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This paper deals with data-driven stability analysis and feedback stabillization of linear input-output systems in autoregressive (AR) form. We assume that noisy input-output data on a finite time-interval have been obtained from some…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-20 Henk J. van Waarde , Jaap Eising , M. Kanat Camlibel , Harry L. Trentelman

Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are popularly adopted for modelling high-dimensional time series, and their piecewise extensions allow for structural changes in the data. In VAR modelling, the number of parameters grow quadratically with…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-23 Haeran Cho , Hyeyoung Maeng , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

Coarse-grained models of chaotic systems neglect unresolved degrees of freedom, inducing structured model error that limits predictability and distorts long-term statistics. Typical data-driven closures are trained to minimize error over a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Martin Thomas Brolly

Effectively modeling phenomena present in highly nonlinear dynamical systems whilst also accurately quantifying uncertainty is a challenging task, which often requires problem-specific techniques. We present a novel, domain-agnostic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-26 Thomas M. McDonald , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We present a stochastic method for reconstructing missing spatial and velocity data along the trajectories of small objects passively advected by turbulent flows with a wide range of temporal or spatial scales, such as small balloons in the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-11-14 Tianyi Li , Luca Biferale , Fabio Bonaccorso , Michele Buzzicotti , Luca Centurioni

We aim to develop a time series modeling methodology tailored to high-dimensional environments, addressing two critical challenges: variable selection from a large pool of candidates, and the detection of structural break points, where the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-15 Angelo Milfont , Alvaro Veiga

Developing mathematical models of dynamic systems is central to many disciplines of engineering and science. Models facilitate simulations, analysis of the system's behavior, decision making and design of automatic control algorithms. Even…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-19 Erik Derner , Jiří Kubalík , Nicola Ancona , Robert Babuška

We propose a method for filling arbitrarily wide gaps in deterministic time series. Crucial to the method is the ability to apply Takens' theorem in order to reconstruct the dynamics underlying the time series. We introduce a functional to…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-06-13 Francesco Paparella

We study the performance of sparse regression methods and propose new techniques to distill the governing equations of dynamical systems from data. We first look at the generic methodology of learning interpretable equation forms from data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Chinmay S. Kulkarni

In the last decade it has been shown that a large class of phase oscillator models admit low dimensional descriptions for the macroscopic system dynamics in the limit of an infinite number N of oscillators. The question of whether the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-09-13 Per Sebastian Skardal , Juan G. Restrepo , Edward Ott

We present a simple and scalable implementation of next-generation reservoir computing (NGRC) for modeling dynamical systems from time-series data. The method uses a pseudorandom nonlinear projection of time-delay embedded inputs, allowing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-12 Rok Cestnik , Erik A. Martens

Herein, we propose a spatio-temporal extension of RBFNN for nonlinear system identification problem. The proposed algorithm employs the concept of time-space orthogonality and separately models the dynamics and nonlinear complexities of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-06 Shujaat Khan , Jawwad Ahmad , Alishba Sadiq , Imran Naseem , Muhammad Moinuddin

In experiments, the dynamical behavior of systems is reflected in time series. Due to the finiteness of the observational data set it is not possible to reconstruct the invariant measure up to arbitrary fine resolution and arbitrary high…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-31 M. Cencini , M. Falcioni , H. Kantz , E. Olbrich , A. Vulpiani

Several regularization methods have been considered over the last decade for sparse high-dimensional linear regression models, but the most common ones use the least square (quadratic) or likelihood loss and hence are not robust against…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-03 Elena Castilla , Abhik Ghosh , María Jaenada , Leandro Pardo

We suggest a new method, called Functional Additive Regression, or FAR, for efficiently performing high-dimensional functional regression. FAR extends the usual linear regression model involving a functional predictor, $X(t)$, and a scalar…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-15 Yingying Fan , Gareth M. James , Peter Radchenko

Many natural systems exhibit cyclo-stationary behavior characterized by periodic forcing such as annual and diurnal cycles. We present a data-driven method leveraging recent advances in score-based generative modeling to construct…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-03 Ludovico Theo Giorgini , Tobias Bischoff , Andre Noguiera Souza

This paper considers the problem of learning, from samples, the dependency structure of a system of linear stochastic differential equations, when some of the variables are latent. In particular, we observe the time evolution of some…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-05-02 Ali Jalali , Sujay Sanghavi

We propose a novel framework for approximating the statistical properties of turbulent flows by combining variational methods for the search of unstable periodic orbits with resolvent analysis for dimensionality reduction. Traditional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-01-22 Thomas Burton , Sean Symon , Ati Sharma , Davide Lasagna

The time-dependent fields obtained by solving partial differential equations in two and more dimensions quickly overwhelm the analytical capabilities of the human brain. A meaningful insight into the temporal behaviour can be obtained by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Miha Rot , Martin Horvat , Gregor Kosec

We present a straightforward and efficient way to control unstable robotic systems using an estimated dynamics model. Specifically, we show how to exploit the differentiability of Gaussian Processes to create a state-dependent linearized…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-03 Ivan D. Jimenez Rodriguez , Ugo Rosolia , Aaron D. Ames , Yisong Yue
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