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A stochastic epidemic model accounting for the effect of contact-tracing on the spread of an infectious disease is studied. Precisely, individuals identified as infected may contribute to detecting other infectious individuals by providing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-03-28 Stéphan Clémençon , Viet Chi Tran , Hector De Arazoza

Recombination is an important event in the evolution of HIV. It affects the global spread of the pandemic as well as evolutionary escape from host immune response and from drug therapy within single patients. Comprehensive computational…

Genomics · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Niko Beerenwinkel , Colin N. Dewey , Kevin M. Woods

When assessing the causal effect of a binary exposure using observational data, confounder imbalance across exposure arms must be addressed. Matching methods, including propensity score-based matching, can be used to deconfound the causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-01 Ernesto Ulloa-Pérez , Marco Carone , Alex Luedtke

Predictive or treatment selection biomarkers are usually evaluated in a subgroup or regression analysis with focus on the treatment-by-marker interaction. Under a potential outcome framework (Huang, Gilbert and Janes [Biometrics 68 (2012)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-02-04 Zhiwei Zhang , Lei Nie , Guoxing Soon , Aiyi Liu

Inference after model selection has been an active research topic in the past few years, with numerous works offering different approaches to addressing the perils of the reuse of data. In particular, major progress has been made recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-02 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor , Asaf Weinstein

Analysis of longitudinal Electronic Health Record (EHR) data is an important goal for precision medicine. Difficulty in applying Machine Learning (ML) methods, either predictive or unsupervised, stems in part from the heterogeneity and…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-18 Alan D. Kaplan , Uttara Tipnis , Jean C. Beckham , Nathan A. Kimbrel , David W. Oslin , Benjamin H. McMahon

The integration of longitudinal measurements and survival time in statistical modeling offers a powerful framework for capturing the interplay between these two essential outcomes, particularly when they exhibit associations. However, in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-11 Taban Baghfalaki , Mojtaba Ganjali , Rui Martins

Black men who have sex with men (MSM) in the U.S. are more likely to be HIV-positive than White MSM. Intentional and unintentional segregation of Black from non-Black MSM in sex partner meeting places may perpetuate this disparity, a fact…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-13 Jonathan Larson , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

UNAIDS has embraced an ambitious global target for the implementation of treatment for people living with HIV. This 90-90-90 target would mean that, by 2020, 90% of all those living with HIV should know their status, 90% of these would be…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-07-30 Brian Gerard Williams

In large-scale disease etiology studies, epidemiologists often need to use multiple binary measures of unobserved causes of disease that are not perfectly sensitive or specific to estimate cause-specific case fractions, referred to as…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-21 Zhenke Wu , Irena Chen

HIV-1 can disseminate between susceptible cells by two mechanisms: cell-free infection following fluid-phase diffusion of virions and by highly-efficient direct cell-to-cell transmission at immune cell contacts. The contribution of this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-02 Changwang Zhang , Shi Zhou , Elisabetta Groppelli , Pierre Pellegrino , Ian Williams , Persephone Borrow , Benjamin M. Chain , Clare Jolly

When highly active antiretroviral therapy is administered for long periods of time to HIV-1 infected patients, most patients achieve viral loads that are ``undetectable'' by standard assay (i.e., HIV-1 RNA $ < 50$ copies/ml). Yet despite…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2012-11-20 Laura E. Jones , Alan S. Perelson

Although the log-likelihood is widely used in model selection, the log-likelihood ratio has had few applications in this area. We develop a log-likelihood ratio based method for selecting regression models by focusing on the set of models…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Min Tsao

We study the influence of the rate of the attainment of herd immunity (HI), in the absence of an approved vaccine, on the vulnerable population. We essentially ask the question: how hard the evolution towards the desired herd immunity could…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-01 Sayantan Mondal , Saumyak Mukherjee , Biman Bagchi

A two-sex Basic Reproduction Number (BRN) is used to investigate the conditions under which the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) may spread through heterosexual contacts in Sub-Saharan Africa. (The BRN is the expected number of new…

Applications · Statistics 2007-07-05 Marc Artzrouni , Vivient Kamla

We propose a population model for HIV-TB co-infection dynamics by considering treatments for HIV infection, active tuberculosis and co-infection. The HIV only and TB only models are analyzed separately, as well as full model. The basic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-08-10 Sachin Kumar , Shikha Jain

Although the interest in the the use of social and information networks has grown, most inferences on networks assume the data collected represents the complete. However, when ignoring missing data, even when missing completely at random,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-25 Tyler Vu , Tuo Lin , Jingjing Zou , Vladimir Novitsky , Xin Tu , Victor De Gruttola

From incorporating LLMs in education, to identifying new drugs and improving ways to charge batteries, innovators constantly try new strategies in search of better long-term outcomes for students, patients and consumers. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Hyunji Alex Nam , Yash Chandak , Emma Brunskill

Aim of this manuscript is to show a simple method to infer the time-course of new COVID-19 infections (the most important information in order to establish the effect of containment strategies) from available aggregated data, such as number…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-21 Andrea Pugliese , Sara Sottile

Quantifying variable importance is essential for answering high-stakes questions in fields like genetics, public policy, and medicine. Current methods generally calculate variable importance for a given model trained on a given dataset.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Jon Donnelly , Srikar Katta , Cynthia Rudin , Edward P. Browne