Related papers: Geometric Infinitely Divisible Autoregressive Mode…

In this paper we consider autoregressive models with conditional autoregressive variance, including the case of homoscedastic AR-models and the case of ARCH models. Our aim is to test the hypothesis of normality for the innovations in a…

Continuing the study reported in Satheesh (2001),(math.PR/0304499 dated 01 May 2003) and Satheesh (2002)(math.PR/0305030 dated 02May 2003), here we study generalizations of infinitely divisible (ID) and max-infinitely divisible (MID) laws.…

One of the very few mathematically rigorous nonlinear model reduction methods is the restriction of a dynamical system to a low-dimensional, sufficiently smooth, attracting invariant manifold. Such manifolds are usually found using local…

We derive generalization error bounds for stationary univariate autoregressive (AR) models. We show that imposing stationarity is enough to control the Gaussian complexity without further regularization. This lets us use structural risk…

Guerrero et al. \cite{GBSO} propose a novel approach to building first-order integer-valued autoregressive (\inar1) models based on the concept of thinning. The standard approach requires that the thinning operator be defined first and…

We propose a method for inference in generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs) and several extensions of these models. First, we extend the GLMM by allowing the distribution of the random components to be non-Gaussian, that is, assuming an…

The commonly used latent space embedding techniques, such as Principal Component Analysis, Factor Analysis, and manifold learning techniques, are typically used for learning effective representations of homogeneous data. However, they do…

Generalized additive index models (GAIMs) offer a flexible semiparametric framework for capturing complex data relationships, balancing the interpretability of parametric models with the flexibility of nonparametric approaches. However,…

Regressions created from experimental or simulated data enable the construction of metamodels, widely used in a variety of engineering applications. Many engineering problems involve multi-parametric physics whose corresponding…

Vector autoregressive models characterize a variety of time series in which linear combinations of current and past observations can be used to accurately predict future observations. For instance, each element of an observation vector…

We extend classical results about the convergence of nearly unstable AR(p) processes to the infinite order case. To do so, we proceed as in recent works about Hawkes processes by using limit theorems for some well chosen geometric sums. We…

We propose Riemannian Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (RDDPMs) for learning distributions on submanifolds of Euclidean space that are level sets of functions, including most of the manifolds relevant to applications. Existing…

For each $\lambda>0$ and every square-integrable infinitely-divisible (ID) distribution there exists at least one stationary stochastic process $t\mapsto X_t$ with the specified distribution for $X_1$ and with first-order autoregressive…

This paper presents the generalized spatial autoregression (GSAR) model, a significant advance in spatial econometrics for non-normal response variables belonging to the exponential family. The GSAR model extends the logistic SAR, probit…

Random integral mappings $I^{h,r}_{(a,b]}$ give isomorphisms between the sub-semigroups of the classical $(ID, \ast)$ and the free-infinite divisible $(ID,\boxplus)$ probability measures. This allows us to introduce new examples of such…

Sequences of certain finite graphs, antitrees, are constructed along which the Anderson model shows GOE statistics, i.e. a re-scaled eigenvalue process converges to the ${\rm Sine}_1$ process. The Anderson model on the graph is a random…

This paper deals with the problem of global parameter estimation of affine diffusions in $\mathbb{R}_+ \times \mathbb{R}^n$ denoted by $AD(1, n)$ where $n$ is a positive integer which is a subclass of affine diffusions introduced by Duffie…

In time-series analyses, particularly for finance, generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) models are widely applied statistical tools for modelling volatility clusters (i.e., periods of increased or decreased…

We develop a principled way of identifying probability distributions whose independent and identically distributed (iid) realizations are compressible, i.e., can be well-approximated as sparse. We focus on Gaussian random underdetermined…

Multiple generalized additive models (GAMs) are a type of distributional regression wherein parameters of probability distributions depend on predictors through smooth functions, with selection of the degree of smoothness via $L_2$…