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Climate change is intensifying wildfire risks globally, making reliable forecasting critical for adaptation strategies. While machine learning shows promise for wildfire prediction from Earth observation data, current approaches lack…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Aditya Chakravarty

Accurate prediction of wildfire spread is crucial for effective risk management, emergency response, and strategic resource allocation. In this study, we present a deep learning (DL)-based framework for forecasting the final extent of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Nikolaos Anastasiou , Spyros Kondylatos , Ioannis Papoutsis

Wildfires are among the most severe disturbances affecting forest ecosystems, with over 50,000 hectares burned in Patagonia, Argentina, during 2025 alone. This study implements a Reaction-Diffusion-Convection (RDC) model to simulate…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-05-04 Lucas Becerra , Monica Malen Denham , Alejandro B. Kolton , Karina Laneri

Identifying regions that have high likelihood for wildfires is a key component of land and forestry management and disaster preparedness. We create a data set by aggregating nearly a decade of remote-sensing data and historical fire records…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme , Qing Wang , John Burge , Tianjian Lu , Jason Hickey , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

Wildfires pose a significant global threat to ecosystems worldwide, with California experiencing recurring fires due to various factors, including climate, topographical features, vegetation patterns, and human activities. This study aims…

Wildfire is one of the biggest disasters that frequently occurs on the west coast of the United States. Many efforts have been made to understand the causes of the increases in wildfire intensity and frequency in recent years. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-07 Tanqiu Jiang , Sidhant K. Bendre , Hanjia Lyu , Jiebo Luo

Wildfires can be devastating, causing significant damage to property, ecosystem disruption, and loss of life. Forecasting the evolution of wildfire boundaries is essential to real-time wildfire management. To this end, substantial attention…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-13 Myungsoo Yoo , Christopher K. Wikle

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have proven instrumental across various computer science domains, enabling advancements in object detection, classification, and anomaly detection. This paper explores the application of CNNs to analyze…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-20 Spiros Maggioros , Nikos Tsalkitzis

Understanding how weather and climate influence fire risk is important for many purposes, including climate adaptation planning and decision-making in sectors such as emergency management, finance, health and infrastructure (e.g., for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-27 Soubhik Biswas , Andrew Dowdy , Savin Chand

Wildfire prediction has become increasingly crucial due to the escalating impacts of climate change. Traditional CNN-based wildfire prediction models struggle with handling missing oceanic data and addressing the long-range dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Dayou Chen , Sibo Cheng , Jinwei Hu , Matthew Kasoar , Rossella Arcucci

Wildfire is an important system process of the earth that occurs across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales. A variety of methods have been used to predict wildfire phenomena during the past century to better our understanding of…

Applications · Statistics 2013-12-24 S. W. Taylor , Douglas G. Woolford , C. B. Dean , David L. Martell

Understanding the dynamics of wildfire is crucial for developing management and intervention strategies. Mathematical and computational models can be used to improve our understanding of wildfire processes and dynamics. This paper presents…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-02 Cordula Reisch , Adrián Navas-Montilla , Ilhan Özgen-Xian

In recent decades, the intensification of wildfire activity in western Canada has resulted in substantial socio-economic and environmental losses. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is hindered by the intrinsic stochasticity of ignition and…

In the last decade, wildfires have become wider and more destructive. The climate change and the growth of urban areas may further increase the probability of incidence of large-scale fires. The risk of fire can be lowered with preventive…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-03-19 Marc Demange , Alessia Di Fonso , Gabriele Di Stefano , Pierpaolo Vittorini

Wildfires are an escalating global concern due to the devastating impacts on the environment, economy, and human health, with notable incidents such as the 2019-2020 Australian bushfires and the 2025 California wildfires underscoring the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Weihao Li , Hongjin Zhao , Gao Zhu , Ge-Peng Ji , Nicholas Wilson , Marta Yebra , Nick Barnes

Wildfires are increasingly impacting the environment, human health and safety. Among the top 20 California wildfires, those in 2020-2021 burned more acres than the last century combined. California's 2018 wildfire season caused damages of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Rohan Tan Bhowmik

Wildfires present intricate challenges for prediction, necessitating the use of sophisticated machine learning techniques for effective modeling\cite{jain2020review}. In our research, we conducted a thorough assessment of various machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Di Fan , Ayan Biswas , James Paul Ahrens

Wildfire propagation is a highly stochastic process where small changes in environmental conditions (such as wind speed and direction) can lead to large changes in observed behaviour. A traditional approach to quantify uncertainty in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-04 Andrew Bolt , Conrad Sanderson , Joel Janek Dabrowski , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert

Wildfires cause major losses worldwide, and the frequency of fire-weather conditions is likely to increase in many regions. We study the allocation of suppression resources over time on a graph-based representation of a landscape to slow…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-04-01 Gustavo Delazeri , Marcus Ritt

Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…