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Related papers: Extreme Value Statistics of Jump Processes

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In order to describe the extremal behaviour of some stochastic process $X$, approaches from univariate extreme value theory are typically generalized to the spatial domain. In particular, generalized peaks-over-threshold approaches allow…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Max Thannheimer , Marco Oesting

We consider the exit event from a metastable state for the overdamped Langevin dynamics $dX_t = -\nabla f(X_t) dt + \sqrt{h} dB_t$. Using tools from semiclassical analysis, we prove that, starting from the quasi stationary distribution…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-01-17 Giacomo Di Gesù , Tony Lelièvre , Dorian Le Peutrec , Boris Nectoux

Consider a system performing a continuous-time random walk on the integers, subject to catastrophes occurring at constant rate, and followed by exponentially-distributed repair times. After any repair the system starts anew from state zero.…

Asymptotics deviation probabilities of the sum S n = X 1 + $\times$ $\times$ $\times$ + X n of independent and identically distributed real-valued random variables have been extensively investigated, in particular when X 1 is not…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabien Brosset , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Pierre Petit

In this work, we report the emergence of extreme events in a damped and driven velocity-dependent mechanical system. We observe that the extreme events emerge at multiple points. We further notice that the extreme events occur symmetrically…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2021-06-18 Sudharsan S , Venkatesan A , Senthilvelan M

We consider a process $X_t$, which is observed on a finite time interval $[0,T]$, at discrete times $0,\Delta_n,2\Delta_n,\ldots.$ This process is an It\^{o} semimartingale with stochastic volatility $\sigma_t^2$. Assuming that $X$ has…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-26 Jean Jacod , Viktor Todorov

We consider a particle moving in continuous time as a Markov jump process; its discrete chain is given by an ordinary random walk on ${\mathbb Z}^d$ , and its jump rate at $({\mathbf x},t)$ is given by a fixed function $\varphi$ of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Luiz Renato Fontes , Pablo Almeida Gomes , Maicon Aparecido Pinheiro

Let $r: S\times S\to \bb R_+$ be the jump rates of an irreducible random walk on a finite set $S$, reversible with respect to some probability measure $m$. For $\alpha >1$, let $g: \bb N\to \bb R_+$ be given by $g(0)=0$, $g(1)=1$, $g(k) =…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-22 Johel Beltran , Claudio Landim

The goal of this paper is to develop distributionally robust optimization (DRO) estimators, specifically for multidimensional Extreme Value Theory (EVT) statistics. EVT supports using semi-parametric models called max-stable distributions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-02 Patrick Kuiper , Ali Hasan , Wenhao Yang , Yuting Ng , Hoda Bidkhori , Jose Blanchet , Vahid Tarokh

Many events in biology are triggered when a diffusing searcher finds a target, which is called a first passage time (FPT). The overwhelming majority of FPT studies have analyzed the time it takes a single searcher to find a target. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-23 Sean D Lawley

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the extreme eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the high dimensional spiked sample covariance matrices, in the supercritical case when a reliable detection of spikes is possible. Especially, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-04 Zhigang Bao , Xiucai Ding , Jingming Wang , Ke Wang

The purpose of this paper is to ensure the conditions of G\"artner-Ellis Theorem for evaluations of the empirical measure. We show that up-to-date conditions for ensuring the convergence to a quasi-stationary distribution can be applied…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-21 Aurélien Velleret

We consider here point processes $N^f(t)$, $t>0$, with independent increments and integer-valued jumps whose distribution is expressed in terms of Bern\v{s}tein functions $f$ with L\'evy measure $\nu$. We obtain the general expression of…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-31 Enzo Orsingher , Bruno Toaldo

In this paper, we consider the distribution of the supremum of non-stationary Gaussian processes, and present a new theoretical result on the asymptotic behaviour of this distribution. Unlike previously known facts in this field, our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Valentin Konakov , Vladimir Panov , Vladimir Piterbarg

We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion for the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-08 Archil Gulisashvili , Frederi Viens , Xin Zhang

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

The distribution of block maxima of sequences of independent and identically-distributed random variables is used to model extreme values in many disciplines. The traditional extreme value (EV) theory derives a closed-form expression for…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-27 Marco Marani , Enrico Zorzetto

We consider a model of Brownian motion on a bounded open interval with instantaneous jumps. The jumps occur at a spatially dependent rate given by a positive parameter times a continuous function positive on the interval and vanishing on…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-04 Iddo Ben-Ari

The statistics of the slowest first-passage time among a large population of $N$ searchers is crucial for determining the completion time of many stochastic processes. Classical extreme-value theory predicts that for diffusing particles in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-24 Talia Baravi , Eli Barkai

Let $G$ be a real Lie group, $\Lambda\subseteq G$ a lattice, and $X=G/\Lambda$. We fix a probability measure $\mu$ on $G$ and consider the left random walk induced on $X$. It is assumed that $\mu$ is aperiodic, has a finite first moment,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-14 Timothée Bénard