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Understanding consumption dynamics and its impact on the whole economy and welfare within the present economic crisis is not an easy task. Indeed the level of consumer demand for different goods varies with the prices, consumer incomes and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-11 Roberto De Luca , Marco Di Mauro , Angelo Falzarano , Adele Naddeo

An increasing body of research focuses on using neural networks to model time series. A common assumption in training neural networks via maximum likelihood estimation on time series is that the errors across time steps are uncorrelated.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-12 Fan-Keng Sun , Christopher I. Lang , Duane S. Boning

Recommendation for e-commerce with a mix of durable and nondurable goods has characteristics that distinguish it from the well-studied media recommendation problem. The demand for items is a combined effect of form utility and time utility,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Jinfeng Yi , Cho-Jui Hsieh , Kush Varshney , Lijun Zhang , Yao Li

The rise of big data analytics has automated the decision-making of companies and increased supply chain agility. In this paper, we study the supply chain contract design problem faced by a data-driven supplier who needs to respond to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-10 Xuejun Zhao , Ruihao Zhu , William B. Haskell

The performance of an energy system under a real-time pricing mechanism depends on the consumption behavior of its customers, which involves uncertainties. In this paper, we consider a system operator that charges its customers with a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Ceyhun Eksin , Hakan Delic , Alejandro Ribeiro

As advertisers increasingly shift their budgets toward digital advertising, accurately forecasting advertising costs becomes essential for optimizing marketing campaign returns. This paper presents a comprehensive study that employs various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-22 Fynn Oldenburg , Qiwei Han , Maximilian Kaiser

This paper defines theoretical lower bounds of uncertainty of observations of macroeconomic variables that depend on statistical moments and correlations of random values and volumes of market trades. Any econometric assessments of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-08 Victor Olkhov

The mature development and the extension of the industry chain make the income structure of the film industry. The income of the traditional film industry depends on the box office and also includes movie merchandising, advertisement, home…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Yaoyao Ding , Chenghao Wu , Xinyu Liu , Yyuntao Zou , Peng Zhou

We propose the new Top-Dog-Index, a measure for the branch-dependent historic deviation of the supply data of apparel sizes from the sales data of a fashion discounter. A common approach is to estimate demand for sizes directly from the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Sascha Kurz , Joerg Rambau , Joerg Schluechtermann , Rainer Wolf

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic

We consider a retailer running a switchback experiment for the price of a single product, with infinite supply. In each period, the seller chooses a price $p$ from a set of predefined prices that consist of a reference price and a few…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Yifan Wu , Ramesh Johari , Vasilis Syrgkanis , Gabriel Y. Weintraub

Product ranking is the core problem for revenue-maximizing online retailers. To design proper product ranking algorithms, various consumer choice models are proposed to characterize the consumers' behaviors when they are provided with a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-03 Renzhe Xu , Xingxuan Zhang , Bo Li , Yafeng Zhang , Xiaolong Chen , Peng Cui

Pricing decisions of companies require an understanding of the causal effect of a price change on the demand. When real-life pricing experiments are infeasible, data-driven decision-making must be based on alternative data sources such as…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-03 Lauri Valkonen , Santtu Tikka , Jouni Helske , Juha Karvanen

Process analytics is an umbrella of data-driven techniques which includes making predictions for individual process instances or overall process models. At the instance level, various novel techniques have been recently devised, tackling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-29 Johannes De Smedt , Anton Yeshchenko , Artem Polyvyanyy , Jochen De Weerdt , Jan Mendling

It is of high interest for a company to identify customers expected to bring the largest profit in the upcoming period. Knowing as much as possible about each customer is crucial for such predictions. However, their demographic data,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-30 Jelena Stojanovic , Djordje Gligorijevic , Zoran Obradovic

Forecasting demand is one of the fundamental components of a successful revenue management system in hospitality. The industry requires understandable models that contribute to adaptability by a revenue management department to make…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-08 Rik van Leeuwen , Ger Koole

One of the challenging research problems in the domain of time series analysis and forecasting is making efficient and robust prediction of stock market prices. With rapid development and evolution of sophisticated algorithms and with the…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-05-13 Jaydip Sen , Tamal Datta Chaudhuri

Fashion discounters face the problem of ordering the right amount of pieces in each size of a product. The product is ordered in pre-packs containing a certain size-mix of a product. For this so-called lot-type design problem, a stochastic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-26 Miriam Kießling , Tobias Kreisel , Sascha Kurz , Jörg Rambau

We develop a new identification strategy for demand estimation when cost shifters may not be available and there are substantial variations in demand over time. This approaches relies on a kind of nonlinear difference-in-differences, in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-23 Xavier D'Haultfœuille , Ao Wang , Philippe Février , Lionel Wilner

The rapid expansion of digital commerce platforms has amplified the strategic importance of coordinated pricing and inventory management decisions among competing retailers. Motivated by practices on leading e-commerce platforms, we analyze…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-02 Hang Wu , Qin Wu , Yue Liu , Mengmeng Shi