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Related papers: On the identification of ARMA graphical models

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The modeling of time-varying graph signals as stationary time-vertex stochastic processes permits the inference of missing signal values by efficiently employing the correlation patterns of the process across different graph nodes and time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-16 Eylem Tugce Guneyi , Berkay Yaldiz , Abdullah Canbolat , Elif Vural

In this paper, using spectral theory of Hilbertian operators, we study ARMA Gaussian processes indexed by graphs. We extend Whittle maximum likelihood estimation of the parameters for the corresponding spectral density and show their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-23 Thibault Espinasse , Fabrice Gamboa , Jean-Michel Loubes

The positive link prediction (PLP) problem is formulated in a system identification framework: we consider dynamic graphical models for auto-regressive moving-average (ARMA) Gaussian random processes. For the identification of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Daniele Alpago , Mattia Zorzi , Augusto Ferrante

The autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is one of the most important models in time series analysis.We consider the Bayesian estimation of an unknown spectral density in the ARMA model.In the i.i.d. cases, Komaki showed that Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Fuyuhiko Tanaka , Fumiyasu Komaki

Graph State Space Models (SSMs) have recently been introduced to enhance Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) in modeling long-range interactions. Despite their success, existing methods either compromise on permutation equivariance or limit their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Moshe Eliasof , Alessio Gravina , Andrea Ceni , Claudio Gallicchio , Davide Bacciu , Carola-Bibiane Schönlieb

Stationary reciprocal processes defined on a finite interval of the integer line can be seen as a special class of Markov random fields restricted to one dimension. Non stationary reciprocal processes have been extensively studied in the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Francesca Carli , Augusto Ferrante , Michele Pavon , Giorgio Picci

This work presents a Bayesian approach for the estimation of Beta Autoregressive Moving Average ($\beta$ARMA) models. We discuss standard choice for the prior distributions and employ a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-17 Aline Foerster Grande , Guilherme Pumi , Gabriela Bettella Cybis

Bayesian graphical models are a useful tool for understanding dependence relationships among many variables, particularly in situations with external prior information. In high-dimensional settings, the space of possible graphs becomes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Zehang Richard Li , Tyler H. McCormick

Estimating hidden processes from non-linear noisy observations is particularly difficult when the parameters of these processes are not known. This paper adopts a machine learning approach to devise variational Bayesian inference for such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-05 Komlan Atitey , Pavel Loskot , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Linear time series modelling is dominated by the use of purely autoregressive models even though incorporating moving average components can greatly improve parsimony. We present a convex formulation for vector-ARMA system identification…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-01 Alex Nguyen-Le , Victor M. Preciado

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides

Two-dimensional (2-D) autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are commonly applied to describe real-world image data, usually assuming Gaussian or symmetric noise. However, real-world data often present non-Gaussian signals, with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-09 B. G. Palm , F. M. Bayer , R. J. Cintra

The paper addresses the problem to estimate the power spectral density of an ARMA zero mean Gaussian process. We propose a kernel based maximum entropy spectral estimator. The latter searches the optimal spectrum over a class of high order…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Mattia Zorzi

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Fitting autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series models requires model identification before parameter estimation. Model identification involves determining the order of the autoregressive and moving average components which is…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-09 Yin Liu , Sam Davanloo Tajbakhsh

In this paper, the parameter estimation of ARMA(p,q) model is given by approximate Bayesian computation algorithm. In order to improve the sampling efficiency of the algorithm, approximate Bayesian computation should select as many…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-01 Linghui Li , Anshui Li , Huizeng Zhang

Sparse structure learning in high-dimensional Gaussian graphical models is an important problem in multivariate statistical signal processing; since the sparsity pattern naturally encodes the conditional independence relationship among…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Ksheera Sagar , Jyotishka Datta , Sayantan Banerjee , Anindya Bhadra

We consider the problem of signal estimation in generalized linear models defined via rotationally invariant design matrices. Since these matrices can have an arbitrary spectral distribution, this model is well suited for capturing complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-10 Ramji Venkataramanan , Kevin Kögler , Marco Mondelli

In this paper we propose a new optimization model for maximum likelihood estimation of causal and invertible ARMA models. Through a set of numerical experiments we show how our proposed model outperforms, both in terms of quality of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-27 Leonardo Di Gangi , Matteo Lapucci , Fabio Schoen , Alessio Sortino

It is an important task in the literature to check whether a fitted autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is adequate, while the currently used tests may suffer from the size distortion problem when the underlying autoregressive models…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-21 Xiaohui Liu , Donghui Fan , Xu Zhang , Catherine C. Liu
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