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In many applied fields incomplete covariate vectors are commonly encountered. It is well known that this can be problematic when making inference on model parameters, but its impact on prediction performance is less understood. We develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-07-14 Garritt L. Page , Fernando A. Quintana , Peter Müller

This paper is the second in a series of papers which combine graphical modelling and marked spatial point patterns. Extending the previous results of \cite Eckardt (2016a), we introduce a marked spatial dependence graph model which depicts…

Applications · Statistics 2016-09-29 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu

In this work, we consider an extension to parabolic problems of the variational multiscale method with spectral approximation of the sub-scales. We first discretize in time using a finite difference scheme and second, apply the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-01-25 Tomás Chacón Rebollo , Soledad Fernández-García

Varying coefficient models are useful in applications where the effect of the covariate might depend on some other covariate such as time or location. Various applications of these models often give rise to case-specific prior distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-05 Maria Franco-Villoria , Massimo Ventrucci , Håvard Rue

How best to model structurally heterogeneous processes is a foundational question in the social, health and behavioral sciences. Recently, Fisher et al., (2022) introduced the multi-VAR approach for simultaneously estimating…

Mixed-effects models are among the most commonly used statistical methods for the exploration of multispecies data. In recent years, also Joint Species Distribution Models and Generalized Linear Latent Variale Models have gained in…

Computation · Statistics 2025-01-31 Bert van der Veen , Robert Brian O'Hara

As a growing number of problems involve variables that are random objects, the development of models for such data has become increasingly important. This paper introduces a novel varying-coefficient Fr\'echet regression model that extends…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Yanzhao Wang , Jianqiang Zhang , Wangli Xu

It is increasingly understood that the assumption of stationarity is unrealistic for many spatial processes. In this article, we combine dimension expansion with a spectral method to model big non-stationary spatial fields in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 Hou-Cheng Yang , Jonathan R. Bradley

Nonlinear dynamical stochastic models are ubiquitous in different areas. Excitable media models are typical examples with large state dimensions. Their statistical properties are often of great interest but are also very challenging to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Nan Chen , Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

Machine learning models used in medical applications often face challenges due to the covariate shift, which occurs when there are discrepancies between the distributions of training and target data. This can lead to decreased predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Mingyang Cai , Thomas Klausch , Mark A. van de Wiel

In data science, vector autoregression (VAR) models are popular in modeling multivariate time series in the environmental sciences and other applications. However, these models are computationally complex with the number of parameters…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-20 Zhihao Hu , Shyam Ranganathan , Yang Shao , Xinwei Deng

We propose a fast bivariate smoothing approach for symmetric surfaces that has a wide range of applications. We show how it can be applied to estimate the covariance function in longitudinal data as well as multiple additive covariances in…

Computation · Statistics 2016-09-23 Jona Cederbaum , Fabian Scheipl , Sonja Greven

The Mat\'ern covariance model is ubiquitous in spatial modelling, but there is no default choice for spatio-temporal modelling. In this paper, we consider the recently proposed ``diffusion-based'' extension of the spatial Mat\'ern…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-30 S. Knutsen Furset , Geir-Arne Fuglstad , Espen R. Jakobsen

Long simulation times in climate sciences typically require coarse grids due to computational constraints. Nonetheless, unresolved subscale information significantly influences the prognostic variables and can not be neglected for reliable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-02-22 Konrad Simon , Jörn Behrens

It is often of interest to combine available estimates of a similar quantity from multiple data sources. When the corresponding variances of each estimate are also available, a model should take into account the uncertainty of the estimates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-17 Yujing Yao , R. Todd Ogden , Chubing Zeng , Qixuan Chen

How to select variables and identify functional forms for continuous variables is a key concern when creating a multivariable model. Ad hoc 'traditional' approaches to variable selection have been in use for at least 50 years. Similarly,…

Spatial prediction tasks are key to weather forecasting, studying air pollution impacts, and other scientific endeavors. Determining how much to trust predictions made by statistical or physical methods is essential for the credibility of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 David R. Burt , Yunyi Shen , Tamara Broderick

The spectral view of variability is a compelling and adaptable tool for understanding variability of the climate. In Mitchell (1976) seminal paper, it was used to express, on one graph with log scales, a very wide range of climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-21 Anna S. von der Heydt , Peter Ashwin , Charles D. Camp , Michel Crucifix , Henk A. Dijkstra , Peter Ditlevsen , Timothy M. Lenton

Statistical models that possess symmetry arise in diverse settings such as random fields associated to geophysical phenomena, exchangeable processes in Bayesian statistics, and cyclostationary processes in engineering. We formalize the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-12-01 Parikshit Shah , Venkat Chandrasekaran

High-dimensional networks play a key role in understanding complex relationships. These relationships are often dynamic in nature and can change with multiple external factors (e.g., time and groups). Methods for estimating graphical models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-30 Louis Dijkstra , Arne Godt , Ronja Foraita