English

Continuous-Time, Discrete-Event Simulation from Counting Processes

Computation 2016-10-14 v1 Populations and Evolution

Abstract

This is a method for discrete event simulation specified by survival analysis. It presents a sequence of steps. First, hazard rates from survival analysis specify the rates of a set of counting processes. Second, those counting processes define a transition kernel. Third, there are four different ways to sample that transition kernel, including a first-principles derivation of exact stochastic simulation algorithms (SSA) in continuous time. This simulation allows time-dependent intensities which include both continuous and atomic components. Separating the steps involved makes a clear correspondence between mathematical formulation and algorithmic implementation.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1610.03939,
  title  = {Continuous-Time, Discrete-Event Simulation from Counting Processes},
  author = {Andrew J. Dolgert},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1610.03939},
  year   = {2016}
}

Comments

17 pages, 1 figure