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While data-driven techniques are powerful tools for reduced-order modeling of systems with chaotic dynamics, great potential remains for leveraging known physics (i.e. a full-order model (FOM)) to improve predictive capability. We develop a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Alex Guo , Michael D. Graham

Semi-lagrangian schemes for discretization of the dynamic programming principle are based on a time discretization projected on a state-space grid. The use of a structured grid makes this approach not feasible for high-dimensional problems…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-06-09 Alessandro Alla , Hugo Oliveira , Gabriele Santin

In this paper, we address the problem of predicting complex, nonlinear spatiotemporal dynamics when available data is recorded at irregularly-spaced sparse spatial locations. Most of the existing deep learning models for modeling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Priyabrata Saha , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

The analysis of chaotic signals with time-frequency methods is considered. For this purpose, two new transformations are presented which consist in the decomposition of a signal onto an orthogonal set of respectively linear and hyperbolic…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-07-28 Benjamin Ricaud , Francoise Briolle , F. Clairet

Due to the dynamic nature, chaotic time series are difficult predict. In conventional signal processing approaches signals are treated either in time or in space domain only. Spatio-temporal analysis of signal provides more advantages over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-08-23 Alishba Sadiq , Muhammad Sohail Ibrahim , Muhammad Usman , Muhammad Zubair , Shujaat Khan

Chaotic dynamical systems pose a fundamental challenge for Reinforcement Learning (RL): exponential sensitivity to initial conditions induces high-variance bootstrap targets and poorly conditioned gradient updates. Chaotic dynamics arise…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-29 James Rudd-Jones , Mirco Musolesi , María Pérez-Ortiz

Reservoir computing is a powerful tool for forecasting turbulence because its simple architecture has the computational efficiency to handle large systems. Its implementation, however, often requires full state-vector measurements and…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-12-02 Vikrant Gupta , Larry K. B. Li , Shiyi Chen , Minping Wan

Undirected graphical models are widely used to model the conditional independence structure of vector-valued data. However, in many modern applications, for example those involving EEG and fMRI data, observations are more appropriately…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-29 Boxin Zhao , Percy S. Zhai , Y. Samuel Wang , Mladen Kolar

We propose a physics-constrained machine learning method-based on reservoir computing- to time-accurately predict extreme events and long-term velocity statistics in a model of turbulent shear flow. The method leverages the strengths of two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-04-14 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

Model inference for dynamical systems aims to estimate the future behaviour of a system from observations. Purely model-free statistical methods, such as Artificial Neural Networks, tend to perform poorly for such tasks. They are therefore…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-07 David K. E. Green , Filip Rindler

Observability can determine which recorded variables of a given system are optimal for discriminating its different states. Quantifying observability requires knowledge of the equations governing the dynamics. These equations are often…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-10-28 Christopher E. Gonzalez , Claudia Lainscsek , Terrence J. Sejnowski , Christophe Letellier

We propose an approach to determine the continual progression of algorithmic efficiency, as an alternative to standard calculations of time complexity, likely, but not exclusively, when dealing with data structures with unknown maximum…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2020-12-04 Ananth Goyal

We use standard deep neural networks to classify univariate time series generated by discrete and continuous dynamical systems based on their chaotic or non-chaotic behaviour. Our approach to circumvent the lack of precise models for some…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-26 Nicolas Boullé , Vassilios Dallas , Yuji Nakatsukasa , D. Samaddar

Complex chaotic dynamics, seen in natural and industrial systems like turbulent flows and weather patterns, often span vast spatial domains with interactions across scales. Accurately capturing these features requires a high-dimensional…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-03 C. Ricardo Constante-Amores , Alec J. Linot , Michael D. Graham

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Ludovico T. Giorgini

We introduce a performance-driven framework for constructing strictly causal forward-oriented observables in strongly non-stationary time series. The method combines a robustly normalized composite of heterogeneous indicators with a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-17 Lucas A. Souza

The macroscopic behavior of dissipative stochastic partial differential equations usually can be described by a finite dimensional system. This article proves that a macroscopic reduced model may be constructed for stochastic…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-12-11 Wei Wang , A. J. Roberts

In dealing with high-dimensional data sets, factor models are often useful for dimension reduction. The estimation of factor models has been actively studied in various fields. In the first part of this paper, we present a new approach to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-27 Joongyeub Yeo , George Papanicolaou

We consider a class of models describing an ensemble of identical interacting agents subject to multiplicative noise. In the thermodynamic limit, these systems exhibit continuous and discontinuous phase transitions in a, generally,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-27 Niccolò Zagli , Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Valerio Lucarini , Alexander Alecio

A random walk-based method is proposed to efficiently compute the solution of a large class of fractional in time linear systems of differential equations (linear F-ODE systems), along with the derivatives with respect to the system…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Andrés Centeno , Juan A. Acebrón , José Monteiro