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Confirmation bias, the tendency to interpret information in a way that aligns with one's preconceptions, can profoundly impact scientific research, leading to conclusions that reflect the researcher's hypotheses even when the observational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-09 Amnon Balanov , Tamir Bendory , Wasim Huleihel

In most nonrandomized observational studies, differences between treatment groups may arise not only due to the treatment but also because of the effect of confounders. Therefore, causal inference regarding the treatment effect is not as…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Debashis Ghosh

The group testing problem is concerned with identifying a small set of infected individuals in a large population. At our disposal is a testing procedure that allows us to test several individuals together. In an idealized setting, a test…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-19 Oliver Gebhard , Oliver Johnson , Philipp Loick , Maurice Rolvien

AI models are often evaluated based on their ability to predict the outcome of interest. However, in many AI for social impact applications, the presence of an intervention that affects the outcome can bias the evaluation. Randomized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Winston Chen , Michael W. Sjoding , Jenna Wiens

The resilience, or stability, of major Earth system components is increasingly threatened by anthropogenic pressures, demanding reliable early warning signals for abrupt and irreversible regime shifts. Widely used data-driven resilience…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-05-13 Teng Liu , Andreas Morr , Sebastian Bathiany , Lana L. Blaschke , Zhen Qian , Chan Diao , Taylor Smith , Niklas Boers

We study a two-institution stable matching model in which candidates from two distinct groups are evaluated using partially correlated signals that are group-biased. This extends prior work (which assumes institutions evaluate candidates in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-11-11 Amit Kumar , Nisheeth K. Vishnoi

In several observational contexts where different raters evaluate a set of items, it is common to assume that all raters draw their scores from the same underlying distribution. However, a plenty of scientific works have evidenced the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Giuseppe Mignemi , Antonio Calcagnì , Andrea Spoto , Ioanna Manolopoulou

In our digital and connected societies, the development of social networks, online shopping, and reputation systems raises the question of how individuals use social information, and how it affects their decisions. We report experiments…

International Large-scale Assessments (ILSAs), such as the Program for International Student Assessment (PISA) and the Trends in International Mathematics and Science Study (TIMSS), are cornerstone tools for global educational research and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-05 Jing Ouyang , Yunxiao Chen , Chengcheng Li , Gongjun Xu

Ranking systems have an unprecedented influence on how and what information people access, and their impact on our society is being analyzed from different perspectives, such as users' discrimination. A notable example is represented by…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-24 Guilherme Ramos , Ludovico Boratto , Mirko Marras

Instrumental variable (IV) analyses are becoming common in health services research and epidemiology. Most IV analyses use naturally occurring instruments, such as distance to a hospital. In these analyses, investigators must assume the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-04 Zach Branson , Luke Keele

Although many fairness criteria have been proposed to ensure that machine learning algorithms do not exhibit or amplify our existing social biases, these algorithms are trained on datasets that can themselves be statistically biased. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-04 Yiqiao Liao , Parinaz Naghizadeh

We present an extension to the robust phase estimation protocol, which can identify incorrect results that would otherwise lie outside the expected statistical range. Robust phase estimation is increasingly a method of choice for…

In many applications of causal inference, the treatment received by one unit may influence the outcome of another, a phenomenon referred to as interference. Although there are several frameworks for conducting causal inference in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-27 Matvey Ortyashov , AmirEmad Ghassami

Many real-world classification problems are significantly class-imbalanced to detriment of the class of interest. The standard set of proper evaluation metrics is well-known but the usual assumption is that the test dataset imbalance equals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-16 Jan Brabec , Tomáš Komárek , Vojtěch Franc , Lukáš Machlica

We propose a method for reporting how program evaluations reduce gaps between groups, such as the gender or Black-white gap. We first show that the reduction in disparities between groups can be written as the difference in conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-01-19 Paul Goldsmith-Pinkham , Karen Jiang , Zirui Song , Jacob Wallace

Human evaluations play a central role in training and assessing AI models, yet these data are rarely treated as measurements subject to systematic error. This paper integrates psychometric rater models into the AI pipeline to improve the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Jodi M. Casabianca , Maggie Beiting-Parrish

Security especially in the fields of IoT, industrial automation and critical infrastructure is paramount nowadays and a hot research topic. In order to ensure confidence in research results they need to be reproducible. In the past we…

Hardware Architecture · Computer Science 2024-07-10 Dmytro Petryk , Ievgen Kabin , Peter Langendörfer , Zoya Dyka

Evaluation of per-sample uncertainty quantification from neural networks is essential for decision-making involving high-risk applications. A common approach is to use the predictive distribution from Bayesian or approximation models and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-12 H. Martin Gillis , Isaac Xu , Thomas Trappenberg

Many measurements at collider experiments study physics candidates that are a subset of a collision event. The presence of multiple such candidates in a given event can cause raw biases which are large compared to typical statistical…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2019-08-22 Patrick Koppenburg
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