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In this paper, we study a Skellam type variant of the generalized counting process (GCP), namely, the generalized Skellam process. Some of its distributional properties such as the probability mass function, probability generating function,…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-15 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

The Giardin\`a-Kurchan-Peliti algorithm is a numerical procedure that uses population dynamics in order to calculate large deviation functions associated to the distribution of time-averaged observables. To study the numerical errors of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-05-11 Takahiro Nemoto , Esteban Guevara Hidalgo , Vivien Lecomte

A method yielding simple relationships among bilateral birth-and-death processes is outlined. This allows one to relate birth and death rates of two processes in such a way that their transition probabilities, first-passage-time densities…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-03-11 Antonio Di Crescenzo

Markov decision processes (MDP) are a well-established model for sequential decision-making in the presence of probabilities. In robust MDP (RMDP), every action is associated with an uncertainty set of probability distributions, modelling…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Tobias Meggendorfer , Maximilian Weininger , Patrick Wienhöft

We propose a general method to obtain approximation of the first passage time distribution for the birth-death processes. We rely on the general properties of birth-death processes, Keilson's theorem and the concept of Riemann sum to obtain…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

We consider a particle moving in continuous time as a Markov jump process; its discrete chain is given by an ordinary random walk on ${\mathbb Z}^d$ , and its jump rate at $({\mathbf x},t)$ is given by a fixed function $\varphi$ of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pablo Almeida Gomes , Maicon Aparecido Pinheiro

Birth-death processes take place ubiquitously throughout the universe. In general, birth and death rates depend on the system size (corresponding to the number of products or customers undergoing the birth-death process) and thus vary every…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-19 Seong Jun Park , M. Y. Choi

Gaussian processes (GPs), or distributions over arbitrary functions in a continuous domain, can be generalized to the multi-output case: a linear model of coregionalization (LMC) is one approach. LMCs estimate and exploit correlations…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-24 Vladimir Feinberg , Li-Fang Cheng , Kai Li , Barbara E Engelhardt

The homogeneous reconstructed evolutionary process is a birth-death process without observed extinct lineages. Each species evolves independently with the same diversification rates (speciation rate $\lambda(t)$ and extinction rate…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-12 Sebastian Höhna

We study two-stage stochastic optimization models with mixed-integer decision variables appearing in both stages. For these models, dual decomposition enables parallel computing implementation and can quickly provide a lower bound for the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Pengyu Zhang , Ruiwei Jiang

In this article, we consider time-changed models of population evolution $\mathcal{X}^f(t)=\mathcal{X}(H^f(t))$, where $\mathcal{X}$ is a counting process and $H^f$ is a subordinator with Laplace exponent $f$. In the case $\mathcal{X}$ is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-02 Enzo Orsingher , Costantino Ricciuti , Bruno Toaldo

Motivated by sample path decomposition of the stationary continuous state branching process with immigration, a general population model is considered using the idea of immortal individual. We compute the joint distribution of the random…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-09 Hongwei Bi

Conditional density estimation is complicated by multimodality, heteroscedasticity, and strong non-Gaussianity. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a principled nonparametric framework with calibrated uncertainty, but standard GP regression is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Vardaan Tekriwal , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Marcus M. Noack

In this paper, we introduce and examine a fractional linear birth--death process $N_{\nu}(t)$, $t>0$, whose fractionality is obtained by replacing the time derivative with a fractional derivative in the system of difference-differential…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-03-28 Enzo Orsingher , Federico Polito

Analytical solutions for time-inhomogeneous linear birth-death processes with immigration are derived. While time-inhomogeneous linear birth-death processes without immigration have been studied by using a generating function approach, the…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-09-05 Jun Ohkubo

Representations of population models in terms of countable systems of particles are constructed, in which each particle has a `type', typically recording both spatial position and genetic type, and a level. For finite intensity models, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Alison M. Etheridge , Thomas G. Kurtz

We investigate joint modeling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of Gaussian Process regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) that provides unified raw mortality tables for nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

In this paper we review some results on time-homogeneous birth-death processes. Specifically, for truncated birth-death processes with two absorbing or two reflecting endpoints, we recall the necessary and sufficient conditions on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-09 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci

The generalized master equation or the equivalent continuous time random walk equations can be used to compute the macroscopic first passage time distribution (FPTD) of a complex stochastic system from short-term microscopic simulation…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2009-11-11 David Shalloway , Anton Faradjian

In this paper we study the iterated birth process of which we examine the first-passage time distributions and the hitting probabilities. Furthermore, linear birth processes, linear and sublinear death processes at Poisson times are…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-23 L. Beghin , E. Orsingher