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We study the almost sure convergence of the occupation measure of evolution models where mutation rates decrease over time. We show that if the mutation parameter vanishes at a controlled rate, then the empirical occupation measure…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Michel Benaïm , Mario Bravo , Mathieu Faure

We show that the joint probability generating function of the stationary measure of a finite state asymmetric exclusion process with open boundaries can be expressed in terms of joint moments of Markov processes called quadratic harnesses.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-17 Wlodek Bryc , Jacek Wesolowski

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

We consider a supercritical general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d. with arbitrary distribution and each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each others. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-21 Benoît Henry

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a supercritical controlled branching process consistently from a single observed trajectory of population size counts. Our goal is to establish which parameters can and cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-19 Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , James Kerlidis

We consider covariance asymptotics for linear statistics of general stationary random measures in terms of their truncated pair correlation measure. We give exact infinite series-expansion formulas for covariance of smooth statistics of…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Manjunath Krishnapur , D. Yogeshwaran

Continuous-state branching processes (CSBPs) with immigration (CBIs), stopped on hitting zero, are generalized by allowing the process governing immigration to be any L\'evy process without negative jumps. Unlike the CBIs, these newly…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Matija Vidmar

We investigate the stationary distribution of asymmetric and weakly asymmetric simple exclusion processes with open boundaries. We project the stationary distribution onto a subinterval, whose size is allowed to grow with the length of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-01 Evita Nestoridi , Dominik Schmid

We study stochastic extinction for a class of Markov processes motivated by models in ecology and epidemiology. Extinction is often characterized by a boundedness condition and a condition on boundary Lyapunov exponents (invasion rates).…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-23 Nhu Nguyen , Dang H. Nguyen

Applications of stochastic models often involve the evaluation of steady-state performance, which requires solving a set of balance equations. In most cases of interest, the number of equations is infinite or even uncountable. As a result,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-08 Shukai Li , Sanjay Mehrotra

We analyze the stationary distribution of regulated Markov modulated Brownian motions (MMBM) modified so that their evolution is slowed down when the process reaches level zero --- level zero is said to be {\em sticky}. To determine the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-06 Guy Latouche , Giang T. Nguyen

We consider the long-term behaviour of critical multitype branching processes conditioned on non-extinction, both with respect to the forward and the ancestral processes. Forward in time, we prove a functional limit theorem in the space of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sophia-Marie Mellis , Vitali Wachtel

We consider the setting of either a general non-local branching particle process or a general non-local superprocess, in both cases, with and without immigration. Under the assumption that the mean semigroup has a Perron-Frobenious type…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-09 Emma Horton , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Pedro Martín-Chávez , Ellen Powell , Victor Rivero

In this note, we establish that the stationary distribution of a possibly non-equilibrium Langevin diffusion converges, as the damping parameter goes to infinity (or equivalently in the Smoluchowski-Kramers vanishing mass limit), toward a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-12 Pierre Monmarché , Mouad Ramil

For a branching process in random environment it is assumed that the offspring distribution of the individuals varies in a random fashion, independently from one generation to the other. For the subcritical regime a kind of phase transition…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-08-11 Valeriy Afanasyev , Christian Böinghoff , Götz Kersting , Vladimir Vatutin

We provide a framework for empirical process theory of locally stationary processes using the functional dependence measure. Our results extend known results for stationary Markov chains and mixing sequences by another common possibility to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-20 Nathawut Phandoidaen , Stefan Richter

Markov branching systems form a fundamental class of stochastic models that are extensively applied in biology, physics, finance, and other domains. These systems are distinguished by their continuous-time evolution and inherent branching…

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

In this paper we provide the analysis of the limiting conditional distribution (Yaglom limit) for stochastic fluid models (SFMs), a key class of models in the theory of matrix-analytic methods. So far, transient and stationary analyses of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-14 Nigel G. Bean , Małgorzata M. O'Reilly , Zbigniew Palmowski

We consider the classical Yaglom limit theorem for a branching Markov process $X = (X_t, t \ge 0)$, with non-local branching mechanism in the setting that the mean semigroup is critical, i.e. its leading eigenvalue is zero. In particular,…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-04 Simon C. Harris , Emma Horton , Andreas E. Kyprianou , Minmin Wang