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Related papers: On the identification of ARMA graphical models

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Transformed Generalized Autoregressive Moving Average (TGARMA) models were recently proposed to deal with non-additivity, non-normality and heteroscedasticity in real time series data. In this paper, a Bayesian approach is proposed for…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-02 Breno S. Andrade , Marinho G. Andrade , Ricardo S. Ehlers

Graphical models with bi-directed edges (<->) represent marginal independence: the absence of an edge between two vertices indicates that the corresponding variables are marginally independent. In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-12 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Graph-based techniques emerged as a choice to deal with the dimensionality issues in modeling multivariate time series. However, there is yet no complete understanding of how the underlying structure could be exploited to ease this task.…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-02 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Nathanael Perraudin , Geert Leus

Several methods have been recently proposed for estimating sparse Gaussian graphical models using $\ell_{1}$ regularization on the inverse covariance matrix. Despite recent advances, contemporary applications require methods that are even…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-15 Onkar Dalal , Bala Rajaratnam

One of the cornerstones of the field of signal processing on graphs are graph filters, direct analogues of classical filters, but intended for signals defined on graphs. This work brings forth new insights on the distributed graph filtering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-18 Elvin Isufi , Andreas Loukas , Andrea Simonetto , Geert Leus

This paper studies the maximum cardinality matching problem in stochastically evolving graphs. We formally define the arrival-departure model with stochastic departures. There, a graph is sampled from a specific probability distribution and…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-05-19 Eleni C. Akrida , Argyrios Deligkas , George B. Mertzios , Paul G. Spirakis , Viktor Zamaraev

Max-autogressive moving average (Max-ARMA) processes are powerful tools for modelling time series data with heavy-tailed behaviour; these are a non-linear version of the popular autoregressive moving average models. River flow data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Eleanor D'Arcy , Jonathan A Tawn

We investigate the estimation of parameters in the random coefficient autoregressive model. We consider a nonstationary RCA process and show that the innovation variance parameter cannot be estimated by the quasi-maximum likelihood method.…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-03-03 Istvan Berkes , Lajos Horvath , Shiqing Ling

This paper considers both the least squares and quasi-maximum likelihood estimation for the recently proposed scalable ARMA model, a parametric infinite-order vector AR model, and their asymptotic normality is also established. It makes…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-28 Yuchang Lin , Wenyu Li , Qianqian Zhu , Guodong Li

We study multi-marginal optimal transport problems from a probabilistic graphical model perspective. We point out an elegant connection between the two when the underlying cost for optimal transport allows a graph structure. In particular,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-26 Isabel Haasler , Rahul Singh , Qinsheng Zhang , Johan Karlsson , Yongxin Chen

In this paper we address the problem of predicting a time series using the ARMA (autoregressive moving average) model, under minimal assumptions on the noise terms. Using regret minimization techniques, we develop effective online learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Oren Anava , Elad Hazan , Shie Mannor , Ohad Shamir

Graphical models and factor analysis are well-established tools in multivariate statistics. While these models can be both linked to structures exhibited by covariance and precision matrices, they are generally not jointly leveraged within…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-02 Alexandre Hippert-Ferrer , Florent Bouchard , Ammar Mian , Titouan Vayer , Arnaud Breloy

The AMP Markov property is a recently proposed alternative Markov property for chain graphs. In the case of continuous variables with a joint multivariate Gaussian distribution, it is the AMP rather than the earlier introduced LWF Markov…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Mathias Drton , Michael Eichler

Generating large-scale samples of stationary random fields is of great importance in the fields such as geomaterial modeling and uncertainty quantification. Traditional methodologies based on covariance matrix decomposition have the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-23 Bin Zhu , Jiahao Liu , Zhengshou Lai , Tao Qian

Quantifying similarity between data objects is an important part of modern data science. Deciding what similarity measure to use is very application dependent. In this paper, we combine insights from systems theory and machine learning, and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-09 Oliver Lauwers , Bart De Moor

Autoregressive models (ARMs) have become the workhorse for sequence generation tasks, since many problems can be modeled as next-token prediction. While there appears to be a natural ordering for text (i.e., left-to-right), for many data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-15 Zhe Wang , Jiaxin Shi , Nicolas Heess , Arthur Gretton , Michalis K. Titsias

Generalized autoregressive moving average (GARMA) models are a class of models that was developed for extending the univariate Gaussian ARMA time series model to a flexible observation-driven model for non-Gaussian time series data. This…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-07 Marinho G. Andrade , Ricardo S. Ehlers , Breno S. Andrade

Multireference alignment (MRA) problem is to estimate an underlying signal from a large number of noisy circularly-shifted observations. The existing methods are always proposed under the hypothesis of a single Gaussian noise. However, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-23 Cuicui Zhao , Jun Liu , Xinqi Gong

Autoregressive and moving-average (ARMA) models with stable Paretian errors is one of the most studied models for time series with infinite variance. Estimation methods for these models have been studied by many researchers but the problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-11-07 Jen-Wen Lin , A. Ian McLeod

One of the important and widely used classes of models for non-Gaussian time series is the generalized autoregressive model average models (GARMA), which specifies an ARMA structure for the conditional mean process of the underlying time…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-13 Tingguo Zheng , Han Xiao , Rong Chen