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Survival analysis aims to estimate a time-to-event distribution from data with censored observations. Many existing methods either impose structural assumptions on the hazard function or discretize the time axis, which may limit flexibility…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Often in follow-up studies intermediate events occur in some patients, such as reinterventions or adverse events. These intermediate events directly affect the shapes of their longitudinal profiles. Our work is motivated by two studies in…

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

This is a method for discrete event simulation specified by survival analysis. It presents a sequence of steps. First, hazard rates from survival analysis specify the rates of a set of counting processes. Second, those counting processes…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-14 Andrew J. Dolgert

Survival analysis, or time-to-event analysis, is an important and widespread problem in healthcare research. Medical research has traditionally relied on Cox models for survival analysis, due to their simplicity and interpretability. Cox…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Mike Van Ness , Tomas Bosschieter , Natasha Din , Andrew Ambrosy , Alexander Sandhu , Madeleine Udell

A major limitation of machine learning (ML) prediction models is that they recover associational, rather than causal, predictive relationships between variables. In high-stakes automation applications of ML this is problematic, as the model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-04 Jianqiao Mao , Max A. Little

Survival outcomes are common in comparative effectiveness studies and require unique handling because they are usually incompletely observed due to right-censoring. A ``once for all'' approach for causal inference with survival outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-21 Shuxi Zeng , Fan Li , Liangyuan Hu , Fan Li

Epidemiologic studies often evaluate the association between an exposure and an event risk. When time-varying, exposure updates usually occur at discrete visits although changes are in continuous time and survival models require values to…

The preponderance of large-scale healthcare databases provide abundant opportunities for comparative effectiveness research. Evidence necessary to making informed treatment decisions often relies on comparing effectiveness of multiple…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-06 Liangyuan Hu , Chenyang Gu

Modern medical research demands specialized causal inference methods evaluating complex continuous-time dynamic treatment regimens using observational data. For instance, obtaining the causal effects of intravenous administration, a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Haiyan Zhu , Yingchun Zhou

Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs) with binary outcomes are increasingly used in prevention and implementation studies. Marginal models represent a flexible tool for analyzing SW-CRTs with population-averaged interpretations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-05 Fan Li , Hengshi Yu , Paul J. Rathouz , Elizabeth L. Turner , John S. Preisser

Stochastic compartmental models are prevalent tools for describing disease spread, but inference under these models is challenging for many types of surveillance data when the marginal likelihood function becomes intractable due to missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Suchismita Roy , Alexander A. Fisher , Jason Xu

There are many data sources available that report related variables of interest that are also referenced over geographic regions and time; however, there are relatively few general statistical methods that one can readily use that…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-05 Jonathan R. Bradley , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle

The use of massive survival data has become common in survival analysis. In this study, a subsampling algorithm is proposed for the Cox proportional hazards model with time-dependent covariates when the sample is extraordinarily large but…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-07 Nan Qiao , Wangcheng Li , Feng Xiao , Cunjie Lin , Yong Zhou

Predicting long-term outcomes of interventions is necessary for educational and social policy-making processes that might widely influence our society for the long-term. However, performing such predictions based on data from large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-04 Hyemin Han , Kangwook Lee , Firat Soylu

In clinical studies, the illness-death model is often used to describe disease progression. A subject starts disease-free, may develop the disease and then die, or die directly. In clinical practice, disease can only be diagnosed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-02 Marta Spreafico , Anja J. Rueten-Budde , Hein Putter , Marta Fiocco

Non-adherence to assigned treatment is common in randomised controlled trials (RCTs). Recently, there has been an increased interest in estimating causal effects of treatment received, for example the so-called local average treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-05 Karla DiazOrdaz , James Carpenter

Recent advances in genotyping technology have delivered a wealth of genetic data, which is rapidly advancing our understanding of the underlying genetic architecture of complex diseases. Mendelian Randomization (MR) leverages such genetic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Wenhao Cao , Saonli Basu

In the absence of data from a randomized trial, researchers often aim to use observational data to draw causal inference about the effect of a treatment on a time-to-event outcome. In this context, interest often focuses on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-15 Ted Westling , Alex Luedtke , Peter Gilbert , Marco Carone

Comparing the survival times among two groups is a common problem in time-to-event analysis, for example if one would like to understand whether one medical treatment is superior to another. In the standard survival analysis setting, there…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-07 Dennis Dobler , Eni Musta