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In the past decade, summer wildfires have become the norm in California, and the United States of America. These wildfires are caused due to variety of reasons. The state collects wildfire funds to help the impacted customers. However, the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-22 Ramandeep Kaur Bagri , Yihsu Chen

This simulation study compares statistical approaches for estimating extreme quantile regression, with a specific application to fire risk forecasting. A simulation-based framework is designed to evaluate the effectiveness of different…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-01 Amina El Bernoussi , Mohamed El Arrouchi

Wildland fire dynamics is a complex turbulent dimensional process. Cellular automata (CA) is an efficient tool to predict fire dynamics, but the main parameters of the method are challenging to estimate. To overcome this challenge, we…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2017-12-14 Miles Currie , Kevin Speer , Kevin Hiers , Joseph O'Brien , Scott Goodrick , Bryan Quaife

In recent decades, wildfires, as widespread and extremely destructive natural disasters, have caused tremendous property losses and fatalities, as well as extensive damage to forest ecosystems. Many fire risk assessment projects have been…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Shuchang Shen , Sachith Seneviratne , Xinye Wanyan , Michael Kirley

Electricity markets are significantly more volatile than other comparable financial or commodity markets. Extreme price outcomes and their transmission between regions pose significant risks for market participants. We examine the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-22 Lin Han , Ivor Cribben , Stefan Trueck

Extreme events are of great importance since they often represent impactive occurrences. For instance, in terms of climate and weather, extreme events might be major storms, floods, extreme heat or cold waves, and more. However, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-24 Jimeng Shi , Azam Shirali , Giri Narasimhan

Given the increasing prevalence of wildland fires in the Western US, there is a critical need to develop tools to understand and accurately predict burn severity. We develop a machine learning model to predict post-fire burn severity using…

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipitation. Most downscaling methods estimate the conditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Louise Largeau , Tom Beucler , David Leutwyler , Gregoire Mariethoz , Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Erwan Koch

With the rapid increase in wildfires in the past decade, it has become necessary to detect and predict these disasters to mitigate losses to ecosystems and human lives. In this paper, we present a novel solution -- Hyper-Drive3D --…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-11-26 Nathaniel Hanson , Sarvesh Prajapati , James Tukpah , Yash Mewada , Taşkın Padır

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Numerical climate models are complex and combine a large number of physical processes. They are key tools in quantifying the relative contribution of potential anthropogenic causes (e.g., the current increase in greenhouse gases) on high…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

Wildfires are one of the costliest and deadliest natural disasters in the US, causing damage to millions of hectares of forest resources and threatening the lives of people and animals. Of particular importance are risks to firefighters and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Alireza Shamsoshoara , Fatemeh Afghah , Abolfazl Razi , Liming Zheng , Peter Z Fulé , Erik Blasch

The increasing frequency and intensity of wildfires poses severe threats to the secure and stable operation of power grids, particularly one that is interspersed with renewable generation. Unlike conventional contingencies, wildfires affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Satyaprajna Sahoo , Anamitra Pal

Rapid and accurate wildfire detection is crucial for emergency response and environmental management. In airborne and spaceborne missions, real-time algorithms must distinguish between no fire, active fire, and post-fire conditions, and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Mark Moussa , Andre Williams , Seth Roffe , Douglas Morton

Extreme value statistics provides accurate estimates for the small occurrence probabilities of rare events. While theory and statistical tools for univariate extremes are well-developed, methods for high-dimensional and complex data sets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Deforestation, as one of the challenging environmental problems in the world, has been recorded the most serious threat to environmental diversity and one of the main components of land-use change. In this paper, we investigate spatial…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2018-12-27 Vahid Ahmadi

Wildfires have become one of the biggest natural hazards for environments worldwide. The effects of wildfires are heterogeneous, meaning that the magnitude of their effects depends on many factors such as geographical region, climate and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-05-10 Feliu Serra-Burriel , Pedro Delicado , Andrew T. Prata , Fernando M. Cucchietti

Issuing timely severe weather warnings helps mitigate potentially disastrous consequences. Recent advancements in Neural Weather Models (NWMs) offer a computationally inexpensive and fast approach for forecasting atmospheric environments on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-22 Antoine Leclerc , Erwan Koch , Monika Feldmann , Daniele Nerini , Tom Beucler

The post-2020 global biodiversity framework needs ambitious, research-based targets. Estimating the accelerated extinction risk due to climate change is critical. The International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) measures the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-12 Joaquim Estopinan , Pierre Bonnet , Maximilien Servajean , François Munoz , Alexis Joly

Forest fires are the outcome of a complex interaction between environmental factors, topography and socioeconomic factors (Bedia et al, 2014). Therefore, understand causality and early prediction are crucial elements for controlling such…

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