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Demand variance can result in a mismatch between planned supply and actual demand. Demand shaping strategies such as pricing can be used to shift elastic demand to reduce the imbalance. In this work, we propose to consider elastic demand in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-11 Houtao Deng , Ganesh Krishnan , Ji Chen , Dong Liang

Firms that price perishable resources -- airline seats, hotel rooms, seasonal inventory -- now routinely use demand predictions, but these predictions vary widely in quality. Under hard capacity constraints, acting on an inaccurate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-27 Ruicheng Ao , Jiashuo Jiang , David Simchi-Levi

We propose a demand estimation approach that leverages unstructured data to infer substitution patterns. Using pre-trained deep learning models, we extract embeddings from product images and textual descriptions and incorporate them into a…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-19 Giovanni Compiani , Ilya Morozov , Stephan Seiler

A potential objective of every financial organization is to retain existing customers and attain new prospective customers for long-term. The economic behaviour of customer and the nature of the organization are controlled by a prescribed…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2015-04-09 Md. Rafiqul Islam , Md. Ahsan Habib

Predicting invoice payment is valuable in multiple industries and supports decision-making processes in most financial workflows. However, the challenge in this realm involves dealing with complex data and the lack of data related to…

Machine learning algorithms can now outperform classic economic models in predicting quantities ranging from bargaining outcomes, to choice under uncertainty, to an individual's future jobs and wages. Yet this predictive accuracy comes at a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-27 Annie Liang

We consider a retailer selling a single product with limited on-hand inventory over a finite selling season. Customer demand arrives according to a Poisson process, the rate of which is influenced by a single action taken by the retailer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-06-28 Zizhuo Wang , Shiming Deng , Yinyu Ye

Recent researches have seen an upsurge in the analysis of consumer reviews. Although, several dimensions have been explored, less is known on the temporal dynamics of events that happen over the lifecycle of online products. What are the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-04-12 Santosh K C , Arjun Mukherjee

Understanding individual customers' sensitivities to prices, promotions, brands, and other marketing mix elements is fundamental to a wide swath of marketing problems. An important but understudied aspect of this problem is the dynamic…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-03 Ryan Dew , Yuhao Fan

The accurate prediction of time-changing covariances is an important problem in the modeling of multivariate financial data. However, some of the most popular models suffer from a) overfitting problems and multiple local optima, b) failure…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-04 Yue Wu , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato , Zoubin Ghahramani

Predictive models are often introduced to decision-making tasks under the rationale that they improve performance over an existing decision-making policy. However, it is challenging to compare predictive performance against an existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Luke Guerdan , Amanda Coston , Kenneth Holstein , Zhiwei Steven Wu

Autocorrelation is a defining characteristic of time-series data, where each observation is statistically dependent on its predecessors. In the context of deep time-series forecasting, autocorrelation arises in both the input history and…

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting (MTSF) plays a crucial role across diverse fields, ranging from economic, energy, to traffic. In recent years, deep learning has demonstrated outstanding performance in MTSF tasks. In MTSF, modeling the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Xiangfei Qiu , Hanyin Cheng , Xingjian Wu , Junkai Lu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Christian S. Jensen , Bin Yang

Machine and statistical learning algorithms can be reliably automated and applied at scale. Therefore, they can constitute a considerable asset for designing practical forecasting systems, such as those related to urban water demand.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-13 Georgia Papacharalampous , Andreas Langousis

Company fundamentals are key to assessing companies' financial and overall success and stability. Forecasting them is important in multiple fields, including investing and econometrics. While statistical and contemporary machine learning…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-04 Felix Divo , Eric Endress , Kevin Endler , Kristian Kersting , Devendra Singh Dhami

In this essay, we have comprehensively evaluated the feasibility and suitability of adopting the Machine Learning Models on the forecast of corporation fundamentals (i.e. the earnings), where the prediction results of our method have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Xinyue Cui , Zhaoyu Xu , Yue Zhou

Forecasting stock returns is a challenging problem due to the highly stochastic nature of the market and the vast array of factors and events that can influence trading volume and prices. Nevertheless it has proven to be an attractive…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-15 Rian Dolphin , Barry Smyth , Yang Xu , Ruihai Dong

In the survey we consider the case studies on sales time series forecasting, the deep learning approach for forecasting non-stationary time series using time trend correction, dynamic price and supply optimization using Q-learning, Bitcoin…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-03 Bohdan M. Pavlyshenko

Predicting the behaviour of shoppers provides valuable information for retailers, such as the expected spend of a shopper or the total turnover of a supermarket. The ability to make predictions on an individual level is useful, as it allows…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Yorick Spenrath , Marwan Hassani , Boudewijn F. Van Dongen

Forecast quality should be assessed in the context of what is possible in theory and what is reasonable to expect in practice. Often, one can identify an approximate upper bound to a probabilistic forecast's sharpness, which sets a lower,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-11 Malte C. Tichy , Illia Babounikau , Nikolas Wolke , Stefan Ulbrich , Michael Feindt
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