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We consider the problem of estimating the value of a linear functional in nonparametric instrumental regression, where in the presence of an instrument W a response Y is modeled in dependence of an endogenous explanatory variable Z. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-02-13 Christoph Breunig , Jan Johannes

Semiparametric forecasting and filtering are introduced as a method of addressing model errors arising from unresolved physical phenomena. While traditional parametric models are able to learn high-dimensional systems from small data sets,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-02-17 Tyrus Berry , John Harlim

Robotic systems operating in real-world environments often suffer from concept shift, where the input-output relationship changes due to latent environmental factors that are not directly observable. Conventional adaptation methods update…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Yasuyuki Fujii , Emika Kameda , Hiroki Fukada , Yoshiki Mori , Tadashi Matsuo , Nobutaka Shimada

This paper is concerned with a problem of robust filtering for a finite-dimensional linear discrete time invariant system with two output signals, one of which is directly observed while the other has to be estimated. The system is assumed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-12-10 Igor G. Vladimirov

In this contribution we introduce weakly locally stationary time series through the local approximation of the non-stationary covariance structure by a stationary one. This allows us to define autoregression coefficients in a non-stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-16 François Roueff , Andres Sanchez-Perez

This paper investigates and extends the computationally attractive nonparametric random coefficients estimator of Fox, Kim, Ryan, and Bajari (2011). We show that their estimator is a special case of the nonnegative LASSO, explaining its…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-09-20 Florian Heiss , Stephan Hetzenecker , Maximilian Osterhaus

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

In this paper we analyze the asymptotic properties of l1 penalized maximum likelihood estimation of signals with piece-wise constant mean values and/or variances. The focus is on segmentation of a non-stationary time series with respect to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-22 Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

We propose a nonparametric model for time series with missing data based on low-rank matrix factorization. The model expresses each instance in a set of time series as a linear combination of a small number of shared basis functions.…

This work introduces a novel nonlinear optimal filtering method, termed the Ensemble Schr{\"o}dinger Bridge nonlinear filter. The proposed filter combines the standard prediction step with a diffusion-generative-modeling-based analysis…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Hui Sun

Fine-tuning is a widely used strategy for adapting pre-trained models to new tasks, yet its methodology and theoretical properties in high-dimensional nonparametric settings with variable selection have not yet been developed. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Jinhang Chai , Jianqing Fan , Cheng Gao , Qishuo Yin

In a recent article (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci., 110(36), 14557-14562), El Karoui et al. study the distribution of robust regression estimators in the regime in which the number of parameters p is of the same order as the number of samples n.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-18 David Donoho , Andrea Montanari

$K$-NN classifier is one of the most famous classification algorithms, whose performance is crucially dependent on the distance metric. When we consider the distance metric as a parameter of $K$-NN, learning an appropriate distance metric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-26 Kun Song

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) has achieved empirical success in various domains. One core task in DRL is distributional policy evaluation, which involves estimating the return distribution $\eta^\pi$ for a given policy $\pi$.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-17 Yang Peng , Liangyu Zhang , Zhihua Zhang

We present a new nonparametric mixture-of-experts model for multivariate regression problems, inspired by the probabilistic k-nearest neighbors algorithm. Using a conditionally specified model, predictions for out-of-sample inputs are based…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-05 Tianfang Zhang , Rasmus Bokrantz , Jimmy Olsson

We consider the problem of non-parametric regression with a potentially large number of covariates. We propose a convex, penalized estimation framework that is particularly well-suited for high-dimensional sparse additive models. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-19 Asad Haris , Ali Shojaie , Noah Simon

We introduce a new nonparametric framework for classification problems in the presence of missing data. The key aspect of our framework is that the regression function decomposes into an anova-type sum of orthogonal functions, of which some…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-06 Torben Sell , Thomas B. Berrett , Timothy I. Cannings

We look at a stochastic time-varying optimization problem and we formulate online algorithms to find and track its optimizers in expectation. The algorithms are derived from the intuition that standard prediction and correction steps can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-04-11 Andrea Simonetto , Paolo Massioni

For nonparametric regression with one-sided errors and a boundary curve model for Poisson point processes we consider the problem of efficient estimation for linear functionals. The minimax optimal rate is obtained by an unbiased estimation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Markus Reiß , Leonie Selk

Transmission electron microscopes (TEMs) enable atomic-scale imaging but suffer from aberrations caused by lens imperfections and environmental conditions, reducing image quality. These aberrations can be compensated by adjusting…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-20 Jilles S. van Hulst , Erik M. Franken , Bart J. Janssen , W. P. M. H. Heemels , Duarte J. Antunes