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Extinction is the ultimate absorbing state of any stochastic birth-death process, hence the time to extinction is an important characteristic of any natural population. Here we consider logistic and logistic-like systems under the combined…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-03-27 Yitzhak Yahalom , Nadav M. Shnerb

In this paper, we extend a famous motion planning approach GPMP2 to multi-robot cases, yielding a novel centralized trajectory generation method for the multi-robot formation. A sparse Gaussian Process model is employed to represent the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-02 Shuang Guo , Bo Liu , Shen Zhang , Jifeng Guo , Changhong Wang

It is well known that the behaviour of a branching process is completely described by the generating function of the offspring law and its fixed points. Branching random walks are a natural generalization of branching processes: a branching…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Daniela Bertacchi , Fabio Zucca

Generative Bayesian Filtering (GBF) provides a powerful and flexible framework for performing posterior inference in complex nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Our approach extends Generative Bayesian Computation (GBC) to…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-07 Edoardo Marcelli , Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Rockova

A rapid decline in mortality and fertility has become major issues in many developed countries over the past few decades. A precise model for forecasting demographic movements is important for decision making in social welfare policies and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-30 Ka Kin Lam , Bo Wang

In this paper we study a parametric class of stochastic processes to model both fast and slow anomalous diffusion. This class, called generalized grey Brownian motion (ggBm), is made up off self-similar with stationary increments processes…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 Antonio Mura , Gianni Pagnini

We study general stochastic birth and death processes including delay. We develop several approaches for the analytical treatment of these non-Markovian systems, valid, not only for constant delays, but also for stochastic delays with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-11 Luis F. Lafuerza , Raul Toral

This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

We present a derivation and theoretical investigation of the Adams-Bashforth and Adams-Moulton family of linear multistep methods for solving ordinary differential equations, starting from a Gaussian process (GP) framework. In the limit,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-10 Onur Teymur , Konstantinos Zygalakis , Ben Calderhead

We proved the explicit formulas in Laplace transform of the hitting times for the birth and death processes on a denumerable state space with $\ift$ the exit or entrance boundary. This extends the well known Keilson's theorem from finite…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-08 Yu Gong , Yong-Hua Mao

In this paper, we introduce the generalized Gompertz-power series class of distributions which is obtained by compounding generalized Gompertz and power series distributions. This compounding procedure follows same way that was previously…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-01 Saeid Tahmasebi , Ali Akbar Jafari

Previous labeled random finite set filter developments use a motion model that only accounts for survival and birth. While such a model provides the means for a multi-object tracking filter such as the Generalized Labeled Multi-Bernoulli…

Computation · Statistics 2018-11-14 Daniel S. Bryant , Ba Tuong Vo , Ba Ngu Vo , Brandon A. Jones

In order to better model high-dimensional sequential data, we propose a collaborative multi-output Gaussian process dynamical system (CGPDS), which is a novel variant of GPDSs. The proposed model assumes that the output on each dimension is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-11 Jing Zhao , Jingjing Fei , Shiliang Sun

An estimation problem of fundamental interest is that of phase synchronization, in which the goal is to recover a collection of phases using noisy measurements of relative phases. It is known that in the Gaussian noise setting, the maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-02 Huikang Liu , Man-Chung Yue , Anthony Man-Cho So

This paper introduces a class of generalised linear models (GLMs) driven by latent processes for modelling count, real-valued, binary, and positive continuous time series. Extending earlier latent-process regression frameworks based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-19 Wagner Barreto-Souza , Ngai Hang Chan

In this paper we study a particular class of Piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP's) which are semi-stochastic catastrophe versions of deterministic population growth models. In between successive jumps the process follows a flow…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-09 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet , Eva Löcherbach

This study proposes a stochastic model for loss-given-default (LGD) which provides the LGD distribution based on credit market and company-specific financial conditions. The model utilizes last passage time of a linear diffusion…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-04 Masahiko Egami , Rusudan Kevkhishvili

In this paper, we use a linear birth and death process with immigration to model infectious disease propagation when contamination stems from both person-to-person contact and contact with the environment. Our aim is to estimate the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-11 Ibrahim Bouzalmat , Benoîte de Saporta , Solym M. Manou-Abi

A well-known theorem usually attributed to Keilson states that, for an irreducible continuous-time birth-and-death chain on the nonnegative integers and any d, the passage time from state 0 to state d is distributed as a sum of d…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-05-19 James Allen Fill

In our previous studies, we developed discrete-space Birth, Death and Innovation Models (BDIM) of genome evolution. These models explain the origin of the characteristic Pareto distribution of paralogous gene family sizes in genomes, and…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Georgy P. Karev , Faina S. Berezovskaya , Eugene V. Koonin