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This paper puts forward a new generalized polynomial dimensional decomposition (PDD), referred to as GPDD, comprising hierarchically ordered measure-consistent multivariate orthogonal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Sharif Rahman

We study the defect (or "signed area") distribution of toral Laplace eigenfunctions restricted to shrinking balls of radius above the Planck scale, in either random Gaussian scenario ("Arithmetic Random Waves"), or deterministic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2021-09-01 Par Kurlberg , Igor Wigman , Nadav Yesha

We introduce a new class of countably infinite random geometric graphs, whose vertices are points in a metric space, and vertices are adjacent independently with probability p if the metric distance between the vertices is below a given…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-08-28 Anthony Bonato , Jeannette Janssen

Laplace's method approximates a target density with a Gaussian distribution at its mode. It is computationally efficient and asymptotically exact for Bayesian inference due to the Bernstein-von Mises theorem, but for complex targets and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Hanlin Yu , Marcelo Hartmann , Bernardo Williams , Mark Girolami , Arto Klami

In this work we first introduce quasi-infinitely divisible (QID) random measures and formulate spectral representations. Then, we introduce QID stochastic integrals and present integrability conditions and continuity properties. Further, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-13 Riccardo Passeggeri

We perform an extensive investigation of the localization properties of the eigenmodes of the Laplace and adjacency matrix for one-dimensional random geometric graphs. We evaluate the density of states, the probability distribution of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-08-27 Luca Schaefer , Barbara Drossel

A popular and flexible time series model for counts is the generalized integer autoregressive process of order $p$, GINAR($p$). These Markov processes are defined using thinning operators evaluated on past values of the process along with a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Pashmeen Kaur , Peter F. Craigmile

In this paper, we propose a random gradient-free method for optimization in infinite dimensional Hilbert spaces, applicable to functional optimization in diverse settings. Though such problems are often solved through finite-dimensional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-25 Caio Lins Peixoto , Daniel Csillag , Bernardo F. P. da Costa , Yuri F. Saporito

Gaussian Process (GP) regression is a flexible non-parametric approach to approximate complex models. In many cases, these models correspond to processes with bounded physical properties. Standard GP regression typically results in a proxy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-10 Andrew Pensoneault , Xiu Yang , Xueyu Zhu

This paper deals with the maximum likelihood estimator for the mean-reverting parameter of a first order autoregressive models with exogenous variables, which are stationary Gaussian noises (Colored noise). Using the method of the Laplace…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-11-19 Chunhao Cai

Shape restricted regressions, including isotonic regression and concave regression as special cases, are studied using priors on Bernstein polynomials and Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. These priors have large supports, select only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 I-Shou Chang , Li-Chu Chien , Chao A. Hsiung , Chi-Chung Wen , Yuh-Jenn Wu

We propose a general framework for solving statistical mechanics of systems with finite size. The approach extends the celebrated variational mean-field approaches using autoregressive neural networks, which support direct sampling and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-06-10 Dian Wu , Lei Wang , Pan Zhang

The purpose of the present work is to construct estimators for the random effects in a fractional diffusion model using a hybrid estimation method where we combine parametric and nonparametric thechniques. We precisely consider $n$…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-13 Nesrine Chebli , Hamdi Fathallah , Yousri Slaoui

Spatial autoregressive model, introduced by Clif and Ord in 1970s has been widely applied in many areas of science and econometrics such as regional economics, public finance, political sciences, agricultural economics, environmental…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-14 Wenqian Wang , Beth Andrews

A novel first-order autoregressive moving average model for analyzing discrete-time series observed at irregularly spaced times is introduced. Under Gaussianity, it is established that the model is strictly stationary and ergodic. In the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-31 Cesar Ojeda , Wilfredo Palma , Susana Eyheramendy , Felipe Elorrieta

Random variables in metric spaces indexed by time and observed at equally spaced time points are receiving increased attention due to their broad applicability. The absence of inherent structure in metric spaces has resulted in a literature…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-24 Matthieu Bulté , Helle Sørensen

A nearly unstable sequence of stationary spatial autoregressive processes is investigated, when the sum of the absolute values of the autoregressive coefficients tends to one. It is shown that after an appropriate norming the least squares…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-03-18 Sándor Baran , Gyula Pap

This paper studies some temporal dependence properties and addresses the issue of parametric estimation for a class of state-dependent autoregressive models for nonlinear time series in which we assume a stochastic autoregressive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-11 Fabio Gobbi , Sabrina Mulinacci

Genetic and evolution algebras arise naturally from applied probability and stochastic processes. Gibbs measures describe interacting systems commonly studied in thermodynamics and statistical mechanics with applications in several fields.…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Cristian F. Coletti , Lucas R. de Lima , Denis A. Luiz

We introduce and explore a new class of stationary time series models for variance matrices based on a constructive definition exploiting inverse Wishart distribution theory. The main class of models explored is a novel class of stationary,…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-07-27 Emily B. Fox , Mike West