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We develop a maximum-likelihood based method for regression in a setting where the dependent variable is a random graph and covariates are available on a graph-level. The model generalizes the well-known $\beta$-model for random graphs by…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-24 Johan Wahlström , Isaac Skog , Patricio S. La Rosa , Peter Händel , Arye Nehorai

We derive a closed-form expression for the finite predictor coefficients of multivariate ARMA (autoregressive moving-average) processes. The expression is given in terms of several explicit matrices that are of fixed sizes independent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-23 Akihiko Inoue

A new methodology for model determination in decomposable graphical Gaussian models is developed. The Bayesian paradigm is used and, for each given graph, a hyper inverse Wishart prior distribution on the covariance matrix is considered.…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-13 Sophie Donnet , Jean-Michel Marin

We introduce a general framework for undirected graphical models. It generalizes Gaussian graphical models to a wide range of continuous, discrete, and combinations of different types of data. The models in the framework, called exponential…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Rui Zhuang , Noah Simon , Johannes Lederer

We present a randomized maximum a posteriori (rMAP) method for generating approximate samples of posteriors in high dimensional Bayesian inverse problems governed by large-scale forward problems. We derive the rMAP approach by: 1) casting…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-12 Kainan Wang , Tan Bui-Thanh , Omar Ghattas

Pel-recursive motion estimation isa well-established approach. However, in the presence of noise, it becomes an ill-posed problem that requires regularization. In this paper, motion vectors are estimated in an iterative fashion by means of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-03-31 Vania Vieira Estrela , Marcos Henrique da Silva Bassani

Graph matching aims at finding the vertex correspondence between two unlabeled graphs that maximizes the total edge weight correlation. This amounts to solving a computationally intractable quadratic assignment problem. In this paper we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-23 Zhou Fan , Cheng Mao , Yihong Wu , Jiaming Xu

We develop approximate estimation methods for exponential random graph models (ERGMs), whose likelihood is proportional to an intractable normalizing constant. The usual approach approximates this constant with Monte Carlo simulations,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Angelo Mele , Lingjiong Zhu

The paper considers the problem to estimate non-causal graphical models whose edges encode smoothing relations among the variables. We propose a new covariance extension problem and show that the solution minimizing the transportation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-15 Junyao You , Mattia Zorzi

We propose an entropic approximation approach for optimal transportation problems with a supremal cost. We establish $\Gamma$-convergence for suitably chosen parameters for the entropic penalization and that this procedure selects…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2023-02-24 Guillaume Carlier , Camilla Brizzi , Luigi De Pascale

We present a re-parameterization of vector autoregressive moving average (VARMA) models that allows estimation of parameters under the constraints of causality and invertibility. The parameter constraints associated with a causal invertible…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-19 Anindya Roy , Tucker S. McElroy , Peter Linton

Chance-constrained problems involve stochastic components in the constraints which can be violated with a small probability. We investigate the impact of different types of chance constraints on the performance of iterative search…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Saba Sadeghi Ahouei , Jacob de Nobel , Aneta Neumann , Thomas Bäck , Frank Neumann

In this paper, we propose a novel variable selection approach in the framework of sparse high-dimensional GLARMA models. It consists in combining the estimation of the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) coefficients of these models with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-14 Céline Lévy-Leduc , Sarah Ouadah , Laure Sansonnet

Bayesian inference for exponential family random graph models (ERGMs) is a doubly-intractable problem because of the intractability of both the likelihood and posterior normalizing factor. Auxiliary variable based Markov Chain Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-15 Fan Yin , Carter T. Butts

We explore a method of statistical estimation called Maximum Entropy on the Mean (MEM) which is based on an information-driven criterion that quantifies the compliance of a given point with a reference prior probability measure. At the core…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-20 Yakov Vaisbourd , Rustum Choksi , Ariel Goodwin , Tim Hoheisel , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

Regularization method and Bayesian inverse method are two dominating ways for solving inverse problems generated from various fields, e.g., seismic exploration and medical imaging. The two methods are related with each other by the MAP…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-06-18 Junxiong Jia , Qihang Sun , Bangyu Wu , Jigen Peng

Designing reliable networks consists in finding topological structures, which are able to successfully carry out desired processes and operations. When this set of activities performed within a network are unknown and the only available…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Stefano Nasini

Numerical nonlinear algebra is applied to maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian models defined by linear constraints on the covariance matrix. We examine the generic case as well as special models (e.g. Toeplitz, sparse, trees) that…

Computation · Statistics 2020-10-07 Bernd Sturmfels , Sascha Timme , Piotr Zwiernik

I report on the development of a novel statistical mechanical formalism for the analysis of random graphs with many short loops, and processes on such graphs. The graphs are defined via maximum entropy ensembles, in which both the degrees…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2016-05-04 A C C Coolen

We address the problem of defining early warning indicators of critical transition. To this purpose, we fit the relevant time series through a class of linear models, known as Auto-Regressive Moving-Average (ARMA(p,q)) models. We define two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-18 Davide Faranda , Flavio Maria Emanuele Pons , Bérengère Dubrulle