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A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Alberto J. Coca

Let $D\subset R^d$ be a bounded domain and let $\mathcal P(D)$ denote the space of probability measures on $D$. Consider a Brownian motion in $D$ which is killed at the boundary and which, while alive, jumps instantaneously according to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-19 Nitay Arcusin , Ross G. Pinsky

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler

We consider a synchronous process of particles moving on the vertices of a graph $G$, introduced by Cooper, McDowell, Radzik, Rivera and Shiraga (2018). Initially, $M$ particles are placed on a vertex of $G$. In subsequent time steps, all…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-25 Umberto De Ambroggio , Tamás Makai , Konstantinos Panagiotou , Annika Steibel

In this paper the running average of a subordinator with a tempered stable distribution is considered. We investigate a family of previously unexplored infinite-activity subordinators induced by the probability distribution of the running…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Weixuan Xia

We study the two-species diffusion-annihilation process, $A+B\rightarrow$ \O, on the fully-connected lattice. Probability distributions for the number of particles and the reaction time are obtained for a finite-size system using a master…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-07-03 Loïc Turban

While averages and typical fluctuations often play a major role to understand the behavior of a non-equilibrium system, this nonetheless is not always true. Rare events and large fluctuations are also pivotal when a thorough analysis of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-29 Prashant Singh , Arnab Pal

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

We consider stationary stochastic processes arising from dynamical systems by evaluating a given observable along the orbits of the system. We focus on the extremal behaviour of the process, which is related to the entrance in certain…

For each $n\geq 1$, let $ {X_{in}, \quad i \geq 1} $ be independent copies of a nonnegative continuous stochastic process $X_{n}=(X_n(t))_{t\in T}$ indexed by a compact metric space $T$. We are interested in the process of partial maxima…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-07 Clément Dombry , Frédéric Eyi-Minko

The estimation of the Extreme Value Index (EVI) is fundamental in extreme value analysis but suffers from high variance due to reliance on only a few extreme observations. We propose a control variates based transfer learning approach in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Louison Bocquet-Nouaille , Jérôme Morio , Benjamin Bobbia

In this paper we study a substantial generalization of the model of excited random walk introduced in [Electron. Commun. Probab. 8 (2003) 86-92] by Benjamini and Wilson. We consider a discrete-time stochastic process $(X_n,n=0,1,2,...)$…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-10-12 Mikhail Menshikov , Serguei Popov , Alejandro F. Ramírez , Marina Vachkovskaia

We investigate the extreme first-passage statistics of $N$ non-interacting random walkers on discrete, hierarchical networks. {By distinguishing between transport limited by escape from localized initial states (injection-limited) and…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2026-05-15 Bhargav R. Karamched

By using absolutely continuous lower bounds of the L\'evy measure, explicit gradient estimates are derived for the semigroup of the corresponding L\'evy process with a linear drift. A derivative formula is presented for the conditional…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-16 Feng-Yu Wang

It is well-known that 0 is the absorbing state for a branching system. Each particle in the system lives a random long time and gives a random number of new particles at its death time. It stops when the system has no particle. This paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-31 Yanyun Li , Junping Li

The extreme value index is a fundamental parameter in univariate Extreme Value Theory (EVT). It captures the tail behavior of a distribution and is central in the extrapolation beyond observed data. Among other semi-parametric methods (such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-02 Clément Dombry , Ana Ferreira

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

We study finite particle systems on the one-dimensional integer lattice, where each particle performs a continuous-time nearest-neighbour random walk, with jump rates intrinsic to each particle, subject to an exclusion interaction which…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Vadim Malyshev , Mikhail Menshikov , Serguei Popov , Andrew Wade

Classification tasks usually assume that all possible classes are present during the training phase. This is restrictive if the algorithm is used over a long time and possibly encounters samples from unknown classes. The recently introduced…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-18 Edoardo Vignotto , Sebastian Engelke

Extreme Value Theory (EVT) is exploited to determine the global stability threshold $R_g$ of plane Couette flow --the flow of a viscous fluid in the space between two parallel plates-- whose laminar or turbulent behavior depends on the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-03-24 Davide Faranda , Valerio Lucarini , Paul Manneville , Jeroen Wouters
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