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Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. We consider their sliding blocks estimators. Using a modern theory of multivariate, regularly varying time series, we obtain central limit theorems under conditions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Youssouph Cissokho , Rafal Kulik

In extreme value statistics for stationary sequences, blocks estimators are usually constructed by using disjoint blocks because exceedances over high thresholds of different blocks can be assumed asymptotically independent. In this paper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-23 Christian Y. Robert , Johan Segers , Christopher A. T. Ferro

The extremes of a stationary time series typically occur in clusters. A primary measure for this phenomenon is the extremal index, representing the reciprocal of the expected cluster size. Both a disjoint and a sliding blocks estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-14 Betina Berghaus , Axel Bücher

A measure of primal importance for capturing the serial dependence of a stationary time series at extreme levels is provided by the limiting cluster size distribution. New estimators based on a blocks declustering scheme are proposed and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-11 Axel Bücher , Tobias Jennessen

Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. We consider runs estimators of cluster indices. Using a modern theory of multivariate, regularly varying time series, we obtain central limit theorems under conditions…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-07 Youssouph Cissokho , Rafal Kulik

We investigate the joint asymptotic behavior of so-called blocks estimator of the extremal index, that determines the mean length of clusters of extremes, based on the exceedances over different thresholds. Due to the large bias of these…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-06 Holger Drees

The block maxima method is a standard approach for analyzing the extremal behavior of a potentially multivariate time series. It has recently been found that the classical approach based on disjoint block maxima may be universally improved…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-26 Axel Bücher , Torben Staud

Extremes occur in stationary regularly varying time series as short periods with several large observations, known as extremal blocks. We study cluster statistics summarizing the behavior of functions acting on these extremal blocks.…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Gloria Buriticá , Olivier Wintenberger

In the regularly varying time series setting, a cluster of exceedances is a short period for which the supremum norm exceeds a high threshold. We propose to study a generalization of this notion considering short periods, or blocks, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-22 Gloria Buriticá , Thomas Mikosch , Olivier Wintenberger

This paper establishes asymptotic results for the maximum likelihood and restricted maximum likelihood (REML) estimators of the parameters in the nested error regression model for clustered data when both of the number of independent…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-25 Ziyang Lyu , A. H. Welsh

Any limiting point process for the time normalized exceedances of high levels by a stationary sequence is necessarily compound Poisson under appropriate long range dependence conditions. Typically exceedances appear in clusters. The…

Applications · Statistics 2009-03-03 Christian Y. Robert

The stable-regenerative multiple-stable model has been shown recently to have distinct candidate extremal index and extremal index. To understand further this rare phenomenon, two more results are established here for the double-stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-10 Shuyang Bai , Rafał Kulik , Yizao Wang

Block maxima methods constitute a fundamental part of the statistical toolbox in extreme value analysis. However, most of the corresponding theory is derived under the simplifying assumption that block maxima are independent observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-24 Nan Zou , Stanislav Volgushev , Axel Bücher

This article proposes a novel estimator for regression coefficients in clustered data that explicitly accounts for within-cluster dependence. We study the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator under both finite and infinite…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-05 Subhodeep Dey , Gopal K. Basak , Samarjit Das

A general method is presented for deriving the limiting behavior of estimators that are defined as the values of parameters optimizing an empirical criterion function. The asymptotic behavior of such estimators is typically deduced from…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Peter Radchenko

The occurrence of successive extreme observations can have an impact on society. In extreme value theory there are parameters to evaluate the effect of clustering of high values, such as the extremal index. The estimation of the extremal…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-03 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

A blocks method is used to define clusters of extreme values in stationary time series. The cluster starts at the first large value in the block and ends at the last one. The block cluster measure (the point measure at clusters) encodes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-01 Zaoli Chen , Rafal Kulik

This work proposes an estimator with both Peak-Over-Threshold and Block-Maxima flavors, uses it to estimate the Pickands dependence function of bivariate time series, and illustrates how it brings down the asymptotic bias and the overall…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-15 Nan Zou

We consider a stationary random field indexed by an increasing sequence of subsets of $\mathbb{Z}^d$ obeying a very broad geometrical assumption on how the sequence expands. Under certain mixing and local conditions, we show how the tail…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Anders Rønn-Nielsen , Mads Stehr

Drees and Rootz\'en (2010) have established limit theorems for a general class of empirical processes of statistics that are useful for the extreme value analysis of time series, but do not apply to statistics of sliding blocks, including…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-02 Holger Drees , Sebastian Neblung
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