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We propose a pointwise inference algorithm for high-dimensional linear models with time-varying coefficients. The method is based on a novel combination of the nonparametric kernel smoothing technique and a Lasso bias-corrected ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-17 Xiaohui Chen , Yifeng He

We study non-parametric regression estimates for random fields. The data satisfies certain strong mixing conditions and is defined on the regular $N$-dimensional lattice structure. We show consistency and obtain rates of convergence. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-07-06 Johannes T. N. Krebs

We propose a method for adaptive nonlinear sequential modeling of vector-time series data. Data is modeled as a nonlinear function of past values corrupted by noise, and the underlying non-linear function is assumed to be approximately…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Qiuyi Han , Jie Ding , Edoardo Airoldi , Vahid Tarokh

Developing models and algorithms to predict nonstationary time series is a long standing statistical problem. It is crucial for many applications, in particular for fashion or retail industries, to make optimal inventory decisions and avoid…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-12 Etienne David , Jean Bellot , Sylvain Le Corff

We consider the nonparametric estimation of an S-shaped regression function. The least squares estimator provides a very natural, tuning-free approach, but results in a non-convex optimisation problem, since the inflection point is unknown.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Oliver Y. Feng , Yining Chen , Qiyang Han , Raymond J. Carroll , Richard J. Samworth

Regression is an important task in machine learning and data mining. It has several applications in various domains, including finance, biomedical, and computer vision. Recently, network Lasso, which estimates local models by making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-13 Mathis Petrovich , Makoto Yamada

The objective of the present paper is to develop a minimax theory for the varying coefficient model in a non-asymptotic setting. We consider a high-dimensional sparse varying coefficient model where only few of the covariates are present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-16 Olga Klopp , Marianna Pensky

The extraction of weak signals plays a crucial role in quantum precision measurement, where the estimation results are often limited by low signal-to-noise ratios. Here, we demonstrate a parameter-estimation framework based on the adaptive…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Yihan Wang , Xiaofeng Jin , Yuchuan Ming , Jianxiang Miao , Xiao-Ming Lu , M. W. Mitchell , Jia Kong

Temporal-difference learning is a popular algorithm for policy evaluation. In this paper, we study the convergence of the regularized non-parametric TD(0) algorithm, in both the independent and Markovian observation settings. In particular,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-25 Eloïse Berthier , Ziad Kobeissi , Francis Bach

This paper develops a unified finite-time theory for the ordinary least squares estimation of possibly unstable and even slightly explosive vector autoregressive models under linear restrictions, with the applicable region $\rho(A)\leq…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Yao Zheng , Guang Cheng

When signals are measured through physical sensors, they are perturbed by noise. To reduce noise, low-pass filters are commonly employed in order to attenuate high frequency components in the incoming signal, regardless if they come from…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-08 Alejandro J. Ordóñez-Conejo , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

We consider the problem of threshold estimation for autoregressive time series with a "space switching" in the situation, when the regression is nonlinear and the innovations have a smooth, possibly non Gaussian, probability density.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Pavel Chigansky , Yury Kutoyants

It is often of interest to assess whether a function-valued statistical parameter, such as a density function or a mean regression function, is equal to any function in a class of candidate null parameters. This can be framed as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-14 Aaron Hudson

We propose new parametric frameworks of regression analysis with the conditional mode of a bounded response as the focal point of interest. Covariate effects estimation and prediction based on the maximum likelihood method under two new…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-22 Haiming Zhou , Xianzheng Huang

Recent results in coupled or temporal graphical models offer schemes for estimating the relationship structure between features when the data come from related (but distinct) longitudinal sources. A novel application of these ideas is for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-22 Ronak Mehta , Hyunwoo J. Kim , Shulei Wang , Sterling C. Johnson , Ming Yuan , Vikas Singh

For various applications, the relations between the dependent and independent variables are highly nonlinear. Consequently, for large scale complex problems, neural networks and regression trees are commonly preferred over linear models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-05-23 Samet Oymak , Mehrdad Mahdavi , Jiasi Chen

We propose a non-parametric variant of binary regression, where the hypothesis is regularized to be a Lipschitz function taking a metric space to [0,1] and the loss is logarithmic. This setting presents novel computational and statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-21 Ariel Avital , Klim Efremenko , Aryeh Kontorovich , David Toplin , Bo Waggoner

Traditional nonparametric estimation methods often lead to a slow convergence rate in large dimensions and require unrealistically enormous sizes of datasets for reliable conclusions. We develop an approach based on partial derivatives,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Xiaowu Dai

This paper deals with the parametric inference for integrated signals embedded in an additive Gaussian noise and observed at deterministic discrete instants which are not necessarily equidistant. The unknown parameter is multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-18 Dominique Dehay , Khalil El Waled , Vincent Monsan

Increased use of sensor signals from wearable devices as rich sources of physiological data has sparked growing interest in developing health monitoring systems to identify changes in an individual's health profile. Indeed, machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Magda Amiridi , Gregory Darnell , Sean Jewell