to enter and a separate finite deadline to exit the market. The price process is modeled by a diffusion with an affine drift that…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-09 Yerkin Kitapbayev , Tim Leung

This paper studies the problem of trading futures with transaction costs when the underlying spot price is mean-reverting. Specifically, we model the spot dynamics by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU), Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR), or exponential…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-19 Tim Leung , Jiao Li , Xin Li , Zheng Wang

Based on the concept of self-decomposability, we extend some recent multivariate L\'evy models built using multivariate subordination with the aim of capturing situations in which a sudden event in one market is propagated onto related…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

The pricing of options in exponential Levy models amounts to the computation of expectations of functionals of Levy processes. In many situations, Monte-Carlo methods are used. However, the simulation of a Levy process with infinite Levy…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-07 El Hadj Aly Dia

Pure-jump L\'evy processes are popular classes of stochastic processes which have found many applications in finance, statistics or machine learning. In this paper, we propose a novel family of self-decomposable L\'evy processes where one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fadhel Ayed , Juho Lee , François Caron

We introduce and analyze multilevel Monte Carlo algorithms for the computation of $\mathbb {E}f(Y)$, where $Y=(Y_t)_{t\in[0,1]}$ is the solution of a multidimensional L\'{e}vy-driven stochastic differential equation and $f$ is a real-valued…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-10 Steffen Dereich

This paper builds a multivariate L\'evy-driven Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process for the management of non-maturing deposits, that are a major source of funding for banks. The contribution of the paper is both theoretical and operational. On the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-28 Marina Marena , Andrea Romeo , Patrizia Semeraro

We propose a parameter-free model for estimating the price or valuation of financial derivatives like options, forwards and futures using non-supervised learning networks and Monte Carlo. Although some arbitrage-based pricing formula…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-02 Weishi Wang

We consider the Black--Scholes model of financial market modified to capture the stochastic nature of volatility observed at real financial markets. For volatility driven by the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process, we establish the existence of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-08 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura

In this paper, we present a very fast Monte Carlo scheme for additive processes: the computational time is of the same order of magnitude of standard algorithms for Brownian motions. We analyze in detail numerical error sources and propose…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-17 Michele Azzone , Roberto Baviera

In predictive modeling with simulation or machine learning, it is critical to accurately assess the quality of estimated values through output analysis. In recent decades output analysis has become enriched with methods that quantify the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Kimia Vahdat , Sara Shashaani

We propose a strategy for automated trading, outline theoretical justification of the profitability of this strategy and overview the hypothetical results in application to currency pairs trading. The proposed methodology relies on the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-09 Grigory Temnov

We consider a discrete-time approximation of paths of an Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process as a mean for estimation of a price of European call option in the model of financial market with stochastic volatility. The Euler--Maruyama approximation…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-07 Sergii Kuchuk-Iatsenko , Yuliya Mishura

We discuss simulation schemes for continuous-time autoregressive moving average (CARMA) processes driven by tempered stable L\'evy noises. CARMA processes are the continuous-time analogue of ARMA processes as well as a generalization of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Till Massing

When prices reflect all available information, they oscillate around an equilibrium level. This oscillation is the result of the temporary market impact caused by waves of buyers and sellers. This price behavior can be approximated through…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-25 Alexander Lipton , Marcos Lopez de Prado

Utility based methods provide a very general theoretically consistent approach to pricing and hedging of securities in incomplete financial markets. Solving problems in the utility based framework typically involves dynamic programming,…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 M. R. Grasselli , T. R. Hurd

We study an optimization-based approach to con- struct a mean-reverting portfolio of assets. Our objectives are threefold: (1) design a portfolio that is well-represented by an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with parameters estimated by maximum…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-20 Jize Zhang , Tim Leung , Aleksandr Y. Aravkin

In this paper we propose a novel pricing-hedging framework for volatility derivatives which simultaneously takes into account rough volatility and volatility jumps. Our model directly targets the instantaneous variance of a risky asset and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-30 Liang Wang , Weixuan Xia

We develop a novel Monte Carlo algorithm for the vector consisting of the supremum, the time at which the supremum is attained and the position at a given (constant) time of an exponentially tempered L\'evy process. The algorithm, based on…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-20 Jorge Ignacio González Cázares , Aleksandar Mijatović

Recent studies have demonstrated the efficiency of Variational Autoencoders (VAE) to compress high-dimensional implied volatility surfaces into a low dimensional representation. Although this method can be effectively used for pricing…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-09 Sándor Kunsági-Máté , Gábor Fáth , István Csabai , Gábor Molnár-Sáska