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We revisit the problem of constructing predictive confidence sets for which we wish to obtain some type of conditional validity. We provide new arguments showing how ``split conformal'' methods achieve near desired coverage levels with high…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-04 John C. Duchi

In this article, we describe the regression test process to test and verify the changes made on software. A developed technique use the automation test based on decision tree and test selection process in order to reduce the testing cost is…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2011-11-28 Seifedine Kadry

Executing various sequences of system functions in a system under test represents one of the primary techniques in software testing. The natural way to create effective, consistent and efficient test sequences is to model the system under…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-12-05 Miroslav Bures , Bestoun S. Ahmed

With growing applications of Machine Learning (ML) techniques in the real world, it is highly important to ensure that these models work in an equitable manner. One main step in ensuring fairness is to effectively measure fairness, and to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-21 Abdalwahab Almajed , Maryam Tabar , Peyman Najafirad

Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

The general philosophy for bootstrap or permutation methods for testing hypotheses is to simulate the variation of the test statistic by generating the sampling distribution which assumes both that the null hypothesis is true, and that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-05-18 Anna Varvak

Diffusion models accomplish remarkable success in data generation tasks across various domains. However, the iterative sampling process is computationally expensive. Consistency models are proposed to learn consistency functions to map from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-07 Yiding Chen , Yiyi Zhang , Owen Oertell , Wen Sun

Abstraction (in its various forms) is a powerful established technique in model-checking; still, when unbounded data-structures are concerned, it cannot always cope with divergence phenomena in a satisfactory way. Acceleration is an…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-10-04 Francesco Alberti , Silvio Ghilardi , Natasha Sharygina

System modeling is a classical approach to ensure their reliability since it is suitable both for a formal verification and for software testing techniques. In the context of model-based testing an approach combining random testing and…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Julien Bernard , Pierre-Cyrille Héam , Olga Kouchnarenko

In the high dimensional regression analysis when the number of predictors is much larger than the sample size, an important question is to select the important variable which are relevant to the response variable of interest. Variable…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-09 Pengsheng Ji , Zhigen Zhao

Conformal prediction is a method of producing prediction sets that can be applied on top of a wide range of prediction algorithms. The method has a guaranteed coverage probability under the standard IID assumption regardless of whether the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-04-09 Evgeny Burnaev , Vladimir Vovk

Probabilistic programs are key to deal with uncertainty in e.g. controller synthesis. They are typically small but intricate. Their development is complex and error prone requiring quantitative reasoning over a myriad of alternative…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-04-30 Milan Češka , Christian Hensel , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

We develop a new method for generating prediction sets that combines the flexibility of conformal methods with an estimate of the conditional distribution $P_{Y \mid X}$. Existing methods, such as conformalized quantile regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-10 Vincent Plassier , Alexander Fishkov , Mohsen Guizani , Maxim Panov , Eric Moulines

When randomized ensemble methods such as bagging and random forests are implemented, a basic question arises: Is the ensemble large enough? In particular, the practitioner desires a rigorous guarantee that a given ensemble will perform…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Miles E. Lopes , Suofei Wu , Thomas C. M. Lee

Conformal prediction is a powerful tool to generate uncertainty sets with guaranteed coverage using any predictive model, under the assumption that the training and test data are i.i.d.. Recently, it has been shown that adversarial examples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Ge Yan , Yaniv Romano , Tsui-Wei Weng

Commonly, machine learning models minimize an empirical expectation. As a result, the trained models typically perform well for the majority of the data but the performance may deteriorate in less dense regions of the dataset. This issue…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-22 Joachim Schreurs , Hannes De Meulemeester , Michaël Fanuel , Bart De Moor , Johan A. K. Suykens

Theoretical works on supervised transfer learning (STL) -- where the learner has access to labeled samples from both source and target distributions -- have for the most part focused on statistical aspects of the problem, while efficient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Yuyang Deng , Samory Kpotufe

Deciding whether a political districting plan was distorted by a hidden agenda, or whether it dilutes the voting power of some group, requires a neutral baseline for comparison. Remarkably, all nine U.S. Supreme Court justices have now…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-18 Sarah Cannon , Moon Duchin , Dana Randall , Parker Rule

We present a new method for generating confidence sets within the split conformal prediction framework. Our method performs a trainable transformation of any given conformity score to improve conditional coverage while ensuring exact…

Conformal prediction is an assumption-lean approach to generating distribution-free prediction intervals or sets, for nearly arbitrary predictive models, with guaranteed finite-sample coverage. Conformal methods are an active research topic…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-19 Jerzy Wieczorek
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